Why isn’t there a prediction market for startup cohorts?
Talking abt this with a buddy in Growth Equity the other day , the concept was take all AI-agent startups funded in 2026, or a YC batch, freeze that cohort, and trade on outcomes like what percentage raise another institutional round within 2 years. Over time, the market price would effectively become a live measure of how expectations for that startup vintage/theme are changing.
Why hasn’t someone attempted this