u/Popular-Jackfruit-60

Hey everyone – hope you had a decent weekend.

Thursday was ugly. MU closed at $975.41, down 5.49%. Hit a low of $950.13 after opening around $1041. Volume was 61.8M – heavy but not panic-level. Friday was a market holiday, so we're picking up from Thursday's close.

Overnight is sitting around $1006.64, up about 3.2% from Thursday's close. That's at least some breathing room.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $900, Call Wall $1200, gamma flip around $1085. Thursday's close at $975 was sitting below the gamma flip – negative gamma territory, which explains the selling pressure. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is now below the middle Bollinger band ($1043). RSI is in the low 30s – getting oversold. MACD is negative and widening.

I know a lot of folks are feeling the pain right now – MU has had a rough stretch. But honestly, I still like the long-term story here. Memory demand isn't going anywhere, and this pullback feels more like profit-taking and macro noise than a structural break. Just my two cents.

Above $1085 (gamma flip) and we could stabilize toward $1150-1200. Below $900 and the Put Wall comes into play.

Overnight at $1006 is a step in the right direction, but we need to see if it holds at open.

DYOD🫡

Hey everyone – hope your week's off to a decent start.

Last Thursday was a solid session for MSFT. Closed at $390.49, up 1.62%. Volume was 42M – nothing crazy, just a steady recovery bounce heading into the long weekend.

Here's the GEX:
Put Wall $380, Call Wall $400, gamma flip around $368. Thursday's close at $390 was sitting above the Put Wall but still below the Call Wall – positive gamma, but not by a huge margin. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still below the middle Bollinger band (around $410ish). RSI in the mid 40s. MACD still negative but flattening out – losing downside momentum at least.

Above $400 and the Call Wall becomes support – $410-415 could come next. Below $380 and that Put Wall flips to resistance, with $368 gamma flip as the next zone.

MSFT has been choppy like everything else in tech lately. Not terrible, not great – just kind of stuck in a range.

Let's see if we can actually break $400 this week.

DYOD🫡

Hey everyone – hope you had a decent weekend.

Thursday was ugly. MU closed at $975.41, down 5.49%. Hit a low of $950.13 after opening around $1041. Volume was 61.8M – heavy but not panic-level. Friday was a market holiday, so we're picking up from Thursday's close.

Overnight is sitting around $1006.64, up about 3.2% from Thursday's close. That's at least some breathing room.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $900, Call Wall $1200, gamma flip around $1085. Thursday's close at $975 was sitting below the gamma flip – negative gamma territory, which explains the selling pressure. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is now below the middle Bollinger band ($1043). RSI is in the low 30s – getting oversold. MACD is negative and widening.

I know a lot of folks are feeling the pain right now – MU has had a rough stretch. But honestly, I still like the long-term story here. Memory demand isn't going anywhere, and this pullback feels more like profit-taking and macro noise than a structural break. Just my two cents.

Above $1085 (gamma flip) and we could stabilize toward $1150-1200. Below $900 and the Put Wall comes into play.

Overnight at $1006 is a step in the right direction, but we need to see if it holds at open.

DYOD🫡

Hey everyone – hope your week's going well.

MSFT had a decent session yesterday. Closed at $384.28, up 3.02%. Hit $388.83 at the high after opening around $380.82. Volume 48M – solid but nothing crazy.

Honestly though, the whole Magnificent 7 has been kinda meh this year. A few bounces here and there, but nobody's really ripping. MSFT included. Feels like we're just waiting for something to spark.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $380, Call Wall $380 (both at the same level), gamma flip around $367. Yesterday's close at $384 was sitting above the wall – positive gamma territory, which explains the bounce. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still below the middle Bollinger band (around $400). RSI in the mid 40s. MACD still negative but flattening – momentum slowing to the downside.

Above $380 and that wall becomes support – $390-395 could come next. Below $380 and that level flips to resistance, with $367 gamma flip as the next zone.

Let's see if MSFT can hold this bounce into the end of the week. Could use some good news for a change lol.

DYOD🫡

Hey everyone – hope your week's going well.

MSFT had a decent session yesterday. Closed at $384.28, up 3.02%. Hit $388.83 at the high after opening around $380.82. Volume 48M – solid but nothing crazy.

Honestly though, the whole Magnificent 7 has been kinda meh this year. A few bounces here and there, but nobody's really ripping. MSFT included. Feels like we're just waiting for something to spark.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $380, Call Wall $380 (both at the same level), gamma flip around $367. Yesterday's close at $384 was sitting above the wall – positive gamma territory, which explains the bounce. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still below the middle Bollinger band (around $400). RSI in the mid 40s. MACD still negative but flattening – momentum slowing to the downside.

Above $380 and that wall becomes support – $390-395 could come next. Below $380 and that level flips to resistance, with $367 gamma flip as the next zone.

Let's see if MSFT can hold this bounce into the end of the week. Could use some good news for a change lol.

DYOD🫡

Happy Wednesday, everyone – hope you're surviving the week so far.

Yesterday was a quiet one. MU closed at $1154.29, up 0.79%. Traded between $1168.68 and $1124.66. Volume 42M – lighter than recent action.

Pre-market is showing around $1115.89, down about 3.3% from yesterday's close. That's a noticeable pullback, but nothing too wild given the recent run.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $1000, Call Wall $1200, gamma flip around $1099. Yesterday's close at $1154 was sitting above the gamma flip but still below the Call Wall – positive gamma but not by a huge margin. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still above the middle Bollinger band (around $1070-1080). RSI in the 50s. MACD still slightly negative – momentum is neutral at best.

Above $1200 and the Call Wall becomes support – $1250-1280 could come next. Below $1099 and the gamma flip turns into resistance, with $1050-1000 as the next zone.

Pre-market at $1115 is dipping toward the gamma flip. Let's see if that level holds at open.

Guess we'll just have to pray and see how tonight plays out lol. Curious where everyone's leaning – does the gamma flip hold, or do we test lower first?

DYOD🫡

Happy Wednesday, everyone – hope you're surviving the week so far.

Yesterday was a quiet one. MU closed at $1154.29, up 0.79%. Traded between $1168.68 and $1124.66. Volume 42M – lighter than recent action.

Pre-market is showing around $1115.89, down about 3.3% from yesterday's close. That's a noticeable pullback, but nothing too wild given the recent run.

Here's the GEX (July expiry):
Put Wall $1000, Call Wall $1200, gamma flip around $1099. Yesterday's close at $1154 was sitting above the gamma flip but still below the Call Wall – positive gamma but not by a huge margin. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still above the middle Bollinger band (around $1070-1080). RSI in the 50s. MACD still slightly negative – momentum is neutral at best.

Above $1200 and the Call Wall becomes support – $1250-1280 could come next. Below $1099 and the gamma flip turns into resistance, with $1050-1000 as the next zone.

Pre-market at $1115 is dipping toward the gamma flip. Let's see if that level holds at open.

Guess we'll just have to pray and see how tonight plays out lol. Curious where everyone's leaning – does the gamma flip hold, or do we test lower first?

DYOD🫡

Hey everyone – hope you're having a good week.

Quick note: since June expiry is behind us, we're now looking at July GEX data for today's session.

MU closed yesterday at $1145.28, up 1.14%. Overnight is showing around $1150.50, up about 0.5% – nothing major, just hovering.

Here's the current setup (July expiry):
Put Wall $1000, Call Wall $1200, gamma flip around $1112. Yesterday's close at $1145 was sitting above the gamma flip but still below the Call Wall – positive gamma but not by a huge margin. GEX? Never heard of it? Here ya go >>

Technically, price is still above the middle Bollinger band (around $1070ish). RSI in the 50s. MACD just crossed slightly negative – momentum slowing but not reversing hard.

Above $1200 and the Call Wall becomes support – $1250-1280 could come next. Below $1112 and the gamma flip turns into resistance, with $1050-1000 as the next zone.

Overnight at $1150 is just sitting in the middle of the range. No clear signal yet.

Curious where everyone's head is at – do we push toward $1200 this week or drift lower from here?

DYOD🫡

Hey everyone – hope you're having a good week.

Yesterday was absolutely wild. MU closed at $1213.56, up nearly 16%. Hit $1255 at the high after opening at $1233. Volume 83M – heavy but not panicky.

Overnight is showing around $1178.75, down about 2.9% from yesterday's close. A mild pullback after a massive move – nothing unusual.

Here's the GEX (based on yesterday's close):
Put Wall $1200, Call Wall $1250, gamma flip around $1072. Yesterday's close at $1213 was sitting above Put Wall but just below Call Wall – positive gamma territory.

Price is above the upper Bollinger band ($1207) – extended but not extreme. RSI elevated but not screaming. MACD still positive.

Above $1250 and the Call Wall flips to support, potentially opening up $1280-1300. Below $1200 and that Put Wall becomes resistance, with $1150-1100 as the next zone.

Overnight at $1178 is a healthy pullback, not a reversal. No red flags yet.

Let's see how this holds into the open.

DOYD🫡

Hey everyone – hope you're having a good week.

Yesterday was absolutely wild. MU closed at $1213.56, up nearly 16%. Hit $1255 at the high after opening at $1233. Volume 83M – heavy but not panicky.

Overnight is showing around $1178.75, down about 2.9% from yesterday's close. A mild pullback after a massive move – nothing unusual.

Here's the GEX (based on yesterday's close):
Put Wall $1200, Call Wall $1250, gamma flip around $1072. Yesterday's close at $1213 was sitting above Put Wall but just below Call Wall – positive gamma territory.

Price is above the upper Bollinger band ($1207) – extended but not extreme. RSI elevated but not screaming. MACD still positive.

Above $1250 and the Call Wall flips to support, potentially opening up $1280-1300. Below $1200 and that Put Wall becomes resistance, with $1150-1100 as the next zone.

Overnight at $1178 is a healthy pullback, not a reversal. No red flags yet.

Let's see how this holds into the open.

DOYD🫡

Hey everyone – happy Friday. Hope you've got something better planned than watching this screen.

Another week, another grind lower. NVDA closed at $195.74, down 1.64%. Tagged $200.80 early, then rolled over to $192.13. Volume 150M – consistent but no spark.

Overnight sitting around $192.80, down another 1.5%. Not a crash, just a slow leak.

Here's the GEX:
Put Wall $195, Call Wall $200, gamma flip around $195. Price closed right on the Put Wall – neutral-to-slightly-negative gamma. Not terrible, but not great either.

Technically: testing the lower Bollinger band ($194). RSI low 30s. MACD negative and widening. Momentum is still pointing down.

Above $195 and we could stabilize toward $200. Below $192 and the lower band breaks, with $190-185 as the next stop.

Overnight at $192 is hovering near the low. No real buying pressure showing up yet.

Honestly... this ticker is putting me to sleep. We've been stuck in this slow bleed for weeks. No bounce, no break – just... nothing. At this point I'd take a fakeout spike just to feel something lol.

What do you guys think – do we finally find a floor or keep drifting?

DOYD🫡

Hey everyone – happy Friday. Hope you've got something better planned than watching this screen.

Another week, another grind lower. NVDA closed at $195.74, down 1.64%. Tagged $200.80 early, then rolled over to $192.13. Volume 150M – consistent but no spark.

Overnight sitting around $192.80, down another 1.5%. Not a crash, just a slow leak.

Here's the GEX:
Put Wall $195, Call Wall $200, gamma flip around $195. Price closed right on the Put Wall – neutral-to-slightly-negative gamma. Not terrible, but not great either.

Technically: testing the lower Bollinger band ($194). RSI low 30s. MACD negative and widening. Momentum is still pointing down.

Above $195 and we could stabilize toward $200. Below $192 and the lower band breaks, with $190-185 as the next stop.

Overnight at $192 is hovering near the low. No real buying pressure showing up yet.

Honestly... this ticker is putting me to sleep. We've been stuck in this slow bleed for weeks. No bounce, no break – just... nothing. At this point I'd take a fakeout spike just to feel something lol.

What do you guys think – do we finally find a floor or keep drifting?

DOYD🫡

Hey everyone – hope you're hanging in there.

Another day, another nothingburger. NVDA closed at $199.00, down 0.52%. Traded between $201.67 and $196.58. Volume 151M – decent but didn't go anywhere.

Pre-market is showing around $201.67, up about 1.3% from yesterday's close. Trying to bounce, but we've seen this before.

Here's the GEX (based on yesterday's close):
Put Wall $200, Call Wall $210, gamma flip around $201. Yesterday's close at $199 was sitting just below the Put Wall – slightly negative gamma territory.

Technically, price is hovering right around the lower Bollinger band ($196). RSI low 40s. MACD still negative and widening.

Above $200 and we could stabilize toward $205-210. Below $196 and the lower band breaks, with $190 as the next area.

Pre-market at $201 is trying to reclaim the Put Wall. Let's see if it actually holds this time.

Honestly though... when is this thing gonna wake up? Feels like we've been stuck in this range forever. $210 or $190 – just pick a direction already lol.

What's your take – do we finally break out or keep boring everyone to death?

DOYD🫡

Hey everyone – hope you're hanging in there.

Another day, another nothingburger. NVDA closed at $199.00, down 0.52%. Traded between $201.67 and $196.58. Volume 151M – decent but didn't go anywhere.

Pre-market is showing around $201.67, up about 1.3% from yesterday's close. Trying to bounce, but we've seen this before.

Here's the GEX (based on yesterday's close):
Put Wall $200, Call Wall $210, gamma flip around $201. Yesterday's close at $199 was sitting just below the Put Wall – slightly negative gamma territory.

Technically, price is hovering right around the lower Bollinger band ($196). RSI low 40s. MACD still negative and widening.

Above $200 and we could stabilize toward $205-210. Below $196 and the lower band breaks, with $190 as the next area.

Pre-market at $201 is trying to reclaim the Put Wall. Let's see if it actually holds this time.

Honestly though... when is this thing gonna wake up? Feels like we've been stuck in this range forever. $210 or $190 – just pick a direction already lol.

What's your take – do we finally break out or keep boring everyone to death?

DOYD🫡

Look at this action — overnight hit $1238, up 18% after that monster ER. Premarket already shredding the Call Wall at 1050 like it's nothing. Volume 1.7M, turnover 2B+.

Gamma chart is telling me something interesting. Call Wall at 1050 got absolutely obliterated. Next major resistance on GEX? I'm looking at that 1200-1250 zone where dealer hedging starts kicking in, but if we clear that premarket...

Honestly? 1300 isn't crazy.

The overnight high already tagged 1250. That's +15% from yesterday's close of 1048. Options flow is absolutely piling in — that Gamma Exposure spike means dealers are gonna have to chase as price moves higher. Positive feedback loop.

So yeah, 1300 is in play.

MU just made the case for all of it.

Numbers were filthy:

• Q3 rev: $41.46B vs $35.59B est.
• EPS: $25.11 vs $20.63 est.
• Q4 guide: $49-51B vs $42.9B est.

But the call is where the thesis got confirmed. Three things:

1. Memory = strategic asset. CEO said it flat out — AI lives and dies by memory. GPUs compute. Memory remembers. Without it, you got nothing. Customers don't bid on price anymore. They fight for allocation.

2. Supply isn't catching up. MU straight up told us they don't see when supply meets demand. 2027+. HBM eating DRAM capacity. Fabs taking years. This isn't a normal cycle — supply side got permanently rewired.

3. Demand isn't just servers. Auto going 5x on memory. Robots? 10x that. MU talking multi-decade demand starting late this decade.

And 16 take-or-pay SCAs locking ~20% DRAM and 1/3 NAND through 2030. They're slowly turning boom-bust into recurring revenue.

My take: Everyone trades memory like a cyclical. AI flips the table. Demand exponential, supply linear. That's not a cycle anymore — that's scarcity.

That's exactly why I still put DRAM at Layer 1 in the AI investment thesis — Memory first, optical interconnects second, applications third. And honestly? Nothing I've seen changes that call.

And if she clears 1250 premarket? We're knocking on 1300's door. That GEX ramp at the top isn't dealer resistance — it's fuel.

Hey everyone – hope your week's going alright.

Yesterday was another active one for SPCX. Closed at $156.11, up just under 1%. Hit $165.50 at the high, dipped to $147.11 at the low – wide range. Volume was massive at 155M.

Pre-market right now is showing around $157.91, up about 1.1% from yesterday's close. Small bounce, nothing crazy.

Here's the GEX (based on yesterday's close):
Put Wall $162.50, Call Wall $180, gamma flip around $159.78. Yesterday's close at $156.11 was sitting below the Put Wall – slightly negative gamma territory.

Technically, price is still below the middle Bollinger band (not shown but looks around $170-175 area). RSI mid 40s. MACD still negative but flattening.

With Put Wall at $162.50, getting back above that level would flip things more neutral-to-positive. Below it, $159.78 gamma flip is the first resistance, then $155-150 as the next downside area.

Pre-market at $157 is just hovering. No clear direction yet.

What’s your take – do we reclaim $162.50 today or stay under pressure?

DOYD🫡

Hey everyone – hope your week's going alright.

Yesterday was another active one for SPCX. Closed at $156.11, up just under 1%. Hit $165.50 at the high, dipped to $147.11 at the low – wide range. Volume was massive at 155M.

Pre-market right now is showing around $157.91, up about 1.1% from yesterday's close. Small bounce, nothing crazy.

Here's the GEX (based on yesterday's close):
Put Wall $162.50, Call Wall $180, gamma flip around $159.78. Yesterday's close at $156.11 was sitting below the Put Wall – slightly negative gamma territory.

Technically, price is still below the middle Bollinger band (not shown but looks around $170-175 area). RSI mid 40s. MACD still negative but flattening.

With Put Wall at $162.50, getting back above that level would flip things more neutral-to-positive. Below it, $159.78 gamma flip is the first resistance, then $155-150 as the next downside area.

Pre-market at $157 is just hovering. No clear direction yet.

What’s your take – do we reclaim $162.50 today or stay under pressure?

DOYD🫡

Scrolling through the moomoo community earlier and saw someone break down their $BABA position across different holding periods — some chunks held 4 years 8 months, others 2 years 8 months, one only about 1 year 4 months.

Made me think about my own Alibaba bag. Been holding since the China tech beatdown and it's been a brutal ride. The patient money seems to finally be catching a break though, depending on when you started averaging in.

Funny how the time-in-position view tells a totally different story than just staring at the current price. Two people can own the same ticker and have completely opposite vibes depending on cost basis and how long they sat through the chop.

Curious how the long-haul BABA crowd is feeling these days. Anyone here actually been in since the 2021 highs and just refusing to sell? Or did most people who survived this name DCA their way out of the hole?

Also wondering if anyone rotated out and regrets it. Feels like every time I think about trimming, the chart does something weird the next week.

Who's still bullish on the China tech reopening thesis and who finally tapped out?

been selling premium for a while now and ngl the biggest lesson wasn't strategy, it was filtering. chasing fat premiums on garbage tickers blew up my account more than once lol.

these days i run every candidate through 4 hard checks before i even look at the chain:

1. liquidity. tight bid ask, decent open interest, real volume. if i can't get filled near mid i skip it.

2. would i actually be ok owning the stock long term if it gets put to me? if the answer is no i don't sell the put. simple as that.

3. IV rank. i want it elevated, ideally above 70. anything under 30 honestly not worth the buying power imo.

4. no earnings or binary events before expiration. been burned too many times on a "safe" CSP into a print.

started on broad ETFs first, stuff like SPY QQQ IWM VOO, before i ever touched single names. pulled the IV rank chart from moomoo community the other day and it's wild how fast the rank flips on names like TSLA NVDA AAPL once vol cools off.

friction matters too. saw a breakdown where like 30% of premium just bleeds to spreads if you trade illiquid stuff. that math humbled me real quick.

anyone running a stricter checklist? what's your IV rank floor before you'll touch a name?

ok so this is kinda wild. noticed moomoo added correct score prediction markets and i somehow hit a 9.09x on one ticket lol.

basically you pick the exact final score — way tighter than moneyline so the multiplier is fat if you nail it. been messing with prediction markets for a while and these correct score ones are a different beast. hit rate is brutal obviously, but interesting if you follow the sport.

feels like brokers are getting spicy — hood pushing event contracts, now moomoo side throwing punches back. retail wins honestly.

anyone else running these? curious about hit rate vs straight winner markets, and is there a smarter way to size these or just pure dart throw?