source: https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mpweicrxl22r

source: https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mpw65nvqzc2r

Latest hit: 28.04.2026 Tuapse Refinery in Krasnodar Krai at 500 km

• Red arrows: Latest hits
• Flames: Refinery has been hit at least once.
• Blue waves: Orsk dam broke in April 2024, which flooded the refinery and took it offline for ~2 weeks.
• Black smoke: It's raining oil.

2026 hits in chronological order:

January

• 01.01.2026 Ilsky in Krasnodar Krai at 405 km
• 26.01.2026 Slavyansk in Krasnodar Krai at 360 km

February

• 10.02.2026 Volgograd Oblast at 500 km
• 12.02.2026 Uktha in Komi Republic at 1705 km
• 17.02.2026 Ilsky in Krasnodar Krai at 405 km

March

• 02.03.2026 Ukhta in Komi Repblic at 1705 km
• 14.03.2026 Afipsky Refinery in Krasnodar Krai at 415 km
• 21.03.2026 Bashneft Refinery in Bashkortostan at 1350 km
• 22.03.2026 Saratov Refinery in Saratov Oblast at 590 km
• 25.03.2026 Kirishi Refinery in Leningrad Oblast at 810 km
• 28.03.2026 Yaroslavl Refinery in Yaroslavl Oblast at 700 km

April

• 02.04.2026 Bashneft - Novoil Refinery in Bashkortostan at 1340 km
• 05.04.2026 Kstovo refinery in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast at 800 km
• 16.04.2026 Tuapse refinery in Krasnodar Krai at 500 km
• 18.04.2026 Novokuibyshev refinery in Samara Oblast at 900 km
• 18.04.2026 Syzran refinery in Samara Oblast at 805 km
• 20.04. 2026 Tuapse Refinery in Krasnodar Krai at 500 km
• 26.04.2026 Yaroslavl Refinery in Yaroslavl Oblast at 700 km
• + 28.04.2026 Tuapse Refinery in Krasnodar Krai at 500 km

source: https://bsky.app/profile/delfoo.bsky.social/post/3mpofip45x22e

source: https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mpml7ebops2l

For the third month in a row, the Russian government has been paying record budget subsidies to oil companies, whose refineries have been burning one after another, having become targets for Ukrainian Armed Forces drones.

In June, the federal treasury transferred 312.5 billion rubles to oil companies—210.6 billion under the damping mechanism and 101.9 billion through the reverse excise tax, according to data published by the Ministry of Finance on Friday.

A month earlier, the subsidies totaled 357.3 billion rubles, and in April, 359.3 billion. Cumulatively, over the three months, oil companies received 1.029 trillion rubles—an amount equal to two annual budgets of large regions such as the Sverdlovsk Region or the Krasnoyarsk Krai.

Payments under the damper—a mechanism introduced in 2018 to stabilize domestic gasoline prices—have reached a record high since December 2023. These payments are due to difficulties in oil refining, Raiffeisenbank analysts wrote.

As a result, the budget is losing oil and gas revenues due to soaring oil prices. In June, it collected 968 billion rubles in mineral extraction tax, 59% more than the previous year. However, every third ruble was returned to oil producers in the form of subsidies.

Total oil and gas tax revenues in June amounted to 683.6 billion rubles, exceeding last year's figures by 38%. However, the accumulated inflow of raw material rents to the budget over the first six months fell by 23%, to 3.66 trillion rubles—the lowest since 2020.

In the 2026 budget law, the Ministry of Finance projected 8.92 trillion rubles in oil and gas revenues—440 billion rubles more than it collected the previous year. In reality, the budget only fulfilled 41% of the oil and gas tax plan in the first six months, and by the end of the year, according to the Accounts Chamber's forecast, the shortfall will be approximately 1 trillion rubles.

By the end of summer, pressure on the budget will intensify due to falling Russian oil prices, notes Vladimir Chernov, an analyst at Freedom Finance Global. Following the end of the war in Iran, the price of Urals crude oil fell below $45 per barrel by the end of June, having reached $100 and above in April.

Paradoxically, the fuel crisis in Russia is also putting pressure on the price of Urals: due to problems at refineries, Russia has begun exporting more crude oil and simultaneously buying gasoline abroad, including from India, which has strengthened the bargaining position of Indian buyers, notes Chernov. As a result, discounts on Urals crude at Indian ports nearly doubled at the end of June, from $4 to $7 per barrel.

"For Russia, the sharp decline in oil prices means a reduction in foreign exchange export earnings, pressure on oil companies, and lower oil and gas revenues for the budget," warns Chernov. "The effect will not be immediately apparent in statistics, because taxes are calculated with a time lag."

Following the federal budget, the budgets of the oil companies themselves will suffer. Damage to refinery infrastructure, which is currently leading to refining losses, will ultimately result in repair costs of at least several hundred billion rubles, notes economist Kirill Rodionov. Repairs to the Moscow Refinery alone, which has been hit twice and is suspended until 2027, will cost approximately $1 billion, according to analysts at the Sinara investment bank.

source: The Moscow Times https://archive.is/vCLd2