Does matchmaking luck matter more than people admit?
I just had a weird stretch of games and it made me question how much luck actually affects climbing.
I went on a 15 game win streak, then in the next 15 games I lost 12 of them. My own play did not feel drastically different between the two runs, but the results were completely different. That made me wonder how much of League is actually skill, and how much is just being on the right or wrong side of matchmaking for a short period of time.
I know the usual response is that if you are good enough, you will climb no matter what. But in small sample sizes, luck can absolutely decide whether a streak turns into a climb or gets erased by a bad run of teammates, lobbies, or game quality.
That is what I want to ask jungle players: how much do you think luck really matters in matchmaking? And do you think win streaks can sometimes push you into harder games that then cause the swing back down?