▲ 22 r/YAPms

If UK Labour's Burnham takes the helm as party leader, Labour leads Reform UK—Labour 27% (307 seats, hung parliament), Reform UK 26% (170 seats). However, if Starmer were to remain Labour party leader, Labour would lag hugely—Reform UK 27% (312 seats, hung parliament), Labour 22% (131 seats).

Sources: BMG Research (poll) and Poliwave (seats projection)

u/StarlightDown — 3 days ago

If UK Labour's Burnham takes the helm as party leader, Labour leads Reform UK—Labour 27% (307 seats, hung parliament), Reform UK 26% (170 seats). However, if Starmer were to remain Labour party leader, Labour would lag hugely—Reform UK 27% (312 seats, hung parliament), Labour 22% (131 seats).

Sources: BMG Research (poll) and Poliwave (seats projection)

u/StarlightDown — 3 days ago
▲ 11 r/YAPms

Ahead of last month's Sioux Falls, South Dakota Mayoral election, the only model of the election predicted a 1-point Democratic defeat. The actual result was a 2-vote Democratic defeat, out of ~37,000 votes cast. On July 1, a recount request was filed, but the Republican has already declared victory

Sources: Race Lab and SiouxFalls.gov

u/StarlightDown — 4 days ago

Ahead of last month's Sioux Falls, South Dakota Mayoral election, the only model of the election predicted a 1-point Democratic defeat. The actual result was a 2-vote Democratic defeat, out of ~37,000 votes cast. On July 1, a recount request was filed, but the Republican has already declared victory

Sources: Race Lab and SiouxFalls.gov

u/StarlightDown — 4 days ago

[YouGov] One Nation of Orange—Australia’s center-right Coalition suffers its worst-ever poll result (17%), and is set to be wiped out of its rural strongholds, retaining just 7 seats (-36)—a result far worse than center-right Independents. The far-right One Nation (30%) is set to win 44 seats (+44).

u/StarlightDown — 4 days ago
▲ 5 r/YAPms

In 2024, Columbia Falls, Montana voted for Trump by a 20-point margin. In 2025, the same city elected a Communist Party politician, Christopher Semok—Robinson 30%, Stob 28%, Semok 21%, Pennington 18% (eliminated). In late June 2026, 22-year-old Semok was thrown out of the Communist Party.

u/StarlightDown — 5 days ago

In 2024, Columbia Falls, Montana voted for Trump by a 20-point margin. In 2025, the same city elected a Communist Party politician, Christopher Semok—Robinson 30%, Stob 28%, Semok 21%, Pennington 18% (eliminated). In late June 2026, 22-year-old Semok was thrown out of the Communist Party.

u/StarlightDown — 5 days ago
▲ 54 r/YAPms+2 crossposts

[Sonoma County, California] A progressive leads in the District 2 County Board of Supervisors race—Paun (Working Families Party-endorsed) 41%, Lemus (police union-endorsed) 25%; all others eliminated and do not advance to November general election. The incumbent for this seat, Rabbitt, is a moderate

Sources:

Ballotpedia/DDHQ

The Press Democrat, a moderate-leaning publication with a conservative history (endorsed Lemus)

u/StarlightDown — 6 days ago
▲ 59 r/YAPms+1 crossposts

[Austria] The far-right party FPÖ, which was founded by a now-dead Nazi Party Minister and which has a formal alliance with Vladimir Putin's party (United Russia), achieves its best-ever poll results. On the polar opposite end, the Communist Party slumps near its worst-ever poll results (2%).

u/StarlightDown — 6 days ago
▲ 27 r/YAPms+1 crossposts

"Hang the Greens"—last year, the German fascist political party 'The Third Way' won its 1st-ever City Council seat, in Hilchenbach. Labelled by the German government as neo-Nazi, and self-described (in separate sentences) as "national" and "socialist", this new party has thus far evaded a gov't ban.

u/StarlightDown — 6 days ago
▲ 8 r/YAPms+1 crossposts

"If you don’t leave now you’re going to leave in a coffin"—ahead of the June 30 leave-or-die deadline set by the fascist political party Operation Force Out, a new poll of South Africa finds that 24% of the country approves of violence against foreign nationals. Migrants have until today to leave.

u/StarlightDown — 6 days ago
▲ 2 r/YAPms

Ireland—Gen Z most strongly supports the Social Democrats, while support for the ruling FFG grand coalition lags behind. The leftwing opposition party Sinn Féin has criticized the Soc Dems, calling them elitist. The poll also finds surprisingly weak support for the soft border with Northern Ireland.

u/StarlightDown — 6 days ago

Ireland—Gen Z most strongly supports the Social Democrats, while support for the ruling FFG grand coalition lags behind. The leftwing opposition party Sinn Féin has criticized the Soc Dems, calling them elitist. The poll also finds surprisingly weak support for the soft border with Northern Ireland.

u/StarlightDown — 6 days ago
▲ 62 r/YAPms+1 crossposts

As the US and Iran trade fresh missile and drone strikes (again), after a flimsy “ceasefire” and “peace deal”, a new “anonymous” scientific poll of Iranians finds that ~50% of the country backs the Islamist regime. Unsurprisingly, this figure is somewhat lower than for the non-anonymous poll.

u/StarlightDown — 8 days ago
▲ 11 r/YAPms+1 crossposts

Republican Mayor Jay Gillian wins a fifth term as Mayor of Ocean City, New Jersey, in a race completely uncontested by Democrats or Independents—Gillian (R) 43%, Hartzell (R) 36%, Madden (R) 20%. "Gillian wins third term"-NJ Globe, May 2018. "Gillian wins fourth term"-NJ Globe, May 2022.

Source: NJ Globe

u/StarlightDown — 10 days ago