u/Silly-Fly-159

edit: just to clarify, I am not, and never will be, a Pokémon "investor." To be honest, I think this market could absolutely tank. It feels like it's built on artificial scarcity, temporary hype, and FOMO.
I'm just genuinely curious why so many people insist that the market can only go up. They seem completely convinced it will never crash, yet rarely offer any real reasoning. My guess is that many simply don't want to consider the possibility because doing so would also mean considering that they may have made a poor and impulsive investment.

I couldn't find an existing discussion on this, so if there already is one, I apologize.
I'm genuinely curious to hear people's predictions about the long-term value of sealed Pokémon products. It seems like a lot of people are investing in sealed Pokémon today with the hope that it will eventually become a college fund or even a down payment on a home.
We've seen vintage sealed products appreciate tremendously, but those are much rarer, aren't they? Obviously, some people were keeping Pokémon products sealed 20–30 years ago, but it had to be much more of a niche hobby. Today, it feels like everyone is investing in or trading sealed modern Pokémon products.
I understand how rip-and-ship sellers make money by flipping products quickly. Buyers are often willing to pay a premium because of FOMO or perceived scarcity. But what happens years from now if all of today's investors decide it's time to sell? Could the market become flooded with sealed product, or are most people planning to flip it long before then?
There's no denying that Pokémon is an incredibly strong brand with a loyal fan base, so I don't think it's going anywhere. At the same time, it feels like some people are buying in simply because it's the current trend. Last summer, it seemed like everyone was chasing Labubus. Next summer, it could be something else entirely.
I'm not trying to be negative or argue that sealed Pokémon is a bad investment. I'm just curious how people think modern sealed products will perform over the next 10-20 years, especially considering how many people are intentionally holding them as investments today compared to the vintage era.

I couldn't find an existing discussion on this, so if there already is one, I apologize.
I'm genuinely curious to hear people's predictions about the long-term value of sealed Pokémon products. It seems like a lot of people are investing in sealed Pokémon today with the hope that it will eventually become a college fund or even a down payment on a home.
We've seen vintage sealed products appreciate tremendously, but those are much rarer, aren't they? Obviously, some people were keeping Pokémon products sealed 20–30 years ago, but it had to be much more of a niche hobby. Today, it feels like everyone is investing in or trading sealed modern Pokémon products.
I understand how rip-and-ship sellers make money by flipping products quickly. Buyers are often willing to pay a premium because of FOMO or perceived scarcity. But what happens years from now if all of today's investors decide it's time to sell? Could the market become flooded with sealed product, or are most people planning to flip it long before then?
There's no denying that Pokémon is an incredibly strong brand with a loyal fan base, so I don't think it's going anywhere. At the same time, it feels like some people are buying in simply because it's the current trend. Last summer, it seemed like everyone was chasing Labubus. Next summer, it could be something else entirely.
I'm not trying to be negative or argue that sealed Pokémon is a bad investment. I'm just curious how people think modern sealed products will perform over the next 20–30 years, especially considering how many people are intentionally holding them as investments today compared to the vintage era.