HOT TAKE: Upsets/Near Upsets keep happening at heavyweight because heavyweights suck.
It is by far the least talented division in boxing and no heavyweight other than Usyk has been deserving of pfp consideration for decades. When Jake Paul switched from Tank Davis to AJ I genuinely thought he had better odds against AJ. Don't get me wrong, he has basically no chance against either but Davis would not have let him land anything. Meanwhile, AJ got countered several times but was simply too big to be bothered by any of the shots. Unfortunately Heavyweight is also the most exciting division for casuals, so most non boxing fans get exposed to the worst boxing has to offer. I don't even need to mention Usyks most recent performance against a non boxer and Fury against a UFC fighter to make my point. Heavyweight sucks. I'd even argue the reason Usyk was so dominant at heavyweight is because he wasn't a heavyweight. He went up in weight and exposed the division for how awful it is. My last hot take is that David Benavidez would have an easier time unifying heavyweight than any other division.