u/Hopeful-Internal-919

Both SPY and inflation are going up. Are there analyses on where the U.S. market is heading?

SPY has gone up 7% and VOOG 10% this month. At the same time, US producer price inflation is running at more than 6%. Those numbers seem to be higher than usual. Are there any analyses of where this might be heading? If so, please do share the links.

reddit.com
u/Hopeful-Internal-919 — 9 days ago

Both SPY and inflation are going up. Are there analyses on where the U.S. market is heading?

SPY has gone up 7% and VOOG 10% this month. At the same time, US producer price inflation is running at more than 6%. Those numbers seem to be higher than usual. Are there any analyses of where this might be heading? If so, please do share the links.

reddit.com
u/Hopeful-Internal-919 — 9 days ago

Both SPY and inflation are going up. Are there analyses on where the U.S. market is heading?

SPY has gone up 7% and VOOG 10% this month. At the same time, US producer price inflation is running at more than 6%. Those numbers seem to be higher than usual. Are there any analyses of where this might be heading? If so, please do share the links.

reddit.com
u/Hopeful-Internal-919 — 9 days ago

Both SPY and inflation are going up. Are there analyses on where the U.S. market is heading?

SPY has gone up 7% and VOOG 10% this month. At the same time, US producer price inflation is running at more than 6%. Those numbers seem to be higher than usual. Are there any analyses of where this might be heading? If so, please do share the links.

reddit.com
u/Hopeful-Internal-919 — 9 days ago
▲ 88 r/stocks+1 crossposts

The Buffet indicator is the ratio of the total United States stock market to GDP.  The current ratio of 230% is approximately 75.15% (or about 2.4 standard deviations) above the historical trend line, suggesting that the stock market is Strongly Overvalued relative to GDP.

Does this mean the common advice to invest in something like US 500 or VOOG on the long term and forget about it should be taken with a grain of salt? U.S. market long-term investors, are you worried about the Buffet indicator? What would you expect the overvaluation to lead to? How are you protecting your investments?

u/Hopeful-Internal-919 — 18 days ago

I have $5000. I'm looking to invest at 100:1 in US 500. I would like to place my investment and forget about it, so I'm willing to tolerate a 15% price fall, on the premise that it will eventually go back up (like what happened with the war on Iran, for example). Accordingly, I'm looking to invest 300*100 = $30000.

Am I thinking straight? Would you have anything to correct?

reddit.com
u/Hopeful-Internal-919 — 20 days ago