u/SecretComposer

Despite extreme disappointment among Democrats with last night's Georgia results, Black turnout soared and Dems still had a big turnout advantage

Link to source tweet

> Two-party turnout in Georgia’s 2026 gubernatorial primary, mapped by county, with 2024 presidential results shown on the right. > > Democrats dominated the Black Belt and Metro Atlanta alike, with Black enthusiasm through the roof post-VRA.

🔵 53.6% | 🔴 46.4% Statewide

Obviously there was a big failure among GA Dems at getting their voters to understand who to vote for in the SC races, with many voting for the incumbents. Now the questions are, how do GA Dems learn from this mistake and keep their voters engaged for November after disappointment last night, especially with an apparently unpopular gubernatorial candidate in Keisha Lance Bottoms (who under-performed in Fulton County), and will they be able to do it?

reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 1 day ago

KU wins its first ever regular season Big 12 Championship!

Kansas wins outright at least a share of the Big 12 for the first time in program history, and captures its first conference title overall since 1949! 22 conference wins is also a program record, beating the old record of 20 set last year. KU finished second last year despite having the most wins in conference due to West Virginia having a game canceled.

reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 6 days ago
▲ 361 r/stocks

Bessent sees ‘substantial disinflation’ ahead as Warsh takes over the Fed

CNBC

> “I firmly believe that nothing is more transient than a supply shock, and we can, we can look through that, because before the Iranian conflict began, core inflation was coming down,” Bessent told CNBC’s Joe Kernen from the sidelines of President Donald Trump’s summit with his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. “So I think core inflation will continue coming down.”

Does this not sound like Biden & Co saying that the post-COVID inflation shock was "transitory"?

>Bessent said he thinks there will be one or two more “hot inflation numbers, but then I think we’re going to see substantial disinflation.”
> >“I was never on team transitory during Covid,” Bessent said. “We’ll get to the other side of this, and I don’t know whether it’s a few days or a few weeks, and energy inflation will come back down.”

u/SecretComposer — 7 days ago

CNN/SSRS: 70% of Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of economy, 77% find his policies have increased cost of living; approval is 35%

Link to CNN article

Link to poll data

Survey also found:

  • 67% disapprove of how he's "helping the middle class"
  • 62% disapprove of how he's handling taxes
  • 74% disapprove of his handling of inflation
  • 79% disapprove of his handling of gas prices (+3 since their March poll)
  • 73% net that the economy is "poor" (-4 vs March); in September 2018, this answer was 31% net poor
  • 69% believe US economy will enter recession within the next year

Respondents also say economy/cost of living is their biggest concern (55%, +13% since January 2026)

>The public is close to evenly split on which political party would do a better job of dealing with the economy. That contrasts with the GOP’s typical advantage on the issue during the Biden era: In one 2022 CNN survey, Americans said by a 15-point margin that the Republican Party’s economic views were closer to their own.

Poll also found respondents believe ____ has had a negative effect on their finances:

  • War with Iran (75%)
  • Tariffs (65%)
  • Increasing use of AI (46%)
  • Recent changes to tax law (41%)

If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district? This was RV:
Democrat: 45% (-3 from March) Republican: 42% (=)

u/SecretComposer — 9 days ago

Between TX, FL, AL, LA, TN, and MS re-drawing or in the process of re-drawing, VA being overturned, other Democratic states apparently still refusing to entertain the idea of redrawing (or it not being possible) such as OR, WA, and CO, and an already near vertical climb to even just tie the Senate, have Democrats effectively lost the midterms already, just because of gerrymandering months before?

In the 20th Century, Democrats controlled Congress for something like 50 straight years. Have 21st Century Democrats' "moral superiority" effectively killed themselves into a 50 year minority?

People have talked about many of these re-draws being dummymanders, but that's only hypothetical, and many of those seats are still R+10-15, no? With trends in the GCB narrowing, it seems extremely unlikely Democrats will be able to field strong enough candidates that can overcome that.

Even if a Democratic is elected president in 2028, it's effectively 2008 all over again: 2030 midterms will come during a Census year in which Republicans will continue to gerrymander their states to the absolute max and the ruling House party (presuming its Democrats) will undoubtedly lose dozens of seats.

The only "hope" I can imagine for Democrats is if its voters become extra enraged that their efforts to gerrymander are blocked while Republicans can continue to do so at will with zero pushback and zero input from voters like CA and VA, that they become so motivated to vote that it can manifest a dummymander...but I'm not sure there are enough Democrats in places like TN/AL/LA/MS to make such a thing possible.

reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 13 days ago

There's been a ton of discussion on this sub lately that "Democrats will likely win in 2026 and 2028, but they'll be doomed after 2030 as it'll be virtually impossible for them to ever win federally again because of the census and population trends."

The argument for this is populations in states like California, New York, and Colorado falling while populations in places like Texas, Florida, and Tennessee continue to rise. Also, that states like TX, FL, and TN are "way cheaper" than states like CA, CO, and NY so that's why people are fleeing to those cheaper states, which will give them more seats in the House, and being Republican states, a certainty that they'll gerrymander to the point that even in blue wave environments in the 2030s it'll be impossible for Democrats to take control of the House, much less Senate, for a decade. Then there's the electoral college giving those red states more power, which is a totally separate conversation.

Is any of this reasonable? Why is it assumed cost of living in states like the above mentioned will be forever cheaper and a reason why Republicans have already won the entirety of the 2030s? Wouldn't more people moving create strain on supply, raise prices, and then they face the same problems many blue states face now. You can argue "their taxes are lower," but lower overall taxing isn't the end all be all. Why is it also assumed that every person moving to these states is Republican, therefore solidifying Republican control?

It's humorous to me, to an extent, seeing people on the left happy now about 2026 and 2028 but already conceding defeat for an entire DECADE that has yet to come.

reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 16 days ago

I never knew college baseball could be so fun but it's thrilling when your program suddenly lights up, so here's a thread of more accomplishments under Fitz. We may not be the LSU or Oregon State or Nebraska of the sphere, but it's fun to share when your baseball history really isn't spectacular.

> The Jayhawks are the first Big 12 team with 20 conference wins in back-to-back seasons since Nebraska in 2000-001.
^^^^(That ^^^is ^^^a ^^^wild ^^^stat)

> The Jayhawks have matched their best overall record through 48 games in school history (1993). KU has at least 37 wins in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 1993-94 and only the second time ever.

> KU has two winning streaks of at least 10 games in the same season for the first time in school history.

> Kansas is a perfect 12-0 in Big 12 games at Hoglund Ballpark this season. That marks the longest Big 12 home winning streak for Kansas in program history

reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 18 days ago

Box Score.

KU scored 4 in the top of the 8th. I didn't realize college baseball could call a game in the 8th. Also, this is the first time in school history that KU swept K-State, Mizzou, Nebraska, and Wichita State in the same season, including 3 run rule victories.

reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 23 days ago

We’re by no means a baseball school. It’s always been a tertiary sport. That said, KU has been on a tear.

  • Currently ranked #11, highest ever ranking in D1Baseball’s polls
  • Swept Mizzou, Nebraska, and KSU
  • Swept KSU in Manhattan for the first time since 1963 (!)
  • 7 game win streak vs KSU, longest since 1979-80
  • Has won 17 of 18 (one of the best streaks in school history)
  • That 17 of 18 included an 11 game winning streak, the longest since 1994
  • Only team in Big 12 with at least 70 regular season wins the past two seasons, and one of only eight nationally
  • At least 15 conference wins in three consecutive seasons for the first time in school history
  • 18-2 in last 20 conference games
  • 9-0 start at home in conference was best start in school history
  • Set school record for attendance at a bit over 2,600
  • Starting lineup is composed of players who were either D2, juco, or NAIA
reddit.com
u/SecretComposer — 24 days ago