r/nhltraderumours

If Utah matches the Barrett Hayton offer sheet, Shane Wright appears to be one of the more interesting alternatives for New Jersey.

Wright had 27 points in 74 games last season after producing 44 points the previous year. His cap hit is below $900,000, and New Jersey would control his rights after his entry-level contract expires.

The concern is Seattle’s asking price. The Kraken reportedly want fair value and are under no obligation to move him cheaply. My estimate would be a second-round pick plus a B-level prospect or young roster player.

Would that be too much for Wright, or is his age and upside worth the gamble?

Bedard would be matched right away. They have a ton of cap space. 29 million for bedard and two defenseman.

Fantilli on the other hand in Colombus they only have 21 million in cap space. They also need to sign sillinger and jet greaves, their starting goalie.

I know Fantilli maybe won't be carlsson or bedard level but he's got a lot of potential too. Would someone offer him 15 or 16? Or go as high as Philly maybe to hamstring colombus even more.

The Adam Fantilli offer sheet speculation is growing following Philadelphia’s $90-million offer sheet for Leo Carlsson.

There is no confirmed report that the Flyers have contacted Fantilli, so I treated it as a logical possibility rather than a done deal. The interesting part is that Columbus currently appears to have enough cap space to match almost any offer.

Using the current cap projection:

• A $10 million contract would leave Columbus with roughly $11.46 million.
• A $15 million contract would leave approximately $6.46 million.
• An $18 million contract would still fit, leaving about $3.46 million.

Anything above roughly $11.94 million would carry four first-round picks as compensation.

Do you think Columbus should match regardless of the number, or is there a point where taking four first-round picks becomes the better decision?

Leo Carlsson’s five-year offer sheet at an $18-million AAV seems to have completely changed the negotiating environment for Connor Bedard.

Before the Carlsson agreement, Bedard’s reported eight-year range was around $13 million to $16 million annually. At $18 million, the total value becomes $144 million. That is between $16 million and $40 million more than the previous range over an eight-year term.

I still believe Chicago matches any offer sheet and keeps Bedard. The bigger issue is that the Blackhawks may have lost their best comparable and most of their leverage.

Do you think Bedard should receive more than Carlsson, or should he take less to help Chicago build around him?

Friedman reported that the Blues have taken a long look at Alexander Nikishin. Carolina reportedly wants a player who can help immediately and previously rejected a Rangers offer involving a first-round pick and another selection.

Nikishin had 11 goals and 33 points as a rookie, made the All-Rookie Team and would fit the age range of the Blues’ developing core. The difficult part is his next contract, which could consume most of St. Louis’ available cap space.

Who would you consider available, and where would you draw the line?

The Flyers dropping a 5-year, $90M ($18M AAV) offer sheet on Leo Carlsson is officially confirmed. The Ducks have until July 10th to match or take four 1st-round picks.

Here is a quick look at the cap math and why this is so brilliant by Briere:

• The Cap Hit: The 26-27 cap is projected at $104M. Carlsson's $18M AAV eats up 17.3% of that. That’s a massive chunk that will force Anaheim to rethink its entire future core if they match.
• The Leverage: Briere isn't just trying to sign a player; he used pure financial leverage to force a rebuilding team to either blow up their cap structure or give away a 21-year-old franchise center who just put up 67 points and 11 points in 12 playoff games.
• Why Anaheim should match: Four 1st-rounders sound amazing, but picks are mystery boxes. You hope one of those picks turns into a Leo Carlsson. Proven high-end 1Cs are too rare to let walk.

Do you guys think Briere overpaid, or is this the exact right time to make a ruthless move?

With Wright’s agent confirming that Seattle has agreed to move him this summer, Philadelphia looks like an interesting potential destination.

My view is that the Flyers only become the leading contender if Anaheim matches the Carlsson offer sheet. If the Ducks decline, Philadelphia gets Carlsson and no longer needs Wright. If Anaheim matches, the Flyers keep their four first-round picks and could pursue a much cheaper young centre.

Wright had 27 points last season after recording 44 the year before, but he averaged under 14 minutes per game and saw limited power-play time. I still think there is legitimate top-six upside if another team gives him a consistent role.

What would be a fair return, and would Seattle consider a futures-based package if it cannot land an established scorer directly?

Is anybody else getting really tired of the Larkin talks? I think it's pretty clear we don't have the assets to get him. I don't think we're getting him unless we move Jeek, Faber, or Boldy, and I think all three of those guys are better players than Larkin (Jeek and Larkin are equivalent I guess)

We should move on and find someone else right? Anybody have a trade package idea that actually works for Larkin?

Nick Kypreos reported that if the Minnesota Wild want Dylan Larkin, the Detroit Red Wings would want Matt Boldy in return.

I broke down why this is such a tough trade idea. Larkin gives Minnesota the top-six center they need, but Boldy is younger, cheaper, signed long-term, and has strong chemistry with Kaprizov.

From Detroit’s side, I get why Yzerman would ask for Boldy. If you are trading your captain and top center, you need a legit young NHL player back.

But from Minnesota’s side, I do not think this is a move they can make without creating another major hole.

Would you do Boldy for Larkin?

The Jets adding Skinner feels like more than a normal backup signing. If Hellebuyck stays, Winnipeg has a strong tandem. If he gets moved, they are not scrambling for a goalie.

Buffalo and Carolina have both been connected, but the return would have to be massive. I don’t see Winnipeg moving Hellebuyck unless the package includes a premium young player/prospect plus a serious draft asset.

Would you trade Hellebuyck now, or is that the one move the Jets can’t afford to make?

how does bedard’s injury affect his contract negotiations? I say this will transition to a bridge deal instead of long term. I’ll be honest and say I do not trust bedard‘s injury resilience.

considering KD essentially accelerated the rebuild to appease bedard by overpaying for Byram (plus that extension….yikes), it does feel like bedard still holds all the cards…

any chances at offer sheets now?

There’s an interesting wrinkle in the Darnell Nurse trade rumors. The Sharks have reportedly made a play for him, but San Jose is not believed to be on Nurse’s preferred destination list.

That makes this less about whether Edmonton can find interest and more about whether Nurse is willing to expand his list. The cap math is also tough because his $9.25M AAV runs through 2029-30, and Edmonton may need to retain salary or take money back.

Would Sharks fans want Nurse if Edmonton retained salary? And for Oilers fans, what is the minimum return that makes moving him worth it?

After the chaos of free agency, I think this is one of the most interesting rumors left on the board.

Dallas has a cap issue if Robertson really wants around $14M AAV. Pittsburgh has over $25M in cap space, some assets, and just traded for his brother Nick Robertson.

I wrote up a breakdown on whether this is actually realistic, what the Stars would want, and whether the brother connection means anything.

Would you do it if you were Pittsburgh?

It looks like the leafs have cap space to so bit with terms 2-4 years no longer. Matthews might have say it’s going to be exciting for the leafs I see all the tes leaves lining up to a frenzy signings or trades.