Why isn’t there a prediction market for startup cohorts?

Talking abt this with a buddy in Growth Equity the other day , the concept was take all AI-agent startups funded in 2026, or a YC batch, freeze that cohort, and trade on outcomes like what percentage raise another institutional round within 2 years. Over time, the market price would effectively become a live measure of how expectations for that startup vintage/theme are changing.

Why hasn’t someone attempted this

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u/DarrenFreight — 3 days ago

Why isn’t there a prediction market for startup cohorts?

Talking abt this with a buddy in Growth Equity the other day , the concept was take all AI-agent startups funded in 2026, or a YC batch, freeze that cohort, and trade on outcomes like what percentage raise another institutional round within 2 years. Over time, the market price would effectively become a live measure of how expectations for that startup vintage/theme are changing.

Why hasn’t someone attempted this

reddit.com
u/DarrenFreight — 3 days ago

Why do people use this ?

Can’t seem to grasp what’s so special about this other than solely the fact that it gives you access to a non-VoIP US number. Was just reading around on here and saw they’re just using T-Mobiles domestic and international network (which I remember being terrible and practically unusable internationally last time I was on TM) . What exactly makes any of this worth $70 a month which is outrageous for a phone plan.

For context I’m a US expat who’s been living in Europe for the past 6 years, I pay maybe $40 a year for a UK and US VoIP number along with a Spanish cell plan for call/text/ unlimited data (in all of Europe + UK) which is like $40 ish bucks a month and gives me the fastest 5g everywhere. When I come back to the states once or twice a year I just grab a $20 eSIM (which I acc get free most of the time thru Revolut). The few apps that I sign up for that need non-VoIP numbers work perfectly with the uk VoIP number as they can’t detect them from the uk as opposed to the us .

Like is it just me or the ICP for this extremely niche?

Also not fully understanding what this company is, reading on the website and online, they’re claiming to be creating a next gen telco and like applying for some licenses or something but that doesn’t seem to be part of the current product given they just run off T-Mobile ?

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u/DarrenFreight — 5 days ago

A320 Panic Attack

Had to buy a last minute flight on BA to a European city, plane was an A320. For some reason they’d only let me choose a seat in the absolute last row of the plane even though there were quite a few empty seats scattered throughout the plane. Was never informed that this row has no window, got to my seat and it doesn’t recline, was noticeably darker than the other rows and there was a very excruciating combination of this music that BA plays during boarding which is like some posh British music and the flight attendants chatting like 2 inches away from me that set off some type of anxiety I’ve never felt before (for context I travel constantly and have since I was a kid, 1-3 flights a month - 1 of those is typically a 10+ hr long haul) , I think it mainly had to do with feeling like Ive got 0 space (because the pitch in these seats are also smaller than literally any other row) and that without windows it feels like you’re in the back of a freight plane. Thankfully I moved up a row to an empty seat but I honestly probably would have had a literal panic attack if I had to stay there.

My question is how can BA get away with selling these seats to paying passengers and not even informing them of all the drawbacks.

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u/DarrenFreight — 2 months ago