u/DoughnutCharming8066

Upcoming earnings for all hyperscalers this month, been in and out MSFT this year. Recently bought a large sum of GOOG, hearing a lot of good about AMZN lately.

So what to expect this month running towards earnings?

Goog most down from ATH (14%) and AMZN trading against the lowest PE value(non gaap) of all. Both tied to anthropic. While MSFT with the best momentum run up and nice news lately, but tied to OpenAI

GOOG is the one having its own AI model, with lots to come these months is my guess. But search is the fear factor, with cannibalism yet still responsible for 50% of its revenue. Both AMZN and GOOG owning large amounts of stake in an 2 trillion IPO company. While GOOG also had a successful Spacex IPO, both Amazon and goog have an 400bln non recurring additional gains this year. Almost as much as 2 years capex each.

What do you think is the stock forecast for the run towards earnings and the upcoming half year? What is the bottom and the heights for these stocks, do you expect good or bad news.

I sold my Broadcom stock. Now with all the bad news ahead and OpenAi telling their ARR is not 70 billion but 50 billion, I don’t believe Broadcom is gonna find a partner to finance this deal with so much risk.

This stock is to much dependent on money burning machines.

After the run up we had three times a 515 rejection, I’m just curious how everyone’s sentiment is running into this week. MSFT is pretty quiet on Reddit posts, not bad or good I think.

We have some good and bad news this week, how do you all reflect on this? And is there some news more to be bearish or bullish about?

Let’s begin with the good news. OpenAI has released their GPT-6 Astra model, should be top in the market right now, i see this as bullish.

Now the bad news, war is back more than ever. Oil prices surging, with some economies ramping up interest rates to get grip on inflation.

Things to watch for this week, Adobe and Oracle are reporting earnings. I don’t expect good results from either of them, sending the software sector in an negative ending for this weeks end.

How is everyone’s sentiment for the mid to long term? I’ve entered in the 380s, but for sure I think there is a lot more in the tank, so I’m not cashing out anytime soon.

I think 600 EOY is possible, but 550-570 is more realistic. On the downside I also think $430-450 as a bottom is possible, even lower isn’t unthinkable.

How do you guys think, are we in like me for the next couple of years. Do we think in negative sentiment short term or more positive?

More people here interested in Broadcom? I bought yesterday because of de dump caused by the Marvell and Google deal.

All semi and AI stock had a good rally, but this stock is only up 3% YTD. If I take a look at the chart and PE ratio’s and growth, it seems like a good buy.

How are you all thinking about Broadcom, is it an easy 20-30 procent jump or what am I missing?

After the big run up to 510, you see people locking in profits, which causes a current slightly downwards trend. This is logic to me, especially after the last run up to 460 and the steep decline back to 350.

I choose to not take profits and hold again, just like last time, through this period. I’m a firm believer of 580-600 EOY and 650 one year forecast. I see 460 as a new support.

So what are you al doing, locking in profits or holding, or both? What is your new buying level?

FYI MSFT is my largest position making up 75% of my portfolio, with 2x leveraged I’m up 50% YTD. From -20 to +50% was a good ride last month.

How do you think Citadel’s reported acquisition of the Aschenbrenner/Situational Awareness NBIS position will affect Nebius going forward?

I’m wondering how people interpret this. On one hand, it’s positive that such a large block found a buyer. On the other hand, Citadel is known for actively trading positions.

Could they end up selling into every rally and cap the upside, or is this being overblown? Does this change your long-term view on Nebius at all, or are the fundamentals still all that matter?

Put-call ratio 0.44

Everyone seems bearish for MSFT earnings but the ratio seems bullish. I don’t really see Capex cut down. Interest rates aren’t in favor either.

What makes people think this stock is going up after earnings? Only thing I can think of is a dump after earnings based on earnings call and algo trading…