
Accumulation MANIPULATION Distribution AMD
Unexpected news and price pumped after an accumulation during Asia and London and then selloff after. classic AMD, accumulation, manipulation, distribution.

Unexpected news and price pumped after an accumulation during Asia and London and then selloff after. classic AMD, accumulation, manipulation, distribution.
Posting this one before the trade plays out because hindsight charts are easy. This is the setup I'm currently watching going into Wednesday, and it's basically my version of the ICT 2022 model / ERL → IRL delivery.
The weekly structure is what got my attention first. Monday gave us the initial range/accumulation, and Tuesday into Wednesday delivered below the range and flushed sell-side liquidity, including Asia SSL. That matters because under the weekly profile I'm watching, Monday establishes the range, Tuesday/Wednesday can provide the manipulation, and then I'm looking for the actual weekly expansion/distribution afterward. I'm not blindly assuming Wednesday's low has to hold, but right now I have enough evidence to treat it as a potential low of the week.
What makes this interesting is what happened after the liquidity was taken. We didn't just touch SSL and bounce. We got actual displacement away from the lows, and that displacement left a clean 30-minute bullish FVG behind. That's the part I care about. Liquidity being taken gives me the context; displacement tells me price may actually be repricing; the FVG gives me the IRL where I can structure the trade.
So the model I'm watching is basically:
The biggest mistake I see with the 2022 model is people treating every FVG like an entry. The FVG by itself isn't the edge. I want liquidity taken first, displacement away from that liquidity, an imbalance created by the displacement, and a logical draw on liquidity sitting on the opposite side. The FVG is just where I can express the idea with defined risk.
And this isn't something I'm judging from five cherry-picked screenshots. I've separated this model from the rest of my trading and tracked 68 trades recently:
That's why I'm comfortable posting this before knowing the outcome. The individual trade can absolutely lose. I'm trading a setup that has produced positive expectancy over a meaningful sample for me.
Now I wait. If price gives me the retracement into the 30m FVG while the structure remains valid, that's my entry. If it invalidates the low, I'm wrong and I'm out. No need to turn a losing setup into a new theory halfway through the trade.
I'll update this afterward whether it wins or loses.
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What it does!
Auto-detects trend direction and marks high probability phases on the chart
Labels entries automatically (including continuous/re-entry signals as price develops)
Plots an invalidation level so you know exactly where the setup is wrong
Calculates 5 take profit levels automatically (TP1 through TP5)
It's not NAS100-specific, works across forex, crypto, gold, indices, anything with clean price data.
I'm not going to throw out a win rate here since that means nothing without your own testing. If you want to verify performance, TradingView's Strategy Tester is the way to go, happy to share more detail on how I've been backtesting it if anyone's interested.
Screenshot attached showing a live example: entry, invalidation, continuous entry, and the TP ladder all marked out.
i need someone to guide me through this journey im 19 pls anyone help me
FOR BUYS: A clean move and candle close above $4,398 confirms a bullish breakout from this accumulation range, signaling that buyers have taken full control.
The $4,398 level marks the top boundary of the current range and recent lower highs. Clearing this key level sweeps upper sell-side liquidity and invalidates local selling pressure.
A break above $4,398 aligns with the dominant higher-timeframe trend toward the next key targets at $4,425 – $4,450. FVG WILL DOUBLE CONFIRM THE BUY TREND.
FOR SELL: A break below this level breaks key short-term structural support, triggering a bearish continuation out of the box.
Failing to defend the $4,345 demand level signals a local Change of Character (CHoCH) on the 1-hour timeframe, indicating that sellers are driving a deeper corrective phase.
A breakdown opens up significant downside imbalance, targeting the previous swing lows and liquidity pools down toward $4,325 – $4,300.
Hello guys, I trade 30 minutes OB with moving averages the strategy is profitable, I am just curious if anyone also trades ICT concepts with indicators
Checking to see if there’s anyone else working on trading the London silver bullet/killzone and wanted to hang out during it.
Been working on this for a while and wanted to share where it's at.
The ICE Indicator is built around the idea that price moves through phases: indication, consolidation, and expansion. Instead of manually marking these up, the script automates the whole read:
Auto trend identification (switches with market structure)
Auto entry labels when conditions align
5 take profit levels (TP1 to TP5)
Invalidation levels so you know exactly where the idea is wrong
Auto exit signals
Attached is a live GBPUSD example:
entry triggered, price respected the invalidation zone, and it walked through TP1 before the exit signal fired.
Works across forex, crypto, gold, and indices. I'm not going to throw win rate numbers around here since that's easy to cherry-pick. If you want to see how it performs on your pairs and timeframes, run it through TradingView's Strategy Tester yourself, that's the only way to get numbers you can actually trust.
Still refining it and open to feedback if anyone wants to test it out.
I feel like most trading Discords are either completely dead or just signal rooms.
I’m curious how many people here would actually want a smaller community of traders who are genuinely trying to get profitable and improve together.
If that’s something you’d be interested in, let me know.
I've been trading Forex for about **5 years**. The first 2 years I mostly traded signals/copied others. For the last 3 years, I've focused heavily on **ICT/SMC**, starting with studying ICT directly.
I've watched countless ICT videos, backtested extensively, and have a specific entry model based on liquidity sweeps, displacement, 15m CISD, session/1H/daily highs and lows, etc.
My biggest problem is **DAILY BIAS**. Since ICT is discretionary, I often get the bias wrong, even during backtesting. I understand the concepts, but I still can't consistently turn them into profitable decisions.
Seeing people online claiming payouts after 6–12 months makes me wonder what I'm doing wrong. I've also joined a well-known ICT Discord where the trader had multiple payouts, but during the 2 months I followed him, he had no profitable month. His journal also shows only a few profitable months since 2025. It made me realize that social media results don't necessarily tell the whole story.
So I'm looking for advice from people who **actually withdraw consistently from the market**, not another ICT theory lesson.
If you've been in a similar situation:
* How did you solve your daily bias problem? * Did you make your strategy improve your discretion? * How did you know your strategy actually had an edge? * If you were 5 years in and still not profitable, what would you change? * Would you simplify ICT, continue with it, or completely start over?
**What was the one thing that finally made you profitable?**
I'm genuinely looking for honest advice from experienced, consistently profitable traders. Please don't tell me to watch more ICT videos—I think I've watched enough.
Hello i Search trader to trade together live in discord We will be Accountability Partner ans growing together in trading , only serious people pls no kids
I used to think that knowing the direction of the market was all that mattered.. That was not the case. I had some losses on days when I was right about the direction. I still should not have made a trade.
One thing that helped me avoid a lot of trades was to have a rule: if the price does not move past the true open at the start of the day then I do not trade. This rule helped me avoid 70 percent of bad trades.
This means that if the price has not passed the open by the time I am ready to trade then I just wait. The market is not ready to make a move
The price might have already moved before I was ready to trade. I missed my chance.
The market might be moving slowly with no big players involved so the price is just bouncing around with no real direction.
If the price does not move past the open then I do not make a trade. It does not matter how sure I am about the direction of the market. If the price is not moving then I just wait.
I just treat it like a normal day and do not try to force a trade. I do not try to make a profit just because I am afraid of missing out. Staying out of the market on a day helps me keep my money safe for the next time the market is ready to make a move.
Traders who lose money on days are not wrong, about what they think the market will do. They are wrong because they are waiting for the market to give them permission to make a trade.
How do you decide if the market is just slow or if it is really dead?
A 5m FVG means nothing if time cycle isn’t matched time provides price, price doesn’t provide time (obviously) but let’s just make it super clear for those who seem to forget if you practice Quarterly Theory throughout the session - 90min macrocycle is the lowest probability filter to not take trades :
Q1 Accumulation Price creates the initial range / liquidity to both sides
Rule : don’t touch this , takes are a gamble until manipulation occurs
Q2 Manipulation The Judas swing, Sweeps Q1 liquid or True open.
Rule : SMT or sweep into HTF levels Rule : take set ups here 22.5-45 m
Q3 Expansion -The highest probable window of the 90m cycle (likely within 3min, 5min, 15m)
Rule : execute the trade - (MSS+FVG in to the zone) ONCE Q2 has completed the Judas/sweep
Q4 Distribution Price slows down, ready for next cycle.
Rule :Secure trades, trail SLs.
NO NEW ENTRIES Takeaway : Trades in Q1/late Q4 lose at a high win rate .
Let the Judas (Q2) do its job, and enter off the back of that move in Q3. Are you guys matching entries with 90m cycle or are you just clicking on any fvg that pops up?
I've been trading for almost 2 years now, and I've gotten a basic understanding of how to trade and how the market works. I've managed to pass my account twice, and I'm currently funded right now, but I'm having trouble consistently staying in profit or just making profit in general. And I don't know why.
I feel like I'm right at the edge of everything clicking for me to transition into becoming profitable, but I also just don't know WTF I'm doing wrong or if I'm doing anything wrong at all.
I've always been good at knowing where the market is going to go just by looking at the chart, but I didn't know when it was going to go in said direction until I figured that out. I've figured out how to use my daily bias to win trades. I have a tried and tested model that I know works. I've even created my own setup kill zone to make it easier to find my setups or invalid setups going in the direction of my bias.
I've figured out what times the market is likely to be volatile or slow. I know what market conditions to stay out of and what I can enter off of. I make sure to follow my rules, and I hold myself accountable if I break them.
I took a trade yesterday and went B/E, and from that, I learned that I need to work more on my liquidity targeting, so I set up a list of targets to look at on my chart.
I just don't know what I'm missing. I feel like it's there, but I just can't see it.
Hey guys and girls ! I want to get into trading and learning to foreign exchange and then get into stocks when I can build my capital.
Question who is a reliable teacher that can teach the basics as well as a method .
I will be trading on a paper account for the first 3 months and then dabble into real funds once I can see wins pop up on the paper account .
But all feedback is welcomed!
The D1 chart has an interesting setup after the recent price swings.
I’m curious whether everyone here is leaning bullish or bearish for the week ahead.
Trade setup. Still bearish on NQ in general as it did not make a new ATH but ES did. So i am looking for shorts on NQ. Why make it complicated: Distribution -> expansion -> accumulation -> expansion -> distribution -> expansion. Accumulation in a NDOG, expansion to a NWOG, aligned with the -1 std dev of the accumulation, then expansion to the -1 std dev of the original consolidation (distribution). SL above the fvg, TP at -1 std dev of the original consolidation (distribution).
There was some unexpected high volatility for a few seconds that sent price to a couple of points away from my final tp. decided to close the trade and filled way off from the TP but it hit the TP a few minutes later.