u/ThomasAnderson_23

Unexpected news and price pumped after an accumulation during Asia and London and then selloff after. classic AMD, accumulation, manipulation, distribution.

Trade setup. Still bearish on NQ in general as it did not make a new ATH but ES did. So i am looking for shorts on NQ. Why make it complicated: Distribution -> expansion -> accumulation -> expansion -> distribution -> expansion. Accumulation in a NDOG, expansion to a NWOG, aligned with the -1 std dev of the accumulation, then expansion to the -1 std dev of the original consolidation (distribution). SL above the fvg, TP at -1 std dev of the original consolidation (distribution).
There was some unexpected high volatility for a few seconds that sent price to a couple of points away from my final tp. decided to close the trade and filled way off from the TP but it hit the TP a few minutes later.

Trade setup. Still bearish on NQ in general as it did not make a new ATH but ES did. So i am looking for shorts on NQ. Why make it complicated: Distribution -> expansion -> accumulation -> expansion -> distribution -> expansion. Accumulation in a NDOG, expansion to a NWOG, aligned with the -1 std dev of the accumulation, then expansion to the -1 std dev of the original consolidation (distribution). SL above the fvg, TP at -1 std dev of the original consolidation (distribution).
There was some unexpected high volatility for a few seconds that sent price to a couple of points away from my final tp. decided to close the trade and filled way off from the TP but it hit the TP a few minutes later.

(also see 2nd image) Overall bias since the new ATH is bearish. Entry off the daily -1 std dev and top of the 4h fvg. clean trade. tp between the top of the 5m fvg and ndog (New Day Open Gap). There was also an opportunity for 2022 model entry, see small fvg at the top (image 2).

(also see 2nd image) Overall bias since the new ATH is bearish. Entry off the daily -1 std dev and top of the 4h fvg. clean trade. tp between the top of the 5m fvg and ndog. There was also an opportunity for 2022 model entry, see small fvg at the top (image 1).

(also see 2nd image) Overall bias since the new ATH is bearish. Entry off the daily -1 std dev and top of the 4h fvg. clean trade. tp between the top of the 5m fvg and ndog. There was also an opportunity for 2022 model entry, see small fvg at the top (image 1).

Well that played out, didn't make it all the way to the daily volume imbalance but came close enough.

(See multiple images) On the weekly we have relative equal highs around the midpoint of a volume imbalance as draw on liquidity. Price was accumulating since yesterday NY pm session, then started manipulating pre-market into the midpoint of the weekly volume imbalance and the top of the 7/13 new week open gap. Price was rejected there and started the distribution. Below we had a volume imbalance which I targeted as the low hanging fruit, but we had multiple equal lows as sell side liquidity farther below. I anticipate this was the smart money reversal of a MMSM/ Wyckoff distribution. I trade a unique mix and simplified versions of ICT's MMXM and Wyckoff.

(See multiple images) On the weekly we have relative equal highs around the CE of a volume imbalance as DOL. Price was accumulating since yesterday NY pm session, then started manipulating pre-market into the CE of the weekly volume imbalance and the top of the 7/13 NWOG. Price was rejected there, where I took a short, and started the distribution. Below we had a volume imbalance which I targeted as the low hanging fruit, but we had multiple eql as SSL farther below. Close to 200 points profit. I anticipate this was the smart money reversal of a MMSM.

(See multiple images) On the weekly we have relative equal highs around the CE of a volume imbalance as DOL. Price was accumulating since yesterday NY pm session, then started manipulating pre-market into the CE of the weekly volume imbalance and the top of the 7/13 NWOG. Price was rejected there, where I took a short, and started the distribution. Below we had a volume imbalance which I targeted as the low hanging fruit, but we had multiple eql as SSL farther below. Close to 200 points profit. I anticipate this was the smart money reversal of a MMSM.

(See multiple images) On the weekly we have relative equal highs around the CE of a volume imbalance as DOL. Price was accumulating since yesterday NY pm session, then started manipulating pre-market into the CE of the weekly volume imbalance and the top of the 7/13 NWOG. Price was rejected there, where I took a short, and started the distribution. Below we had a volume imbalance which I targeted as the low hanging fruit, but we had multiple eql as SSL farther below. Close to 200 points profit. I anticipate this was the smart money reversal of a MMSM.

Classic Asia accumulation, then London expansion, continued expansion during NY am , then re-accumulation during pm between two NDOGs from the pst couple of days. DOL was Monday NY pm high buyside liquidity, this week's NWOG, and a daily volume imbalance from May 5 & 6, confluence July 17 low. See 2nd pic for NY session analysis. After the continued expansion until around 10:30am and then subsequent rejection from just below buyside liquidity price started an accumulation from around 10:55 to 11:55 where price found support on the 9:45am FVG but was rejecting from the 10:40am FVG and the NDOG above, and was re-accumulating around that area until 3:05pm when it inverted the 10:40am FVG, cleared the -1 standard deviation of the accumulation but rejected from just below this week´s NWOG, re-accumulated, retested the inversed 10:40am FVG and NDOG, and then hit the -2 std dev target, July 17 low, CE of the NWOG, and bottom of the daily volume imbalance at 4:30pm.

Classic Asia accumulation, then London expansion, continued expansion during NY am , then re-accumulation during pm between two NDOGs from the pst couple of days. DOL was Monday NY pm high buyside liquidity, this week's NWOG, and a daily volume imbalance from May 5 & 6, confluence July 17 low. See 2nd pic for NY session analysis. After the continued expansion until around 10:30am and then subsequent rejection from just below buyside liquidity price started an accumulation from around 10:55 to 11:55 where price found support on the 9:45am FVG but was rejecting from the 10:40am FVG and the NDOG above, and was re-accumulating around that area until 3:05pm when it inverted the 10:40am FVG, cleared the -1 standard deviation of the accumulation but rejected from just below this week´s NWOG, re-accumulated, retested the inversed 10:40am FVG and NDOG, and then hit the -2 std dev target, July 17 low, CE of the NWOG, and bottom of the daily volume imbalance at 4:30pm.

Classic Asia accumulation, then London expansion, continued expansion during NY am , then re-accumulation during pm between two NDOGs from the pst couple of days. DOL was Monday NY pm high buyside liquidity, this week's NWOG, and a daily volume imbalance from May 5 & 6, confluence July 17 low. See 2nd pic for NY session analysis. After the continued expansion until around 10:30am and then subsequent rejection from just below buyside liquidity price started an accumulation from around 10:55 to 11:55 where price found support on the 9:45am FVG but was rejecting from the 10:40am FVG and the NDOG above, and was re-accumulating around that area until 3:05pm when it inverted the 10:40am FVG, cleared the -1 standard deviation of the accumulation but rejected from just below this week´s NWOG, re-accumulated, retested the inversed 10:40am FVG and NDOG, and then hit the -2 std dev target, July 17 low, CE of the NWOG, and bottom of the daily volume imbalance at 4:30pm.

MMBM. Accumulation for about 1 hour from about 9:45-10:45. Re-accumulation phase below 2 overlapping NDOGs from Monday and Thursday that offered two decent entries on an iFVG for about 5 r with a partial TP opportunity at the -1 standard deviation and TP 2 at the -2 standard deviation of the accumulation, right below a daily volume imbalance which was the DOL.

Price couldn't sweep equal highs from Thursday, couldn't even touch the ce of a 1h fvg (wednesday 9am), huge unfilled NWOG below, rth gap below, Asia equal lows below, Friday equal lows below, then later started rejecting from the ndog multiple times during pre-marke , another 1h fvg formed around the area of that NDOG after 8am 1h candle which price also rejected from (2022 model). there were signs...