r/nrl
Round 12 | Raiders vs Dolphins | Post Match Thread
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BS Power Rankings: Round 12 2026
Hi Everyone!
Here's your BS Power Rankings for Round 12:
| Ranking | Team | Offensive Rating | Defensive Rating | Total Rating | Top 8 | Top 4 | Minor Premiers | Premiers | Wooden Spoon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Panthers | 4.94 (3) | 7.63 (1) | 12.56 (-1.31) | 99.98% | 99.1% | 79.7% | 34.6% | ✗ |
| 2 (+1) | Sea Eagles | 4.44 (4) | 3.16 (2) | 7.60 (+1.61) | 92.9% | 61.9% | 3.4% | 15.1% | 0.0001% |
| 3 (-1) | Roosters | 5.32 (1) | 1.83 (4) | 7.15 (-1.50) | 91.2% | 58.2% | 3.8% | 13.8% | ✗ |
| 4 (+1) | Warriors | 2.69 (7) | 2.85 (3) | 5.54 (+1.93) | 97.0% | 76.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | ✗ |
| 5 (-1) | Sharks | 5.07 (2) | -0.34 (8) | 4.74 (+1.08) | 69.8% | 22.3% | 0.3% | 6.0% | 0.007% |
| 6 (+1) | Dolphins | 2.44 (8) | 1.66 (5) | 4.09 (+1.84) | 64.6% | 19.8% | 0.3% | 5.1% | 0.01% |
| 7 (+1) | Storm | 2.19 (9) | 1.12 (6) | 3.30 (+1.88) | 28.3% | 3.2% | 0.01% | 1.7% | 0.05% |
| 8 (+1) | Cowboys | 2.95 (6) | -0.65 (9) | 2.30 (+1.41) | 72.0% | 23.7% | 0.6% | 4.4% | 0.0004% |
| 9 (-3) | Broncos | 0.48 (11) | -0.08 (7) | 0.41 (-1.95) | 29.4% | 3.4% | 0.01% | 1.1% | 0.06% |
| 10 (+1) | Knights | 3.37 (5) | -3.76 (14) | -0.39 (+1.77) | 67.4% | 19.1% | 0.2% | 2.6% | 0.001% |
| 11 (-1) | Rabbitohs | 1.77 (10) | -3.01 (13) | -1.24 (-1.83) | 48.6% | 10.2% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 0.01% |
| 12 (-) | Raiders | 0.22 (12) | -2.55 (10) | -2.33 (+0.04) | 15.9% | 1.3% | 0.003% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 13 (-) | Tigers | -1.83 (14) | -4.24 (15) | -6.07 (-1.80) | 18.0% | 1.6% | 0.01% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 14 (-) | Eels | -0.66 (13) | -6.31 (17) | -6.98 (-1.67) | 2.4% | 0.1% | ✗ | 0.03% | 2.5% |
| 15 (-) | Bulldogs | -4.67 (15) | -2.88 (12) | -7.56 (-1.03) | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0002% | 0.03% | 3.4% |
| 16 (-) | Titans | -6.21 (16) | -2.79 (11) | -9.00 (-1.67) | 0.4% | 0.01% | ✗ | 0.01% | 12.8% |
| 17 (-) | Dragons | -7.86 (17) | -6.28 (16) | -14.14 (+1.20) | 0.003% | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | 80.5% |
Projected Ladder:
| Rank | Team | Pts (W-L) | PD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Panthers | 46 (20-0-4) | 380 |
| 2 (+1) | Warriors | 40 (17-0-7) | 220 |
| 3 (-1) | Roosters | 38 (16-0-8) | 145 |
| 4 (-) | Sea Eagles | 36 (15-0-9) | 234 |
| 5 (+3) | Cowboys | 34 (14-0-10) | 35 |
| 6 (+3) | Knights | 34 (14-0-10) | 35 |
| 7 (-2) | Sharks | 32 (13-0-11) | 108 |
| 8 (+2) | Dolphins | 32 (13-0-11) | 97 |
| 9 (-3) | Rabbitohs | 30 (12-0-12) | 36 |
| 10 (-3) | Broncos | 30 (12-0-12) | -56 |
| 11 (+1) | Storm | 28 (11-0-13) | 21 |
| 12 (-1) | Tigers | 28 (11-0-13) | -84 |
| 13 (-) | Raiders | 26 (10-0-14) | -107 |
| 14 (+1) | Eels | 24 (9-0-15) | -244 |
| 15 (-1) | Bulldogs | 22 (8-0-16) | -197 |
| 16 (-) | Titans | 18 (6-0-18) | -225 |
| 17 (-) | Dragons | 14 (4-0-20) | -398 |
Round 12 - BS Machine Predictions:
GAME 1: Raiders (39.1%) vs Dolphins (60.5%) - Projected Score: 23 - 28
GAME 2: Bulldogs (30.1%) vs Storm (69.5%) - Projected Score: 18 - 28
GAME 3: Dragons (17.5%) vs Warriors (82.3%) - Projected Score: 14 - 32
GAME 4: Sea Eagles (85.1%) vs Titans (14.7%) - Projected Score: 34 - 12
GAME 5: Cowboys (64.8%) vs Rabbitohs (34.9%) - Projected Score: 31 - 24
Round 11 - BS User Model Predictions*:
GAME 1: Raiders (48.2%) vs Dolphins (49.8%) - Projected Score: 22 - 22
GAME 2: Bulldogs (33.3%) vs Storm (65.5%) - Projected Score: 14 - 27
GAME 3: Dragons (5.6%) vs Warriors (93.6%) - Projected Score: 11 - 35
GAME 4: Sea Eagles (84.2%) vs Titans (14.7%) - Projected Score: 34 - 13
GAME 5: Cowboys (77.0%) vs Rabbitohs (20.9%) - Projected Score: 31 - 19
*Based on 11 user predictions per game to time of posting
BS Machine Record (2025-2026)*:
| Predicted Win Percentage | Number of Predictions | Number of Wins | Win Percentage | Win Percentage (2025 Model) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10% | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 - 20% | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 28.0% |
| 20 - 30% | 25 | 10 | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| 30 - 40% | 26 | 11 | 42.3% | 46.7% |
| 40 - 50% | 31 | 14 | 45.2% | 50.0% |
| 50 - 60% | 32 | 18 | 56.3% | 48.0% |
| 60 - 70% | 25 | 14 | 56.0% | 55.0% |
| 70 - 80% | 25 | 15 | 60.0% | 66.7% |
| 80 - 90% | 4 | 4 | 100.0% | 70.8% |
| 90 - 100% | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 100.0% |
* First 5 rounds predicted with outdated model calibration
User Model Record (2026)*:
| Predicted Win Percentage | Number of Predictions | Number of Wins | Win Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 - 10% | 1 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 10 - 20% | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 20 - 30% | 14 | 5 | 35.7% |
| 30 - 40% | 10 | 2 | 20.0% |
| 40 - 50% | 12 | 6 | 50.0% |
| 50 - 60% | 10 | 6 | 60.0% |
| 60 - 70% | 8 | 6 | 75.0% |
| 70 - 80% | 14 | 9 | 64.3% |
| 80 - 90% | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| 90 - 100% | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
* No predictions prior to Round 7