u/Suspicious-Egg4903

Here is an analysis of the NYT/Siena polls, including:

1. The Poll results

2. The polls sample's recall vote (-10 means Trump won the sample by 10 pts in 2024)

3. The actual 2024 result in that state

4. The difference between the poll sample and the 2024 electorate.

The NYT/Siena polls assume a 2026 electorate that's a few points bluer than 2024. Although there are interesting differences between the states. Republicans might be over-represented in some of the polled states. Full analysis can be found here.

I saw someone ask this subreddit for feedback on their Substack, and it started a genuinely good-faith debate with honest answers. So I want to try and do the same because I honestly have been struggling.

I want you to be honest. What are the articles missing? What is the page missing? Is it not niche enough? What can be improved? What do you like most?

I write a blog focused on US politics and data journalism (think NateSilver, G Elliot Morris), but with some articles on Europe & worldwide matters as well as some rare opinion essays. I used to write more opinion essays, for example, on the Death Penalty or Republicans' Southern Strategy, but switched to a more data-driven approach since I believe that offers more value.

Some key information: My blog is free, I have about 131 readers/subscribers, and I publish one big piece once a week (maybe I will do more in the future, but that's difficult bc of a busy schedule).  

For growth: I used to interact with other people's notes, but that no longer yields results. I publish my data visualisations to suitable subreddits, which drives good traffic but almost no subscribers. The blog should be a good work sample for applications, but I also want to see it grow.

If you have the time, please take a look at my Substack page.

Any feedback is helpful🙏

Der Schlag in die Eier von Anton ist überhaupt erst der Grund, warum er nach vorne zuckt und es zur Berührung kommen kann. Vllt kein Elfer, aber eher ein Foul an Anton als am Torwart.

Ich habe das noch keinen Experten oder so ansprechen sehen. Selbst der Schiri Boss schein es nicht gesehen zu haben, wenn er die Szene verteidigt.

Zugegeben, ich sehe das auch erst jetzt, weil man halt nur nach Oben schaut. Aber in Echtzeit ist das keine langsame Bewegung der Hand.

The chart shows the DW NOMINATE scores of all representatives serving in the US House in the current 119th congress. (Data provided by VoteView)

The x-axis shows ideology from -1 (very liberal) to +1 (very conservative). On average, Democrats are closer to the center. They also have less extreme members.

Do you think this is an accurate representation of the ideology in congress?

You can interact with the chart and find your congressman here.

The chart above compares the market value of offensive and defensive players on each world cup squad on a logarithmic scale. The trend line represents the average: the offense of a world cup participant is about 1.4x times more valuable than the defense.

Nations above the line have an above-average offensive tilt. These include Norway (Haaland), France and Brazil. Nations below the line have a defensive tilt (Ecuador is the biggest outlier, having two great center backs). Small nations also rely on their defensive players.

You can interact with the chart and see details for all 48 WC nations here.