How significantly did the Tajani decree/DL36-L74 reduce the eligible pool for Italian citizenship by descent?
Prior to the recent reform, Italian authorities and media sources were citing figures in the range of 60 to 80 million people worldwide potentially eligible for citizenship by descent.
With the new rules now largely restricting eligibility to those with an Italian-born parent or grandparent, I’m interested in the measurable impact of the change.
Are there any credible estimates for the current eligible population under the revised framework? Has anyone modeled the percentage reduction compared to the pre-reform pool? Are there projections regarding how much recognition applications may decline going forward? Have any demographic or legal analyses challenged the original 60 to 80 million estimate as overstated in practice?
Interested in government data, legal commentary, demographic modeling, or other evidence-based analysis.