r/Polymarket_news

▲ 37 r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

Jeff Bezos said the bottom half of Americans should pay zero federal income tax.

u/raf-913 — 1 day ago
▲ 2.1k r/Polymarket_news+3 crossposts

The Trump administration has authorized the continued use of cancer-causing pesticide atrazine. Atrazine is banned in more than 60 countries.

Why?

u/CarNo8607 — 1 day ago
▲ 51 r/Polymarket_news+1 crossposts

The wallets knew before Twitter did.

Everyone saw the headlines.

A few wallets saw it before.

6 new wallets piled into the Iran strike market on Polymarket hours before the first reports dropped.

Almost $1M made.

And this wasn’t their first time either.

We tracked the wallets back and they’ve been early on every major Iran escalation for months now.

That’s why I pay attention to wallet flow more than CT narratives.

Money moves before news does.

Comment “AI” if you want to see the dashboard.

u/Necessary_Drink_510 — 1 day ago
▲ 955 r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

Trump: "I'm right now at 99% in Israel. I could run for prime minister, so maybe after I do this, I'll go to Israel and run for prime minister."

u/Societymess — 2 days ago
▲ 583 r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

"We're going to end that war very quickly. They want to make a deal so badly. They're tired of this"

President Trump predicts a deal to end the war with Iran is going to happen "fast" — and that oil prices will plummet when the agreement is reached.

u/sleep0077 — 2 days ago
▲ 125 r/Polymarket_news+3 crossposts

TRUMP: “Thomas Massie is terrible congressman. He voted against men in women’s sports. He voted against transgender for everybody the mutilation of your children. He voted against open borders.”

u/Societymess — 2 days ago
▲ 68 r/Polymarket_news+3 crossposts

President Trump jokes he may run for Prime Minister of Israel after leaving office.

u/Nicolit1 — 1 day ago
▲ 1.7k r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

Trump-IRS settlement permanently blocks IRS from auditing tax claims for President Trump and his family.

What do you think about this?

u/Societymess — 3 days ago
▲ 2 r/Polymarket_news+1 crossposts

Sou um desenvolvedor brasileiro e gravei algo que, sinceramente, nunca vi documentado ao vivo.

https://preview.redd.it/kw033ewgmb2h1.jpg?width=1151&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=321502c6ef13850df5c24542b597c26c716e6b78

I’m a Brazilian developer and I recorded something I honestly haven’t seen documented live before.

I built a Polymarket bot and captured a live case where around $8 turned into a $1,200+ payout.

This is not financial advice, not a profit promise, and not a “get rich quick” thing.

What I’m trying to understand is: was this pure luck, execution edge, or something that could become a serious prediction-market automation product?

The video is in Portuguese, but the result and public proof are visible.

Would love technical feedback:

https://youtu.be/REQNdTsrWIw?si=32jy34N5JOYFY9kT

reddit.com
u/lucasv6business — 1 day ago
▲ 2 r/Polymarket_news+2 crossposts

5 mistakes I made when I started on Polymarket (and still see every day in the community)

Been trading on Polymarket for a while now, went through the full cycle — early wins, overconfidence, a painful drawdown, slow rebuild. Along the way I joined a few trading communities and noticed the same mistakes come up over and over. Here's what actually costs people money:

1. Treating every market like a coin flip New traders see 60/40 and think "easy edge." They ignore that the 60% side is already priced in. The question isn't "who will win" — it's "is this probability wrong?"

2. No position sizing Going all-in on one high-conviction market. One bad resolution, one "that's unexpected" moment, and you're back to zero. Even on 80% markets.

3. Ignoring liquidity Entering a $500 position on a low-volume market, then watching the spread eat you alive when you try to exit early.

4. Holding through resolution instead of taking profit A market at 92% still has 8% of pure downside. Locking in 85% and moving on is often the better trade.

5. Trading sports markets without understanding frontrunning Odds move faster than you can react. By the time you see the line, someone already got there.

Learned most of this the hard way. Happy to discuss any of these — what mistakes would you add?

reddit.com
u/trix1251 — 2 days ago
🔥 Hot ▲ 6.6k r/Polymarket_news+8 crossposts

🇨🇳🇺🇸US Treasury Secretary Basent tried to enter the venue without wearing the conference badge He was directly stopped by Chinese security guards. He was only allowed in after his entourage brought the credentials.

u/LA_search77 — 4 days ago
▲ 1 r/Polymarket_news+1 crossposts

Found an edge ;)

I have found a system for predicting every single 5-minute BTC candle with extremely high accuracy.

Over the past few months, I’ve been experimenting, researching, testing and refining different approaches to short-term BTC price prediction, specifically focused on the 5-minute candles.

After countless hours of testing different models, indicators, market conditions and timing-based setups, I’ve built a strategy that is designed to predict the direction of every single 5-minute candle before it closes.

The goal is simple:

Predict whether the next 5-minute BTC candle will close green or red.

Since there are 12 five-minute candles per hour and 288 candles in a full 24-hour day, this creates a huge number of opportunities every single day.

I’ve been testing this across different market conditions, including high volatility, low volatility, ranging markets, trending markets and major news-driven moves.

The strategy does not rely on guessing or randomly entering trades. It is based on repeatable patterns, probability, momentum shifts, volume behavior and specific market conditions that tend to appear before short-term candle direction becomes more predictable.

Some setups are more aggressive and aim for higher returns, while others are more conservative and focus on consistency and risk management.

The most interesting part is that even a small edge on 5-minute candles can become extremely powerful when applied consistently across hundreds of candles per day.

With proper bankroll management, position sizing and automation, this type of strategy can scale very quickly.

I’m not here to give the full system away, because I’ve spent a lot of time developing and testing it. The strategy is far too valuable to simply post publicly.

But if you’re interested in learning more about how I’m predicting every 5-minute BTC candle, DM me.

u/FantasticConcept25 — 3 days ago