r/technicalanalysis

Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar

Measuring from the all time high to May 24^(th) Pentecost/Feast of Weeks/Shavuot.

This is a 50-day count from Resurrection Sunday April 5^(th) and is a highly possible day of the Rapture.

With Biblical knowledge, we can unpack the chart to reveal the story.

The money knows before the event. Biblically, we know that Judas was paid to betray Jesus.

Luke 22:3-6 Then entered Satan into Judas surnamed Iscariot, being of the number of the twelve. And he went his way, and communed with the chief priests and captains, how he might betray Him unto them. And they were glad, and covenanted to give him money. And he promised, and sought opportunity to betray Him unto them in the absence of the multitude.

The timeline [image1], [2], [3] is built by the movement of a digital asset against linear time.
The Fibonacci Ring is the representation of specific movements made by the asset, and is used to identify and manifest Biblical language into our current circumstances/reality.
Pentecost/Feast of Weeks/Shavuot - A highly possible day of the Rapture, is a 50-day count from Resurrection Sunday April 5th, landing on Sunday May 24th.
View the Bible not just as historical but live and active; as a guide, speaking into the present and the future.

>Hebrews 4:12 For the word of God is quick, and powerful, and sharper than any twoedged sword, piercing even to the dividing asunder of soul and spirit, and of the joints and marrow, and is a discerner of the thoughts and intents of the heart.

>2 Timothy 3:16 All scripture is given by inspiration of God, and is profitable for doctrine, for reproof, for correction, for instruction in righteousness:

>Isaiah 46:10 Declaring the end from the beginning, and from ancient times the things that are not yet done, saying, My counsel shall stand, and I will do all My pleasure:

Forget the past price - look at the present setup. Technical breakout + deep value + dense 2026 catalyst stack. Use a stop loss below recent lows.

THE TECHNICAL SETUP 

IDK is up approximately 100% year-to-date.

More importantly: this is the first time in years that IDK has crossed and held above its 200-day moving average.

The last time this exact technical structure set up - stock crossing and holding the 200MA - it ran approximately 300% before pulling back.

Why does this matter?

In micro-cap and thinly traded stocks, the 200-day MA cross is the signal that forces algorithmic screeners, technical traders and momentum funds to look at a name for the first time. The fundamentals already existed. The technical breakout is what brings new eyeballs to a tight float. When that happens, price response is disproportionate.

Trade management: Use a stop loss below recent lows. Let the setup play out or cut it cleanly.

Right now you have four things converging simultaneously - which in micro-cap land is rare:

✅ Deep discount to NAV (~67–70%) - the value floor
✅ Dense 2026 catalyst stack - the fundamental trigger
✅ First 200-day MA crossover in years - the technical ignition
✅ Tight float - the amplifier

WHAT IS THREED CAPITAL?

ThreeD Capital Inc. (CSE: IDK, OTCQX: IDKFF) is a publicly listed Canadian permanent capital vehicle - think of it as an actively managed VC "ETF" you can buy in any brokerage account.

Instead of LPs, lockups and 2/20 fees, it's a single ticker giving you exposure to a 51-company portfolio:

• 37 disruptive technology holdings (AI infrastructure, quantum computing, brain-computer interfaces, blockchain payments, smart-city software)
• 14 junior resource holdings (primarily gold exploration and development)

Currently priced as if the underlying portfolio is worth almost nothing.

THE CORE ANOMALY: BUYING $0.27 OF ASSETS FOR ~$0.08

• Reported NAV: $0.27 per share (as of December 31, 2025)
• Current market price: approximately $0.08–$0.115 CAD
• That is a 67–70% discount to NAV — you get close to 3× NAV coverage on every share you buy

The balance sheet backing this is auditable: total assets of ~$25.9M CAD consisting of cash, investments and digital assets.

And NAV is arguably conservative:

• Many private holdings are carried at cost or last financing round - not at any optimistic forward multiple
• The large TDN royalty position (279,413,283 TDN royalties, each fixed at $1 USD by TODAQ Holdings) is not included in reported NAV at all

WHO IS RUNNING THIS

The founder, Chairman and CEO is Sheldon Inwentash - CPA, honorary Doctor of Laws from the University of Toronto.

Track record:

• Built Pinetree Capital from $0.10 to $26.00 per share - a 26,000% return at peak — managing a 393-company portfolio with aggregate market cap exceeding $1 billion
• Three exits above $550M each: Queenston Mining (~$550M), Aurelian Resources (~$1.2B to Kinross Gold), Gold Eagle Mines (~$1.5B to Goldcorp)
• Co-founded NexGen Energy (now multi-billion dollar uranium company)
• Co-founded New Found Gold - one of Canada's most significant gold discoveries of the last decade

He is not a passive allocator. He takes active board-level roles, helps recruit management, introduces strategic partners and leads follow-on rounds.

ThreeD Capital is the distilled version of a playbook that has already generated multiple billion-dollar outcomes.

THE PORTFOLIO: WHAT YOU ACTUALLY OWN

Tech Holdings (the six at inflection points):

🧠 AIML Innovations (CSE: AIML) - AI-powered ECG platform targeting 300M ECGs/year globally. SickKids pilot running, AWS proof-of-concept complete, US sales launch initiated February 2026. Upcoming: Health Canada + FDA clearance enabling paid roll-outs across hospitals and OEMs. This platform is trained to predict cardiac events before they happen.

💸 TODAQ / TAPP (private) - Internet-native payment rails for AI agents and digital content. ~90% cheaper than credit card networks. Oracle Cloud rollout of 10,000 video titles on TAPP rails scheduled Q2 2026. The 279M TDN royalty position at $1 USD each sits entirely outside reported NAV.

🤖 HyperCycle (private) - AI infrastructure with a $1.1B Seoul AI Hub JV anchoring its ecosystem. MOSAIC local AI OS launching — marketed as a system that builds a "synthetic brain" from a user's own data. ThreeD is a founding investor.

⚛️ Dynex (private) - Room-temperature quantum computing. Apollo chip reportedly outperforms D-Wave at ~100× speed with ~90% cost reduction. QaaS (Quantum-as-a-Service) model for recurring revenue. Apollo-10000 moving from reference chip to commercial production in 2026. D-Wave has had a multi-billion dollar market cap — Dynex is accessible only through IDK, inside a sub-$10M CAP vehicle.

🎧 Neurable (private) - Brain-computer interface OS. Validated by US Air Force, US Army and Mayo Clinic. ~$150K MRR, $15M DoD pipeline. Commercial partnerships: HP HyperX, Master & Dynamic, Renpho and Audeze. Revenue trajectory: ~$2M (2024) → $132M (2027E) if deals close.

🏙️ InfinitiiAI (CSE: IAI) - Smart-city / water-infrastructure SaaS. $2.69M CAD revenue FY2025, 96% renewal rate, ten consecutive quarters of growth, 80+ clients including Los Angeles, Toronto and Seattle.

Resource Holdings:

⛏️ Forte Minerals (CSE: CUAU) - 16.31× value creation since 2022 IPO. 19,000 hectares across five properties in Peru. Flagship Alto Ruri: historical 131m @ 2.55 g/t Au, ~15km from Barrick's Pierina Mine. Active drill program underway.

🥇 Sun Valley Minerals (private) - Gold-silver in Uruguay. Initial trenching: 49.4m @ 2.05 g/t Au. 5,000m drill program in progress.

2026: DENSE CATALYST YEAR

Multiple portfolio companies hitting concrete milestones in the same calendar year:

• TODAQ: Oracle Cloud rollout of 10,000 live video titles on TAPP rails - Q2 2026
• Dynex: Apollo-10000 commercial production
• Neurable: 3+ commercialisation deals expected to close, supporting the $2M → $132M revenue ramp
• AIML: Health Canada + FDA clearance progression and US sales network build-out
• HyperCycle: MOSAIC local AI OS launch
• Forte Minerals: Alto Ruri drill results

Any single one of these events could lift NAV. When NAV growth combines with discount compression - those two forces are multiplicative on equity returns.

INSIDER BEHAVIOUR + TIGHT FLOAT

• Management has been buying shares in the open market at the same ~$0.08 price available to retail. Insiders have full knowledge of the pipeline, board discussions, and near-term catalysts - and they are choosing to increase exposure at these levels.
• Tight float: A material portion of shares is held by insiders and long-term holders. When new buying pressure arrives, there are fewer "escape valves." Micro-cap history shows this leads to outsized price moves.
• Transparency initiative: ThreeD launched a YouTube channel in early 2026 with direct CEO interviews for AIML, Neurable, HyperCycle, TODAQ and others - directly attacking the "black box discount" that keeps most closed-end funds permanently cheap.

WHY DOES THE DISCOUNT EXIST?

• Sub-$10M CAD market cap - screens out most institutions
• 51-company portfolio with several private, technical names - complexity = neglect
• CSE + OTCQX listing = outside mainstream US/TSX radar
• Closed-end fund stigma - generic skepticism that may be over-applied here

None of these are fundamental problems. They are structural inefficiencies that patient investors can exploit before catalysts close the gap.

RISKS - BE HONEST

• Illiquid stock - slippage can be high in both directions
• Private valuation risk - a portion of NAV is in illiquid private co's
• 2026 catalyst execution risk - delays in regulatory approvals, technical milestones or drill results would hurt sentiment
• Manager concentration - this is a "back the jockey" bet
• Macro / sector cycles - quantum, AI and junior mining are all sentiment-driven

Size accordingly. Use a stop loss below recent lows. This is speculative micro-cap territory.

TLDR

ThreeD Capital (IDK / IDKFF): up ~100% YTD, just crossed its 200-day MA for the first time in years (last time this happened: +300%), trading at ~0.3× its own NAV — run by the manager who built a 26,000% return at Pinetree - with a portfolio that includes an AI platform that predicts heart attacks, potentially the fastest quantum computer in the world, military-validated brain-computer interfaces, and AI payment rails 90% cheaper than VISA - all hitting commercial milestones simultaneously in 2026.

Stop loss below recent lows. Micro-cap, illiquid, speculative. The asymmetry is real. DYOR.

Compiled from ThreeD Capital's March 2026 research materials, public filings & YouTube channel. Not financial advice.

FLAIR WRITING INDUSTRIES is forming a very large inverted head and shoulders pattern on weekly time frame. Price is taking resistance of the neckline, and IPO day avwap. On the daily chart, there is a very large saucer kind of formation.

Just wondering how would you plan a trade on this setup?

Option A: Anticipate the breakout? Buy early inside the saucer.
Option B: Chase breakout? FOMO enter on Day 2 at the exact absolute peak of the pump
Option C: Wait for the retest? Wait patiently for a few days, only for the stock to gap up 40% without me and never look back.
Option D: None of the above. All of these are stupid ways. I will explain the smart money method in comments.

Been testing a few charting platforms lately and randomly ended up trying Discernment AI Terminal for a bit last night. Thought I would check it for 5 minutes but got stuck exploring it way longer than expected.

It seems heavily focused on order flow and smart money style analysis. I noticed stuff like BOS ChoCH FVGs order blocks AVWAP liquidation zones and even Wyckoff phases already built into the charts.

Most platforms I try either feel overloaded or just stack indicators everywhere but this one actually felt pretty simple to navigate.

I still cannot tell how accurate some of the features are especially the whale tracking and Deep Scan stuff since I have barely used it in live trading yet.

Curious if anyone here has spent real time with it and whether it actually helps during entries or if it is mostly visual noise after the honeymoon phase.

Where do you think shares are heading after earnings tomorrow?

Chart made on TrendSpider.

Pine Script editing is mostly a manual loop in TradingView's editor: write, compile, read errors, fix, repeat. AI agents can help if you copy-paste the script and errors into Claude or Cursor and paste the fix back, but the agent can't see what the indicator actually plots: labels, lines, boxes, tables, plotshape markers. So visual debugging stays manual.

I built tradingview-mcp to put Pine Script in the agent's hands directly. It's an MCP server (96 tools across the TV surface) plus a tv CLI; both drive your local TradingView Desktop over Chrome DevTools Protocol. The Pine-specific tools:

• pine_check: server-side compile without putting the script on a chart. Useful for CI-style verification or letting the agent validate a draft before adding it.
• pine_analyze: offline static analysis (catches typos, unused vars, deprecated patterns) before you compile.
• pine_smart_compile: auto-detects whether to add or update, returns elapsed_ms.
• pine_save_as, pine_rename, pine_version_history, pine_delete, pine_switch_script: full lifecycle, no editor clicks.
• data_get_pine_lines / _labels / _tables / _boxes / _shapes: the agent can read what the indicator actually drew. Horizontal price levels, text annotations, table cells, price zones, plotshape markers. Deduplicates and caps output by default; opt into raw via verbose.

The visual-output readers are the part I keep using most. Agent writes an indicator, compiles it, reads the labels back, decides whether the logic is right.

A few release details: Pine Editor open + symbolInfo fallbacks for TV Desktop 3.1.0 (compile/deploy buttons matched by title attribute). pine_set_source no longer hangs on large scripts. 338 offline tests cover the Pine tooling, multi-timeframe alignment, replay, and CLI routing. The upstream ui_evaluate tool (arbitrary JS in your authenticated TV session) was removed from the surface; everything else is gated through specific tool boundaries.

Install: clone the repo, npm install, add to ~/.claude/.mcp.json, launch TradingView with --remote-debugging-port=9222. README has the paste-into-Claude-Code one-liner.

Repo: https://github.com/iliaal/tradingview-mcp

Happy to answer questions, especially from anyone running heavy indicators with many lines / labels: the dedup defaults are calibrated to my workflow and may need tuning for others.

​

Gold continues to trade inside a broader bearish market structure, respecting the descending trendline and reacting cleanly from higher-timeframe supply zones.

The recent move lower came after price failed to sustain above the 4718 resistance area, followed by a clear shift in structure and strong bearish momentum. Multiple lower highs formed along the trendline, reinforcing seller control throughout the move.

Current observations:

• Overall structure remains bearish (LH + LL formation)

• Strong rejection from HTF supply zone

• Trendline resistance respected multiple times

• BOS confirmation triggered continuation lower

• Price now reacting near a key demand/support area around 4540–4546

At the moment, this demand zone becomes important. A strong hold here could lead to a temporary relief bounce, while a breakdown below it may open the path toward deeper downside continuation.

Main levels being monitored:

• Resistance: 4555 / 4590 / 4718

• Support: 4540 / 4534 zone

The chart mainly highlights how structure, liquidity, and trendline confluence aligned during the move lower. Posting for educational discussion and trade review purposes.