r/thespinroom

Turnout across years is relatively stable and registration is the strongest predictor over all other models

u/_BCConservative — 1 day ago

Doug Mastriano was so shit that Shapiro got more GOP crossovers than Susan Collins, which is why he won by so much

u/_BCConservative — 1 day ago

Fun fact: If you adjust the CPVI of Montana to the level of Alaska, Tester would have won by 1 point in 2024

u/_BCConservative — 23 hours ago
▲ 22 r/thespinroom+1 crossposts

Amelia Boultbee, the Independent MLA who left the BC Conservatives, is now a New Democrat.

u/_BCConservative — 2 days ago
▲ 169 r/thespinroom+1 crossposts

NYT/Sienna poll - preference on control of Senate.

We can look at individual poll results but I think this one particular question is more telling:
"What is your preference for the outcome of this year's U.S."

The Democrats lead in only two states for this question despite all the other results which are more favorable to Dems.

u/Intelligent_Wafer562 — 2 days ago

Vox: People in the US want lower taxes and lower spending more than ever, but socialism is more popular than ever and Medicare For All polls strongly

u/_BCConservative — 2 days ago