Some of us might be feeling excited - some scared - some nervous, and some may not even be feeling anything! And all of ours' feelings are valid! With the results tomorrow, I figured we can share some encouragement and motivation, to ease the tensions!
Our result will reflect the efforts we took! Let's tell ourselves that! All the best everyone! Drop your best motivation/story/joke to lighten the mood!
Hey everyone,
I wanted to share an interactive Runoff Triangle sim. I put together. If you're currently studying for your CM2 exams, looking to brush up on techniques, or just want a quick way to visualize claims development without building a spreadsheet from scratch, I think you might find this useful.
You can check it out here:
https://jenishestmoizavut.github.io/simulating-statistics/simulations/runofftriangles.html
I built this to make reserving methods a bit more interactive and easier to practice. Here are the main features:
It supports Basic Chain Ladder, Bornhuetter–Ferguson, Inflation-Adjusted CL, and Average Cost per Claim.
Real-Time Editing & Projections: You can edit any known claim cell directly in the triangle, adjust the triangle size (up to 7x7), and project to ultimate instantly to see how the future (amber) cells update.
Practice Mode: This generates a fresh, randomized triangle. You can calculate the outstanding reserves by hand (or your calculator) and check your figures against the model’s calculations. It even shows full workings! There's a streak counter and a leaderboard in Quiz Mode if you want to compete with others on your reserving accuracy.
You can export the randomized data or your custom triangles straight to Excel or copy them to your clipboard to play around with the data on your own terms.
I’d love to get some feedback from this community. Are there any other reserving methods, tweaks, or specific edge-cases you’d like to see added?
Hope it helps anyone currently grinding through their study sessions!
Hey everyone,
Last year in FY I had to take many leaves due to my exams and hence I ended up spending 15-20m at a time just sitting there calculating my attendance, and even this was done repeatedly cuz I wasn't sure abt my counting. Then I tried maintaining a spreadsheet for 2nd sem but even that was tedious, so I built a quick web app to handle everything in one place.
It's called Attrack. Beyond just logging attendance, I built it to keep track of assignment deadlines and set up specific study targets so you can actually stay on top of your schedule. It's optimized for mobile, so you can just open it up on your phone and use it immediately.
I've been using it for a while now to manage my own tracking and internals, and figured it might be useful to others here too. If someone in ur class is alrdy using it, u can ask them to share the tt so that u don't have to enter ur subs!
Link: jenishestmoizavut.github.io/attrack
Let me know if you give it a shot. If you find any bugs or have ideas for other features that would make things easier, drop a comment!
Hey everyone,
Last year in FY I had to take many leaves due to my exams and hence I ended up spending 15-20m at a time just sitting there calculating my attendance, and even this was done repeatedly cuz I wasn't sure abt my counting. Then I tried maintaining a spreadsheet for 2nd sem but even that was tedious, so I built a quick web app to handle everything in one place.
It's called Attrack. Beyond just logging attendance, I built it to keep track of assignment deadlines and set up specific study targets so you can actually stay on top of your schedule. It's optimized for mobile, so you can just open it up on your phone and use it immediately.
Link: jenishestmoizavut.github.io/attrack
Let me know if you give it a shot. If you find any bugs or have ideas for other features that would make things easier, drop a comment.
For my CS2 exam some concepts seemed very abstract to me, like K-Means Clustering and yk like how do Markov Chains stablise or even how do things tend to Normality as n->inf and so to visualise them I started to develop simulations.
I built a small interactive simulator where you can watch the algorithms run step by step. For ex. In K-Means you can drag centroids around mid-simulation, and see how the clusters reform:
jenishestmoizavut.github.io/simulating-statistics
It helped the concept properly click for CS2, and I think some of it overlaps with CS1 too. There are a few other simulations on the site (random walks, Markov chains, survival curves, law of large numbers, central limit theorem, etc.) which might useful for other parts of the stats papers.
Happy to take requests if there's a concept people find hard to visualize; might build a simulations for it :))
The last 2 sittings my result came at different times, and I'm not sure if DST is being followed by IFoA, so could anyone give the official time if they know? Thank you
My CQS is lowest - how can I improve it?