With so many shares coming available for sale tomorrow, I imagine if few actually sell, it'll put a lot of faith back into this stock.. People worried about it are selling today or earlier, right? We're expecting downward pressure, but if that doesn't happen, doesn't it mean upward pressure? It'll be as if all those spacex employees and investors just bought back in.
Smallest open flush volume in weeks, liquidity pulled back to buy back in cheaper, there will be breakout of 150 this week when the institutions eat up the smaller unlock, and then pump hard into september. There are no sellers left that would test previous price levels, it’s obvious that we found the bottom for months to come, and it’s safe
SpaceX’s most recent Starship test flight may have ended July 24, but its mission isn’t over yet.
The spacecraft splashed down in the Indian Ocean intact after flying halfway around the world from SpaceX’s launch base in South Texas. Engineers expected the ship’s life to end with a fiery disintegration after toppling over, just as past Starships have done following splashdown.
Numerous onboard sensors and cameras, along with buoys and drones in position at the splashdown zone, have provided important data for SpaceX to assess the performance of the ship’s heat shield after each test flight, so officials accepted the post-flight conflagrations. That day, Starship tipped over and remained intact, surprising just about everyone.
Engineers have reams of data from all 13 test flights of Starship and its giant booster rocket, known as the Super Heavy. But there’s no match for inspecting hardware after returning from space. SpaceX routinely recovers and reuses Falcon 9 booster stages with near-flawless performance. The handful of minor failures with the Falcon 9 have centered on the rocket’s single-use upper stage.
Month 1 - any Elon tweet makes price go up.
Month 2 - We debate what the 'project' is bringing in value (we currently here)
Month 3 - SpaceX airdrops holders virtual Otherside Land (or maybe plots on the moon). Price goes up AGAIN! EUPHORIA!
Month 4 - Dump, time to DCA and catch the falling knives.
Month 5- Any good SpaceX news makes price go down. No news makes price go down. CAN'T THE MODS DO ANYTHING?!?!?
Month 6 - We are now 'Community Members' of holders. Who's gonna be the volounteer moderator?
Month 7 - Elon airdrops a coin to diamond holders. Price goes up!
Month 8 - Based on the first coin's success, Elon releases a 2nd coin. Price goes DOWN
Month 9 - rug
As the title states, I know there’s the unlock this Thursday and it looks like the stock is trying to rally right now, going from 140 to 145 in the past hour and a half or is this just momentum trading at work? I haven’t seen any news to suggest why it’s climbing the way it is.
From these 2 weeks price and volume it’s clear that this week it’s going to break 150 and rally up. All 2 weeks were aggressive accumulation, as individuals sell, institutions accumulate. That’s why the target is $600 etc., they will pump the small floating supply to the moon. Liquidity has been steadily climbing. If remaining shorts are liquidated above 150 its gg
Give me the word!!!!!!!!!!!!! lol
I'm in at $120 for 200 shares
Yesterday Space X stock was up 4% on reports that NVIDIA, Google and Harvard took massive positions in the stock as seen in the 13F fillings.
That is however wrong.
What actually happened was Space X trading as a public company is going through its first quarter meaning this is the first time 13Fs had to be filed in the midst of their time as a public company.
In short, these are not new positions, they are actually very old and made at completely different valuations.
Google invested $900m at a $10-12b valuation.
This stake is now worth about $90 billion and is up nearly 100x since its investment.
Google has not sold out of this position yet as part of the IPO as the shares are locked up for the most part, however with each expiry they are becoming sellable as with all other insiders.
NVIDIA made its standard 2 billion investment in its GPU clients to secure customers. Then when xAI got merged into SpaceX at a large markup, that investment ballooned to 20 billion.
Harvard invested through a private fund pre-ipo, to essentially provide early liquidity to investors/employees and sell through later on.
All of these championed investors bought at prices way lower and are having their lockups expire over the next 8 weeks.
Do you think this is good for the stock? Of course, it will be positive for revenue, but do you think SpaceX can turn it into a business with positive margins?
Stock ripped today, vertical candle in after-hours, currently sitting at $149 with a $1.96T market cap. The move looks clean on the chart until you notice the lock-up expiry date sitting right there: August 20, two days away.
Lock-up expiration means insiders and early holders can start selling. Doesn't mean they will, but the overhang is real. The timing of this spike right before expiry is either very bullish or a classic setup to dump into retail enthusiasm.
P/E is listed as Loss, so this is purely a growth/narrative trade. No earnings floor to lean on.
Holding through lock-up expiry or trimming into this strength?
On one hand i was really inclined to believe mark my words guy who said stock is dumping after the lock up ends but on the other hand i have the likes of google,
Nvidia, AMD and Harvard investing in SpaceX.
Who is right?!!!!
Another 319M shares get unlocked on August 20th for early investors and insiders.
Given the volatility around the previous unlock, is it better to buy a tranche now or wait until after the 20th to see if we get a dip? How are you guys playing this?
I hope you’re doing the same !! At 60 shares and counting ! LETS GO ELON !
Locked in gains in stages on the recent sharp SPCX run-up, no need to chase the full peak no matter how tempting the green surge looks. No point risking unrealized profits trying to grab every last penny of that late rally. Seen way too many bags get held from people overstaying their position to milk that final jump. Chart pulled straight, solid reminder to stick to your take-profit rules and don't let FOMO override your trade plan.
Hello boys. Just joined. I have some contracts that expire September 2027 for $200. In Elon, we trust.
Hopefully first of many new and interesting projects on Starfall.