u/LoadRevolutionary461

NKE at $44 is easy money. ~1.3x sales. Nobody's talking about it which is exactly when i want in.

down ~75% from the $170 highs, sitting near lows last seen in 2017. still a $65B household name, new CEO (Elliott Hill, who came out of retirement to fix it), and analyst PT consensus is $68 with 38 Buys vs 5 Sells. the 5Y chart looks like hell but shows the $42-48 zone has held as base support before.

looking at the $45C 7/17, currently ~$3.00. ATM, earnings ~5 weeks out on june 25 which gives the IV ramp leading in, plus 3 weeks of post-earnings runway to exit.

main risk is macro — iran, china, vietnam tariffs, hoka eating share are all known and priced in.

(yes it popped 4% today, i was watching this before — thesis hasn't changed)

thoughts?

Edit: for people who keep DMing me the screenshots are from Thesis . Not affiliated.

hit $1.019M today. didn't really see it coming because i havent deployed in months.

breakdown: $255k cash (~25%), GOOGL (600 sh), IBIT (3000 sh), GLD (250 sh), NVDA (500 sh), TSLA (250 sh), BRK.B (200 sh). cash has been sitting there because i kept waiting for a better entry on some positions, not sure what to do with it.

thoughts?

Edit: for people who keep DMing me the screenshot is from Thesis . Not affiliated.

follow up to my post from a month ago. tldr: i did nothing. same 6 positions, same $255k cash, didn't deploy a dollar.

portfolio went from ~$928k to $1.019M. the gain was basically GOOGL (+30%) and IBIT (+17%) since i posted. NVDA and TSLA moved too. GLD has been flat the whole time which is fine, pumped hard already, still don't know what to do with the cash.

Macro still bugs me.

Honestly, Im shocked that my portfolio is HIGHER with a whole war going on.

Edit: for people who keep DMing me the screenshot is from Thesis . Not affiliated.