Why War is Inevitable
Since the beginning of time, humans have been engaged in war with one another. It is not a period that I could remember or have studied throughout my short stint on earth that humans have not been at war. Whether it was over religion, land, resources, etc., men have gone to war and died “honorably” behind what they believed in. With new technology invented to help dismantle populations, one would think that wars would probably ease and everyone could live in eternal peace, but no. Currently we have about 21 active wars going on in the world as I type this up now, along with 56 active armed conflicts. Why are wars so prevalent? After the atomic bombings of Nagasaki and Hiroshima, war should have shown mankind that there is another way, yet we choose not to use diplomacy but military strength. The reason why war still persists despite its well-known destructive impact on nations and international order is most importantly because of ideologies. Whether its ideologies about nationalism, religion or revenge… ideologies will always affect whether states will go to war or not. Secondly, in the age of AI there is plenty of disinformation. Finally, war continues to persist for economic resources such as territory, market views (Capitalism/Marxism), and the favorite being oil.
Earlier above, I mentioned how ideologies shape war and I would like to put this in context regarding what is going on in the US, as of late. Since Trump first decided to run for office, he’s been running on this slogan: Make America Great Again and recently this has given way to the “America First” movement. Both slogans are meant to focus on the rise of nationalism, which has heavily affected how this administration handles international diplomacy. According to Sapolsky, “Humans can rein in their instincts and build societies that divert group competition to arenas less destructive than warfare, yet the psychological bases for tribalism persist, even when people understand that their loyalty to their nation, skin color, god, or sports team is as random as the toss of a coin. At the level of the human mind, little prevents new teammates from once again becoming tomorrow's enemies.” Sapolsky shows us that even though we as human beings have built cultural and intuitional laws and norms that take our instinct away from violence, we still favor in-group mechanisms and distrust people or groups we are not as familiar with. This is what has given the rise in nationalism politics in America, even though this path has proven to already be destructive to the ideals that we as Americans have taken hundreds of years to build up and perfect. We are a nation of many nationalities and cultures, but as of late our “tribal minds” have taken over and immigrants or someone who doesn’t share the same skin tone as us have become the enemy.
Furthermore, in the age of “Post-Truth Geopolitics”, as Citron calls it, there lies a great danger. “Thanks to the rise of "deepfakes" -- highly realistic and difficult-to-detect digital manipulations of audio or video -- it is becoming easier than ever to portray someone saying or doing something he or she never said or did.” I wanted to use this example because I have seen plenty of “deepfake” videos over the past couple of months coming from Iran and even our own white house. I want to stick with Iran because earlier this year, I have witnessed Iran’s use of AI-generated deepfake videos and images as a core component of “soft-warfare”. These AI videos were used as psychological operations designed to reshape global opinion regarding the war, and to cause confusion and influence audiences in the U.S. In these deepfake videos, Iran produced battle footage depicting strikes on Isreal landmarks and U.S. warships that created a false perception of military strength. As I watched, I didn’t realize what the Iranian government could be hoping to gain out of this situation. It wasn’t until a month down the line that I started to notice how crucial this tactic could be. Many Americans are indifferent about the war and who I am to say that Iran’s AI deepfakes aren’t one of the leading causes to this confusion. Even I, after watching the videos thought that Iran videos were affected and if I didn’t know any better, I would have took the bait, especially with everything going on in the U.S. now. It’s hard to trust anybody at this moment in time. According to Citron, “Deepfakes have the potential to be especially destructive because they are arriving at a time when it already is becoming harder to separate fact from fiction.”
Lastly, wars continue to persist even though we have the means to live in harmony because governments need resources for their constituents. According to Freedman, “Military power is not only about a nation's armaments and the skill with which they are used. It must take into account the resources of the enemy, as well as the contributions from allies and friends, whether in the form of practical assistance or direct interventions.” I wanted to use this direct quote here because this pretty much summarizes the thinking of powerful governments who have the means to be influential over their neighbors. It’s this nature of always trying to one up the next, kind of like the relationship between siblings fighting for attention. This quote also shows the thinking involved behind the scenes that enables adversaries to engage in an arm’s race. I would like to relay this back to AI systems because this is what is being used to innovate war. As Scharre puts it, “For each country, the real danger is not that it will fall behind its competitors in AI but that the perception of a race will prompt everyone to rush to deploy unsafe AI systems. In their desire to win, countries risk endangering themselves just as much as their opponents.” Countries just want to win! It does not get as simple as that. From competing for the best technology down to the ideals of a nation. Everything is done to say, “I do this better than you.” So, we compete for resources because resources are needed to accomplish these huge goals. Every nation does not have the benefit of Russia or Saudia Arabia to produce half of the world’s oil. Yes, every country has the right to trade resources or to just buy them flat out, but that also depends on relationships that many nations just do not possess.
All in all, the only antidote we have to prevent war is diplomacy. I also had this idea in my head that focusing on domestic issues alone will solve everything else. Trump’s presidency has shown me that I was wrong, and it has also shown me how important it is to have a conversation with your neighbors. Yes, you may not agree on everything, but there may be a thing, or two nations could agree on and build the relationship based solely on those ideas. The Russians called this system, d’etat. Regarding nationalism Sapolsky states , “this solidarity has historically been built on strong cultural markers of pseudo-kinship, it is easily destabilized, particularly by the forces of globalization, which can make people who were once the archetypes of their culture feel irrelevant and bring them into contact with very different sorts of neighbors than their grandparents had.” Over the past ten years, I sort of demonized globalization as this bad thing. I thought countries would lose their identity and cultural aspects, but I couldn’t be further from the truth. In fact, I think that logic was completely flipped and my false reasoning pertained to the nature of nationalism that has destroyed our country in Trump’s past two terms. In Understanding the Causes of War and Peace, Thomas Ohlson states, “While each former adversary obviously seeks the best possible outcome, the conflict resolution process is fundamentally about addressing the issues at hand by redirecting the existing resources and resolve from conflict to peace, from confrontation to compromise.” Nationalism says no to compromising and only deals with what its people want domestically, which is not sustainable if we want to work at world peace.