r/swingtrading

The core business is doing everything right. Bookings have grown over 20% YoY for four straight quarters, EBITDA is up 33% YoY, margins keep expanding, and membership plus cross-platform engagement are both at all-time highs. Management is even guiding toward reaccelerating buybacks. Yet the stock is stuck trading at just 12-15x forward earnings , a discount that has nothing to do with the fundamentals and everything to do with the market still waiting for clarity on the AV transition.

I believe that the AV overhang is overstated. Look at the most mature robotaxi markets, LA, SF, Phoenix , and Uber's own category share is actually rising, not falling. That's the opposite of what you'd expect if AV were about to eat their lunch. My read is that Uber ends up being the AV commercialization and demand-aggregation layer, not the company that gets disrupted by it. They're not betting on one AV horse either , the partnership roster keeps growing (Waymo, Nvidia, Rivian, WeRide, and now Pony.ai for Europe), which tells me they're building themselves into the platform every AV operator needs to actually reach riders, regardless of who wins the underlying tech race.

There's also optionality here that I don't think is priced in at all: Uber for Business, advertising, grocery/retail delivery, and the pending Delivery Hero stake.

The relative valuation is what really makes this compelling to me. Uber does 8x the revenue of Lyft, the #2 player, and yet it trades at a steep discount , 23x '26 earnings, 17x '27 earnings. Breaking it down: ~55% of revenue is ride-hailing, ~35% is Uber Eats, ~10% is freight. DoorDash trades at 31x '27 earnings. If I value Uber Eats anywhere close to DoorDash's multiple, that implies Uber's ride-hailing business alone is trading at way less than 17x earnings , materially cheaper than Lyft's 31x, for a company that's bigger, more diversified, and gaining share in the exact markets where AV is supposedly the biggest threat. That mismatch is the crux of the thesis: the market is punishing Uber's strongest segment like it's the one at risk, while paying up for a smaller single-line competitor.

Hello everyone,

For the past year I was building and testing a platfrom to help me with automating most of the work on finding trade setup, as a part time trader, I didn't have time to watch charts most of the days, so I wanted something to build that I set once, back test for validation, then assign to tickers and it will keep watching till conditions are met then send me a telegram notification.

There are much more to it, and a lot of things in my mind, but want to get some confirmation from users that it's actually something they might be interested in

I've been using it personally for few month and I thought if it worked for me it must works for others, I launched it to public few days ago, but since this is a niche market it was difficult to get signups, so I was hoping that there will be some I terested users in this community to help testing, offcourse I'm going to give them pro plan for a month to test so if any body interested please let me know here

Thanks alot for your time

Ahmed - Founder

Hello everyone,

For the past year I was building and testing a platfrom to help me with automating most of the work on finding trade setups, as a part time trader, I didn't have time to watch charts most of the days, so I wanted something to build logic once, back test for validation, then assign to tickers and it will keep watching till conditions are met then send me a notification to your phone. Been using it personally for couple of month and I thought if it worked for me it must works for others, I launched it to public few days ago, but since this is a niche market it was difficult to get signups, so I was hoping that there will be some I terested users in this community to help testing, offcourse I'm going to give them pro plan to for testing so if any body interested please dm me.

Thanks,

Ahmed

Founder StratOwl

Swing trading with about a 50% win rate overall, but a chunk of those are long-term holds, so my real short-term win rate is more like 25-35%. Winners can take 3-4 months to play out and I struggle knowing when to take profit — recently tried options, still not profitable there either. I put in ~$15k/month and often end up flat because I hold losers too long / average down instead of cutting them. Looking for strategies or traders to follow that could help me build a real system. Any advice appreciated

Hello everyone,

For the past year I was building and testing a platfrom to help me with automating most of the work on finding trade setup, as a part time trader, I didn't have time to watch charts most of the days, so I wanted something to build that I set once, back test for validation, then assign to tickers and it will keep watching till conditions are met then send me a telegram notification. Been using it personally for couple of month and I thought if it worked for me it must works for others, I launched it to public few days ago, but since this is a niche market it was difficult to get signups, so I was hoping that there will be some I terested users in this community to help testing, offcourse I'm going to give them pro plan to for testing so if any body interested please dm me.

Thanks,

Ahmed

Founder - StratOwl

I have a regular office job, so I usually look at BTC after dinner and trade from the daily chart. Most of my spot trades stay open for a few days. For my last one, I wrote down that I would only add after a later daily candle closed above the level I was watching.

I placed a small BTC spot order on BYDFi Monday night. By Tuesday afternoon I had checked the chart from my phone at work and added before the daily candle closed. The next morning I was entering a third order. Nothing in my original setup called for either add. BTC was lower, and I was using that as the whole reason.

I cancelled the third order. I kept the first position and sold back the amount from the second add after work. Now an add needs its own invalidation level and has to fit inside the total position limit I chose before the first order.

The plan was sitting in my notes the whole time. I had read it before placing the first order and still ignored it less than a day later. That was harder to explain away than a bad setup.

The other 30% are lying 😏

Im a swing trader for context ( weekly to daily time frames ) and i think i am pretty good at fundamental and technical analysis, however I just cannot find setups , I just cant find a stock with a good setup and then a week later im searching and I find a breakout like with the stock SO or even PLTR or some stock with a perfect fibbonacci and with stochastic confluence.

How do you do it? Is there a screener or news or even some website? What's the fix?

Honestly, a huge shoutout to this user for the tip he shared a while ago. It's consistently earning about $125 a day for me now. All the instructions are right there on profile: [ usernameeeeee12 ]

Soy analista cuantitativo especializado en el nq100, he terminado un proyecto que llevo tiempo y volumen inviertiendo en él. Ayer lo terminé, que pasa si te dijese que tengo una estrategia, backtesteada durante 6 años, hace sin apalancamiento, MAS RETORNO QUE EL PROPIO NASDAQ, y con un drawdown de menos del 5%, mientras que el nq100 en ese periodo hace un 35%. A partir de la siguiente semana empiezo el trackrecord auditado, no es una estrategia sobreoptimizada, ni un solo sesgo, meseta limpia, partida en 2, nunca se mira futuro, hipotesis sacada en un rango temporal pequeño y desde 2020 generando retorno, compra y vende, no es swing, cuando nasdaq bajaba un 30 % creo o asi el bot 6% positivo. Tengo un informe con los datos y pruebas, la estrategia es completamente privada, e dudado incluso de hacerlo publico por aqui, desconozco que riesgos hay y cuales no. Cualquier aportacion y consejo es bienvenida, soy joven, tengo entre 18 a 30 años. No miento, no quiero perder el tiempo, necesito dinero, ya que no tengo debido a mi historia y demas, tengo la estrategia, tengo las pruebas. Necesitaria ver como hacerlo legal lo de gestionar tambien, no tengo idea, pero necesito unos 500 dolares para empezar con el track record, con 1 nano contrato del indice. No paso el informe por aqui porque temo que cualquiera la tenga aunque creo que no hay nada vulnerable. Un saludo a todos

I signed up to this forums discord tonight and generally it was last active months ago. Are there any full time or highly active traders who would like to set up a group chat? I have been a part of a few over the years, but they all eventually start shiling things or just die away. I would love to be able to have ongoing discourse over investments and trades.

About me: trading for 20+ years, doing it full time for 3 years. Absolutely zero possibility I will try and profit from it: No 'guru' needs your money, and I aint a guru.

Edit: Glad to see so much interest. I will set this up and add the link.

Hi everyone,

Longtime lurker, first-time poster!

Ive been trading for a couple of years and looking to use swing trading as my strategy. I’ve been lucky the past few months simply by buying positions for large cap companies when they are low based on 3MM / YTD trends and selling when they go up (ie RDDT dip earlier this month). I’m patient with my positions, ideally looking to close in a month but don’t mind it going out to 3 months. Still learning and going through resources in the wiki, but a few questions:

How do you analyze data, trends, or company fundamentals when deciding whether to buy or sell?

If you use Robinhood, are there any tools or features within the app that you actually find useful when researching investments or making decisions?

How do you determine when it’s time to sell? For example, I recently held onto a position hoping to hit a 10% gain, even though I could have locked in an 8% profit and am now holding for a bit longer. Do you stick to your profit targets, use technical indicators, or reassess based on new information?

Im looking to learn but I need more than youtube academy. Anybody in the area swing trades profitably and might want to pass on the skill?