I see two possible scenarios on the gold chart, and I've explained them in the images.

My technical analysis is very simple: pure price action and Fibonacci.

In addition, I combine fundamental analysis with this strategy, and in this case, that’s what’s guiding my decision on what to do:

open a short position if an entry point appears in the area marked by the red circle (Scenario A in the images), but with low risk because fundamental analysis tells me that gold still has upside potential in the medium and long term.

I’d like to know what you’re seeing right now on the gold chart.

Positive breakout or will this not hold

Past discussions - here and here

So this is BlackBerry limited.

Price broke out of the anchored vwap resistance line and then retested that level. And now it is again retesting that level - so it is a good point of interest. It might break it or bounce off it. But chances of bouncing back are more because of the slope of AVWAP line.

Forming clear lower highs. We'll see if the market cools off or not.

>Colossians 1:16-17 For by Him were all things created, that are in heaven, and that are in earth, visible and invisible, whether they be thrones, or dominions, or principalities, or powers: all things were created by Him, and for Him: And He is before all things, and by Him all things consist.

>Philippians 2:10-11 That at the name of Jesus every knee should bow, of things in heaven, and things in earth, and things under the earth; And that every tongue should confess that Jesus Christ is Lord, to the glory of God the Father.

>Jude 1:24-25 Now unto Him that is able to keep you from falling, and to present you faultless before the presence of His glory with exceeding joy, To the only wise God our Saviour, be glory and majesty, dominion and power, both now and ever. Amen.

Is anyone else trading this breakout?

RDDT is approaching a key resistance level on the 1D chart. Additionally, it's also nearing a bearish fair value gap on the 1D chart, which could pose some serious resistance.

$200 is going to be a content spot so I wouldn't be surprised if we see a temporary pull back here. The approaching fair value gap and the resistance level on the 1D chart are areas to watch closely.

>Matthew 24:6 Ye shall hear of wars and rumours of wars: see that ye be not troubled: for all these things must come to pass, but the end is not yet.

>1 John 5:13 These things have I written unto you that believe on the name of the Son of God; that ye may know that ye have eternal life, and that ye may believe on the name of the Son of God.

>Joshua 24:15 If it seem evil unto you to serve the LORD, choose you this day whom ye will serve: but as for me and my house, we will serve the LORD.

Hey everyone – hope your week's going well.

MSFT had a decent session yesterday. Closed at $384.28, up 3.02%. Hit $388.83 at the high after opening around $380.82. Volume 48M – solid but nothing crazy.

Honestly though, the whole Magnificent 7 has been kinda meh this year. A few bounces here and there, but nobody's really ripping. MSFT included. Feels like we're just waiting for something to spark.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $380, Call Wall $380 (both at the same level), gamma flip around $367. Yesterday's close at $384 was sitting above the wall – positive gamma territory, which explains the bounce. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still below the middle Bollinger band (around $400). RSI in the mid 40s. MACD still negative but flattening – momentum slowing to the downside.

Above $380 and that wall becomes support – $390-395 could come next. Below $380 and that level flips to resistance, with $367 gamma flip as the next zone.

Let's see if MSFT can hold this bounce into the end of the week. Could use some good news for a change lol.

DYOD🫡

Still can’t find a red flag that hasn’t already been addressed on Heidmar Maritime Holdings. So I’m posting the red flags addressed and the totally inaccurate points made (scroll down to them if seen HMR before). If you find one I haven’t covered - drop it below. I want to be challenged.

THE SETUP - BACK ON THE 200MA. AGAIN.

After Q1 demolished expectations, the stock ran hard on $13M+ volume - real institutional-grade buying on a sub-6M float. The pullback back to the 200MA? Low volume. Barely anyone sold.

• Price bouncing off the 200-day moving average ✅
• Low-volume pullback = holders not distributing ✅
• $1.00 NASDAQ compliance regained June 2, 2026 - now structural support beneath us ✅
• Price is 30% below where it should have risen from on the 450% earnings beat!
• Each time I've posted at this level, the stock has moved 40%+ from that level ✅

The people who understand this company are not selling. It is still just deeply under the radar - a household name in maritime, invisible everywhere else.

THE Q1 NUMBERS - BECAUSE SOME PEOPLE STILL HAVEN'T READ THEM

• 📈 217% YoY revenue growth - not a projection, audited and on the books
• 💰 Net income flipped from -$6M to +$2.8M GAAP profit — first clean profit in listed history
• 🔥 EPS beat by ~450% average across platforms. 1,076% on the most aggressive estimate.
• 💵 Cash pile grew to $27.6M with zero long-term commercial debt
• Acquisitions now likely - more catalysts because of the pile
• 📊 55%+ gross margins - a high-margin services business the market prices like a commodity boat operator
• ⚙️ Operating cash flow more than doubled YoY - self-funding, no capital markets dependency

The CEO said on the Heidmar YouTube channel before the quarter dropped that Q1 would be profitable and Q2 would be even bigger. He called it. He delivered. A man who owns 45% of the company personally and is buying shares in the open market does not go on YouTube and say that unless he means it.

💎 THE BUSINESS MODEL -  THE UBER OF SHIPPING
Here’s what most people miss. HMR owns zero ships. Think Uber without owning a single car.

It’s an asset-light platform that earns fees on gross voyage revenue - not on profits. It gets paid whether tanker rates are $50k/day or $500k/day. Fee math on record: 1.75% of a $20M VLCC voyage over 45–50 days = \~$350,000+ commission per voyage. CEO confirmed this publicly.
Comparing $HMR to IMPP, STNG or FRO using Price-to-Book or NAV metrics is like valuing Uber by how many cars it owns. Wrong comp set entirely. The correct comparison is fee-based platform businesses - and on those metrics, this is deeply mispriced.

It scales ships at near-zero marginal cost. No capex. No newbuild risk. No steel on the balance sheet. Asset-heavy competitors are hard-capped by NAV - in a downturn their stock collapses with ship values. HMR has no NAV floor dragging it down and no ceiling capping it. It re-rates purely on earnings growth, exactly like a software company would.

The moat is powered by eFleetWatch - a proprietary tech platform built over 20 years with real-time voyage data, tracking and performance analytics. Not something a competitor can spin up in 12 months.

THE VALUATION ANOMALY - STILL HASN'T CLOSED

Let me be blunt. After the 130% move, the thesis is somehow more compelling than when I first posted.

Market cap is roughly $68M. Cash on the balance sheet is $27.6M - nearly a majority of the entire market cap. Back out the cash and you are paying almost nothing for the operating business. That is not a typo. Acquisitions likely become catalyts now too…

A profitable, growing, 40-year-old maritime platform with Shell, BP, Aramco, Vitol, Trafigura, and Glencore as clients - and you are essentially getting the business near free once you strip the cash.

Zero debt. No leverage risk. Competitors trade at 15–20x PE. HMR trades at roughly 4x forward earnings. Maxim analyst target: $2.25. And that was before Q2 prints.

ADDRESSING EVERY BEAR CASE COMMENT - IN ONE POST (clearly most didn't read latest financials)

🔴 "Negative margins, negative earnings, negative everything"

Every screener showing ugly margins is blending three different things: the legacy MGO Global entity pre-merger, a noisy transition year full of one-off IPO/RTO/stock-comp/earnout charges, and the actual Heidmar platform. Those costs are gone now.

Q1 was the first clean quarter. 55%+ gross margins confirmed in the 20-F. $2.8M net income. Not a projection - audited. Your TTM figure is a rearview mirror on a car that has already turned the corner.

🔴 "EBITDA was 43k last year"

Yes. Full-year 2025 dragged in all the legacy and transitional noise. Q1 2026 alone printed $3.34M adj. EBITDA. One clean quarter of the new business obliterated the full transition year. Numbers are going in one direction.

🔴 "The cash isn't free cash - only $4.2M net current cushion"

This is the most detailed bear point from the last thread, and it deserves a proper answer.

The $28.1M in "other current liabilities" at a tanker pool manager is largely operational float — voyage payables, amounts owed to pool participants, deferred voyage revenue. This is standard pool management mechanics. It cycles through as voyages complete. It is structurally similar to how a payment processor holds funds in transit that appear as liabilities. It is not cash burn.

The $30M non-current liabilities are operating lease obligations under IFRS/ASC 842. Not bank loans. No covenants. No refi risk. Covered by operating cash flow in Q1.

The correct statement is: $27.6M cash, zero long-term bank debt, operationally profitable, self-funding. That is accurate.

🔴 "Zero debt is misleading - there are $40.9M lease liabilities"

This conflates lease obligations with financial debt. They are not the same thing.

Operating lease liabilities = contractual payment schedules for chartered vessels. Part of the operating model. No lender can accelerate or trigger a covenant. Q1 cash flow covered them comfortably. "Zero debt" specifically means zero interest-bearing bank or bond debt. That is correct and has never been disputed.

🔴 "55% margin is promotional - one good quarter doesn't prove anything"

Fair pushback, and the most honest challenge in this thread.

The 55% gross margin refers specifically to the Heidmar commercial management fee business - confirmed in the 20-F, stated directly by the CEO on record. It is not the full-company blended number.

One quarter does not prove durability. Agreed. Q2 is the test. The CEO has guided Q2 publicly and pre-emptively. He called Q1. He delivered. Q2 is when this becomes a trend, not a fluke.

🔴 "Dilution machine - B. Riley ATM"

The facility exists. Actual issuance to date: ~260,000 shares. Less than 0.5% of total shares outstanding.

A backstop facility barely touched by a now-profitable, cash-generative company is not a dilution machine. If management starts hammering it aggressively, that changes the story. Why would they now the business is underway and in no need of support?

So far, the share count has been remarkably stable since listing - which is actually unusual for a microcap in this situation.

🔴 "NASDAQ delisting risk"

HMR regained Nasdaq compliance on June 2, 2026. Press release is public. The notice is resolved.

$1.00 is now structural support, not a cliff edge. The bears who called this a dealbreaker were wrong. It is done.

🔴 "CFO just left - management chaos"

This one keeps coming up, so let's be clear about the timing: the CFO departed after Q1 was filed, not during it and not randomly mid-quarter. That matters. She left on May 31, 2026 — after the company posted its first clean profitable quarter in listed history.

That is not chaos. That is someone who helped get the business to a clean quarter, decided it was the right moment to move on, and left on their own terms. CEO Pankaj Khanna is covering finance during the search. The company explicitly stated no impact on financial reporting was expected. It is on the watchlist - not the dealbreaker list.

🔴 "Reverse merger + massive dilution"

Half right. Yes - Heidmar went public via merger with MGO Global. That is the listing vehicle.

"Massive dilution" - no. Post-RTO actual issuance under B. Riley has been ~260k shares. The merger deal structure itself involved share exchanges, which is how every RTO works. Nobody calls ARM Holdings a startup because it IPO'd recently. The listing method is not the business. Judge the 40-year track record and current numbers.

🔴 "If it's asset-light, why is cost of revenue 75% of revenue?"

Because most screeners are still pulling blended 2025 data that mixes legacy operations, IPO/RTO costs, non-cash stock comp, and earnout accounting into one ugly number.

The underlying Heidmar business runs at ~55% gross margin - confirmed in the 20-F and Q1 actuals. Q1 2026 is the first quarter where you can actually see the clean platform: $18.35M revenue, $2.78M net income, $3.34M adj. EBITDA. That is the business. Not the screener snapshot.

🔴 "Low volume penny stock - thin exit risk"

Low volume cuts both ways. On the way up, $13M+ traded in the post-Q1 run on a sub-6M float. On the way down, a whisper. Real selling pressure on a float this tight would have shown up clearly in volume. It didn't.

Low float is not a bear thesis. On a stock with positive momentum, zero meaningful short interest, and improving fundamentals, a tight float is asymmetric to the upside. The 130% run already proved that.

🔴 "Shipping drones will make this obsolete"

You can carry a 300,000-tonne VLCC of crude oil via drone in 50 years if the energy to do so doesn't cost more than the oil itself. Let me know how that goes lol

WHY THE BUSINESS MODEL EARNS IN ANY ENVIRONMENT

This is still the most misunderstood part.

HMR earns 1.75% fees on gross voyage revenue. A single VLCC voyage at $20M over 45–50 days = ~$350,000+ to HMR. Per voyage. No capex. No steel. Zero ships owned.

• Rates go up → voyage revenue goes up → fees go up
• Rates go down → HMR still earns on the activity → owners feel it, HMR doesn't
• Volatile markets → longer routes, more ton-miles → higher voyage values → more fees

Comparing HMR to STNG or FRO on price-to-book is like valuing Uber by how many cars it owns. Wrong comp entirely. This re-rates on earnings - no NAV ceiling, no NAV floor.

The moat: eFleetWatch - a proprietary tech platform built over 20 years. Real-time voyage data, performance analytics, tracking across every vessel and route. Not something a competitor replicates in 12 months.

🌊 THE MACRO - AND WHY HORMUZ IS THE ACCELERANT, NOT THE THESIS

People keep saying "what happens if Hormuz opens." Here's what they're missing.

The CEO highlighted in a recent interview that Japan, China, and Asian nations importing 50–70% of their oil from the Middle East will now diversify supply routes regardless of any peace deal. That diversification means longer routes, more tonnage per mile, more voyage revenue, more fees for HMR. The oil tap cannot be turned back on instantly. Confidence in those routes will never fully return. Even if peace deals hold - and look at the track record of those deals - the structural response from buyers is already in motion: route diversification permanently expands the volume and value of voyages HMR manages.

And the underlying tanker cycle has nothing to do with Hormuz. The CEO is on record: 18–24 months of upside remaining. Structural undersupply of newbuilds, fleet age dynamics, and the restocking demand window are multi-year tailwinds entirely independent of any single geopolitical event. Hormuz is the accelerant. The thesis runs with or without it.

THE CHECKLIST - STILL INTACT

• ✅ Market cap ~$68M with $27.6M cash - nearly half market cap in cash
• ✅ Zero long-term bank debt
• ✅ 217% YoY Q1 revenue growth - audited
• ✅ Net income +$2.8M - first clean GAAP profit
• ✅ 55%+ gross margins
• ✅ CEO guided Q2 bigger - on record, publicly, pre-earnings. Delivered Q1.
• ✅ CEO buying above market, zero sales, ~45% personal ownership
• ✅ Float under 6M shares, ~0.3% short interest
• ✅ Fleet scaling toward 65 vessels - dual-growth dynamic (earnings + multiple expansion)
• ✅ 30 newbuilds in pipeline - each is near-zero cost to HMR, each is a news event hitting a tiny float
• ✅ 40-year track record - Shell/BP/Aramco/Vitol/Glencore/Trafigura Clients
• ✅ eFleetWatch proprietary platform
• ✅ NASDAQ compliance regained June 2, 2026 - $1 now structural support
• ✅ 200MA confirmed support - bouncing off it right now
• ✅ Low-volume pullback = no one selling
• ✅ Each prior post at this level produced 40%+ move - I haven't posted in a while
• ✅ Maxim analyst target $2.25 - before Q2 prints
• ✅ Acquisitions likely as cash pile grows - not priced in at all

HOW I'M PLAYING IT

Still holding full position from 80-95c. Have not sold a single share.

• 200MA on the daily = strong entry or add point right now
• Q2 earnings = next major catalyst - CEO has guided publicly and aggressively
• If we get an extended run toward $2.25 - $5 analyst range, take measured profits after consecutive red days - do not sell the first spike to avoid missing run
• The earnings dump playbook gets harder to run every quarter as the fundamentals get cleaner. Q1 already made it look tired. Q2 is going to make it look embarrassing.

What red flag am I still missing? Drop it below.

Not financial advice. Do your own due diligence. I hold a position in $HMR from 80–95c.

EPIC company trailer: https://youtu.be/Bl1rIe_JxwI?si=qDaPH7PRRdRqB9FY