James Philbin Autonomy updates from evercore Adas event today
I encourage everyone to listen to the attached link for yourself, but here is some of the most interesting bits I took away from the talk today
No mention of UHF 2.0 anymore. I assume that since it never appeared in official press releases, stoplights and stop signs that were discussed for Q3 is now simply all being rolled into point to point.
“Very much on track” for point to point
“Initial rollout” end of the year.
Some more detail about what this initial rollout looks like:
- Begin rollout to early adopter customers end of this year.
-Continue expanding into next year.
-Full widespread rollout across all vehicles expected next year
Probably some features will remain out of operational domain in first version “such as parking lots.”
After point to point, the big focus on uber taxi, to fully driverless. Dependent on improved disengagement rates
Model is end to end, with domain specific fine tuning. Some of this is being built in expert fleet deployments happening already in initial cities of San Fran, Chicago and Miami.
Rap 1 chips will have priority into r2 later this year for employees, then to customers’ deliveries next year. (Makes sense given the chip validation timetable - there won’t be that many chips available in Dec to deliver and that shouldn’t hold back R2 ramp).
Focus for the autonomy stack is not on boring highway models - but in interesting edge cases. Beginning next year they expect to be increasingly leaning into large scale simulation for both measurement and improvement
Eyes off has big regulatory burden because US is a patchwork. For example - NY state there is no level 3 eyes off pathway.
Level 4 service goal remains late 2028
Uber or fleet partner will purchase the L4 vehicle, but then Rivian will get a software license fee tied to the utilization of the robotaxi, as it’s the Rivian model driving the car.
Robotaxi to come before personal L4, because there will be more domain constraints with that taxi. But it’s mostly the same work so the personal L4 release should be very close after robotaxi.
Nothing in the Uber relationship constrains the ability to monetize personal level 4.
For now, the focus with R2 ramp is on quality in order to make sure customers are very very happy. Then they can start pushing Rivian brand visibility.
Autonomy is separate from the agreement with VW - but Rivian is open to working with other OEMs. The autonomy stack can be tuned for different vehicles and sensors