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Mohun Bagan and East Bengal are favourites to win their matches, but keep in mind that both SC Delhi and Inter Kashi are reaching towards their tipping point, so a 1-1 draw isn’t highly unlikely.

East Bengal also have an ISL legacy of bottling important moments, and Lobera has underperformed in crucial matches throughout the season.

Punjab FC and Mumbai City FC are evenly matched sides, so the most expected result would probably be a 1-1 draw.

Jamshedpur FC, meanwhile, will face Odisha FC, who are very likely the kind of opponent they can take 3 points from.

That would create a three-way mini points table between Mohun Bagan, East Bengal, and Jamshedpur FC, and guess who’s winning that table?

• Mohun Bagan SG 1-1 East Bengal FC
• East Bengal FC 1-2 Jamshedpur FC
• Jamshedpur FC 1-1 Mohun Bagan SG

Club	H2H Points
Jamshedpur FC	4
Mohun Bagan Super Giant	2
East Bengal FC	1

hence Ronaldo is coming to Jharkhand

source:Shivam Dube

Every Indian football enthusiast’s eyes are currently glued to tonight’s derby clash, which will most likely decide the Indian Super League title. But for the time being, let’s wander around and explore the chances of clubs beyond Kolkata.

let's start with leader of the peck Bengluru FC

They have finish their season with 23 points, there is possibility where both the Kolkata giants can also end up their season with 23 points as well

Despite that Bengluru can't even pass for title race tie break, because before this they have to pass another tie break

Let assume Punjab FC and Mumbai City FC also ended in 0-0 draw

Club	H2H Points
Punjab FC	4
Mumbai City FC	2
Bengaluru FC	1

So we realise by now, Bengluru FC is not winning the league this time, But you wonder naturally what if, we get 6 way tie break

Club	H2H Points
East Bengal	7
Punjab FC	6
Mohun Bagan	6
Bengaluru FC	6
FC Goa	6
Mumbai City FC	5

So let's now move to the favourites to win the title

let see how many combination possible with each results

If East Bengal beat Mohun Bagan in the derby

EB vs Inter Kashi	MB vs Sporting Delhi	Final Points (EB-MB)	League Winner
W	W	28-25	East Bengal
W	D	28-23	East Bengal
W	L	28-22	East Bengal
D	W	26-25	East Bengal
D	D	26-23	East Bengal
D	L	26-22	East Bengal
L	W	25-25	East Bengal (H2H)
L	D	25-23	East Bengal
L	L	25-22	East Bengal

If the derby ends in a draw

EB vs Inter Kashi	MB vs Sporting Delhi	Final Points (EB-MB)	League Winner
W	W	26-26	East Bengal (GD advantage)
W	D	26-24	East Bengal
W	L	26-23	East Bengal
D	W	24-26	Mohun Bagan
D	D	24-24	East Bengal (GD advantage)
D	L	24-23	East Bengal
L	W	23-26	Mohun Bagan
L	D	23-24	Mohun Bagan
L	L	23-23	East Bengal (GD advantage)

If Mohun Bagan beat East Bengal in the derby

EB vs Inter Kashi	MB vs Sporting Delhi	Final Points (EB-MB)	League Winner
W	W	25-28	Mohun Bagan
W	D	25-26	Mohun Bagan
W	L	25-25	Mohun Bagan (H2H)
D	W	23-28	Mohun Bagan
D	D	23-26	Mohun Bagan
D	L	23-25	Mohun Bagan
L	W	22-28	Mohun Bagan
L	D	22-26	Mohun Bagan
L	L	22-25	Mohun Bagan

If we put all 27 combination together Mohun Bagan needs to win the derby more than East Bengal to defend their league title

East Bengal is in comfort spot with their superior GD, Unless they do some East Bengal things, title is their to loose

let's move down a little in point table to see, is there dark horse to spoil the party in Kolkata?

Before moving on, let's eliminate FC Goa, they can reach to 23 points mark Tommorow, but they are losing the direct H2H tiebreak to Bengluru FC, so no point talking about them any further

Mumbai City FC and Punjab FC are in similar position, they both can reach 25 points

They need Kolkata clubs to not reach 25 points which is possible but boring and very unlikely to happened

let's assume both Kolkata clubs reaches to 25 points and make thing intresting with a four 3 way tie break

Scenario:1

Mohun Bagan win derby

Mumbai City FC reach 25 points

Club	H2H Points	H2H GD	H2H Goals Scored	Overall GD
East Bengal FC	3	0	2	+18
Mumbai City FC	3	0	2	+6
Mohun Bagan Super Giant	3	0	1	+13

Scenario 2

Mohun Bagan win derby

Punjab FC reach 25 points

Club	H2H Points
Mohun Bagan Super Giant	6
Punjab FC	1
East Bengal FC	1

Scenario 3

Derby: East Bengal FC win derby

Mumbai City FC reach 25 points

Club	H2H Points	H2H GD	H2H Goals Scored
East Bengal FC	6	+2	3
Mumbai City FC	3	0	2
Mohun Bagan Super Giant	0	-2	0

Scenario 4 East Bengal win derby

Punjab FC reach 25 points

Club	H2H Points
East Bengal FC	4
Mohun Bagan Super Giant	3
Punjab FC	1

So we see that, it's very outside chance for both Mumbai City FC and Punjab FC to actually win the title but both of them have a good shot for the Asian spot if Mohun Bagan wins the league

Now last and the least possible favourite to win the title Jamshedpur FC, They need to win their final match and hope that Kolkata clubs draw the derby and their final match and also Mumbai City FC and Punjab FC match end at draw as well to take the situation to the 3 way tie break

Club	H2H Points
Jamshedpur FC	4
Mohun Bagan Super Giant	2
East Bengal FC	1

what the fudge, Jamshedpur FC can actually win the league and Ronaldo have to cum in Jharkhand💦

credit: Stephen Fleming