Come and see it for yourself.
https://pickleartgeek.github.io/wikiElections
Features:
Over the past month or so, I have been hard at work, building this project behind the scenes. Let's dive into what it entails.
In summary, BallotTSR is a TSR-exclusive polling/election app that aims to combine the complexity of a Google Forms poll with the interactivity of a native Reddit poll, while also bringing more election security and enjoyment to polls/mod elections as a whole.
The app is not perfect in any means and bugs are likely to arise. I ask that you use it with good intention and if issues appear, DM me or any member of the mod team. Your feedback matters. I apologise for any shortcomings it may have in advance.
Only moderators will be able to post polls for now to hopefully weed out any issues.
How do you plan to hold elections using this app?
I aim to carry over the old VoterID system in a way that respects our established "voter groups", though most authentication now goes through your username.
When you vote in/see a poll, your voterID is automatically created for you. No need to register, though this means you'll very probably have a different VoterID than the old google forms one. You will have a VoterID regardless of subreddit karma.
Official elections require you to have more than 30 subreddit karma to vote. This is in accordance with subreddit law.
The VoterID never leaves your account to a server someone can view. It's stored on your end.
Do I need to remember my new VoterID?
No - but please keep your old one somewhere safe in case of technical issues.
Was this approved by Glockcomm The Bay Harbor Dictator Bi Onecom The Elections Secretary?
Yes.
Does anyone else see my VoterID/the way I voted?
Only the Election Secretary does, and there's a whole system of checks to even assign that role as is. This also only applies to official elections - regular polls are completely private.
If you have any more questions, in with them!
Out of the three polls (not counting RepFee's poll because I couldn't find the results)
| Rank | Pollster | Sample Size | Mean Absolute Error (MAE) | Total Absolute Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PracticalPurpose Polling🏆 | 18 | 3.18% | 22.23% |
| 2 | Golden Eagle Gallup | 18 | 3.63% | 25.38% |
| 3 | Spinner Insights | 35 | 4.62% | 32.37% |
These are the averaged deviations from the election's first round.
| Candidate | Avg Poll % | Actual Election % | Avg Absolute Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| wiptes167 | 31.74% | 33.33% | 1.59% |
| Nazibol1234 | 22.54% | 19.05% | 6.66% |
| FloofReborn | 9.36% | 14.28% | 4.92% |
| Max_flares | 11.16% | 14.28% | 4.71% |
| Disguised_VW_Beetle | 9.96% | 9.52% | 3.08% |
| JackColon17 | 7.46% | 4.76% | 2.70% |
| ICantThinkOfAName827 | 7.76% | 4.76% | 3.00% |
Polls usually got wiptes within the correct range, though the same cannot be said for Nazibol, who Spinner Insights overestimated by a total of 15%.
Props to Plant for doing a more detailed multiple choice.
u/practicalpurpose is free to set their flair to "TSR's Number One Pollster" at any time until the next election.
Stay tuned and put a poll out there next campaign season! Who knows, maybe you'll be the one to get it bang-on!
Hello folks, another election, another mod vote on props. 44 is included because of 48 passing.
Meme prop 40 is now sometimes "law".
> Proposition P
> The questioning of said proposition will be as follows:
>u/PickleArtGeek?
> 1. Yes
> 2. No
> 3. Haha sometimes
Author: u/Impressive_Plant4418
Meme prop 41 is now "law"
>TSR Medicaid Expansion
This raises income eligibility limits for Medicaid benefits to 138% of the federal poverty level, any person that makes 138% of FPL or below shall qualify for Expanded Medicaid regardless of other criteria they may or may not meet.
Author: u/wiptes167
Meme prop 43 is now "law".
>The Beetle Amendment:
This amendment also hereby makes it legal for PickleArtGeek to run for more than one mod seat at a time.
Author: u/Disguised_VW_Beetle
Prop 44 has failed.
> Rule Reduction Act: This proposition deletes rule 8 so u/Impressive_Plant4418 can harvest our data.
Author: u/Disguised_VW_Beetle
>An Act for Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026 >This act will heavily discourage the 'shilling' or promotion of prediction market apps such as Kalshi and Polymarket, but not limited to just these mentioned apps. It should reinterpret Rule 3 'No Astroturf Spam' to include any 'shilling' or promotion of prediction market apps as it is still technically astroturfing.
Author: u/Minneiska
> Safeguard Voter Eligibility and Mod Eligibility Amendment (SaVE ME Amendment) > > For the sake of clarification, the Subreddit's Constitution shall be amended such that: > An Elected-Mod may not be a candidate in another Elected-Mod election if the new term overlaps with their current term. > Furthermore, no individual may, through sockpuppetry or other means, hold more than one Mod position at a time. > Furthermore, a voter ID may be revoked or suspended for severe violations of sub law, election fraud, or gross non-compliance with voter requirements. > If the Pickle Amendment is passed on the same ballot as this Amendment, the Pickle Amendment will override conflicting language in this Amendment such that both can be harmonously implemented.
Author: u/practicalpurpose
> MAJORITY RULES AMENDMENT > > This Amendment removes the 60% requirement for passage of a Prop that modifies enforceable Sub Rules. Enforceable Sub Rule changes are to still require the "full approval of a Prop" but only a majority is necessary to pass the popular vote portion of the process. > > If this Amendment is passed, this Amendment would apply to any Sub Rule changes proposed on the same ballot as this Amendment.
Author: u/practicalpurpose
> The Corvette Proposition: >The questioning of said proposition will be as follows: > Do you like ice cream? > 1. Yes > 2. No > 3. MINNESODA!!!
Author: u/Disguised_VW_Beetle
#TLDR
40: Haha sometimes
41: PASSED
43: PASSED
44: FAILED
46: PASSED
47: PASSED
48: PASSED
50: MINNESODA!!!
Electoral calculations have allowed DDTSR to make this call.
DDTSR reserves the right to retract calls at any time.
It is unclear who their opponent will be at this time.
With our Class 6 Mod campaign just about done, I decided to take a look at the polls we have right now(along with lots of historical context) and what they might say about the outcome of the election. Let’s dive in.
In regards to polling, the usual answer is yes, and this holds up in TSR as well, in certain cases at the very least.
Travelling back in time 10 months takes us to the September 2025 Class 1 Mod Election, where incumbent mod Impressive_Plant won in a landslide against two challengers. That election had six polls published over the course of the whole campaign, with varying sample sizes. The top half in regards to sample size had wildly varying results, one putting Plant at slightly over 70% in the first round, while Plant’s own internal(albeit conducted earlier than declarations) had him losing by over 20% in the first round.
| Date / Type | Pollster | Sample Size | Impressive_Plant4418 | HighKingFloof | Disguised_VW_Beetle | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual Result | Elecitons Secretary | 33 | 19 (57.57%) | 8 (24.24%) | 6 (18.18%) | — | Impressive_Plant +33.33% |
| 21 September | Spinner Insights | 27 | 55.56% | 29.63% | 14.81% | — | Impressive_Plant +25.93% |
| 23 September | EggPolls | 24 | 70.83% | 20.83% | 8.34% | — | Impressive_Plant +50% |
| 14 September | Impressive_Plant4418 | 22 | 31.82% | 54.54% (TSP Nominee) | — | 13.64% (Undecided) | HighKingFloof +22.73% |
The concurrent Class 5 Election showed a different picture, though. gunsmokexeon was the favourite to win the election, according to polls at least. They showed different levels of support but ultimately overstated smaller candidates and missed the actual first round margin from as few as 8% to as many as 34%. gunsmoke lost the election to Forsaken_Wedding by a single vote with a first round margin of Forsaken +3.03.
The most accurate poll this election was the one that collected data last.
Ever since then, polling has evolved and shifted, missing some elections and getting others more or less correct.
With this in mind, I believe the most accurate poll is the one with a right mix of the closest sample size to actual turnout and proximity to election day. Mind you, that actual turnout has been declining from the highs of some 35 votes last year to just 16 one month ago. That sometimes ends up in the poll having more responses than the election.
To answer my original question, more isn’t always better. If you want to gauge how voters feel, poll the closest amount possible to actual turnout.
Class 6 has four polls with public results as of now, all available here and in the spreadsheet below:
https://thespinroom.miraheze.org/wiki/July_2026_Class_6_Mod_Election#Polling
The ones with a higher sample size show Nazibol leading the race with a narrow margin against incumbent moderator wiptes, however, there’s plenty of reason to believe that it simply won’t push them over the line.
| Date | Pollster | Sample Size | wiptes167 | Disguised_VW_Beetle | JackColon17 | Nazibol1234 | ICantThinkOfAName827 | Max_flares | FloofReborn | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 July | Golden Eagle Gallup | 18 | 33.33% | 5.56% | 11.11% | 16.67% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | wiptes167 +16.67 |
| 26 July | Spinner Insights | 35 | 28.57% | 14.28% - shared with ICantThinkOfAName827 | 5.71% | 34.28% | 14.28% - shared with Disguised_VW_Beetle | 5.71% | 11.42% | Nazibol1234 +5.71 |
| 26 July | PracticalPurpose Polling | 18 | 33.33% | 22.22% - shared with ICantThinkOfAName827 | 5.56% | 16.67% | 22.22% - shared with Disguised_VW_Beetle | 16.67% | 5.56% | wiptes167 +16.67 |
| Date | Pollster | Sample Size | wiptes167 | Disguised_VW_Beetle | JackColon17 | Nazibol1234 | ICantThinkOfAName827 | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July | Spinner Insights | 23 | 30.43% | 17.39% | 17.39% | 34.78% | 0% | Nazibol1234 +4.35 |
The polls with lower sample sizes in this instance are probably made up of more active voters, those who have a VoterID and actually bother to vote. As I stated earlier, turnout in the last election was 16 voters. Turnout on this election’s polls is 18 at its lowest and 35 at its highest, with lower size polls giving wiptes a sizable lead in the first round(as well as Golden Eagle Gallup’s final-round of RCV estimation showing the largest potential landslide in TSR history.)
It seems voter enthusiasm is soaring to the highest highs in 6 months, and all things considered, I would estimate turnout to be around 18 votes. That means wiptes, in my opinion, is set to win the first round comfortably(+20), and potentially reach the territory of the largest percentage of votes in TSR history(>70.4%). If turnout attacks 25 or higher (unlikely to happen in my opinion), there might be a closer first round and RCV will do the rest.
Probabilities coming soon.
Watch out for possible per-group data on the TSRElects webpage: https://pickleartgeek.github.io/wikiElectionsResults/
Also look out for new BaseCalc polling aggregation over at https://wikielectionstsr.my.canva.site/basecalc-2
Poll analysis coming soon!
Welcome to the debate! You are free to ask questions to any candidate(s), or just sit by and watch.
Rules:
Candidates are allowed to respond to any debate response.
Everyone may ask questions freely, regardless of moderator status.
That's it for rules, now some useful resources.
List of candidates:
Godspeed to all candidates.
P.S.: You can reach candidates easier by tagging them with the u/, for example u/PickleArtGeek.
Over the course of this election campaign, you are free to post polls asking your fellow Spinners who they will vote for.
The person who gets the first round(final round too if you have ranked choice voting) the most bang-on wins TheSpinRoom's #1 Pollster user flair!
(To prevent excessive poll spam, the maximum amount of polls will be 4 per person.)
P.S.: Use the "Poll the Subreddit" post flair.
If you would vote either Beetle or ICantThinkOfAName, write it in the comments (an RCV ballot would be appreciated as well!)
Put your Ranked Choice Voting ballot below or in DMs!
As per usual, everyone (including you, the reader, you the lurker, and you the engaged member) is free to ask anything within the bounds of reason!
