Wrapping up the week on gold. Full picture:

Monday: 1:2 target hit. +340 pips.

Tuesday: SL hit. 150 pips loss.

Tuesday: 1:2 target hit. +400 pips.

Wednesday: 1:2 target hit. +370 pips.

Friday: Still running. +150 pips so far.

Net so far: +1110 pips. Friday trade open.

5 setups. 4 wins. 1 loss.

Two trades on Tuesday — one stopped out, one hit full target. Both posted publicly.

That's what honest tracking looks like.

What levels are you watching on gold

heading into next week?

No one talks about this in market structure..

Imagine this image as a chart and price keeps breaking bullish structure. Price then breaks structure, pulls back(a bit small but still enough to be called a swing) then pushes back up breaking structure.

Now my question, is the tiny break of structure an actual BOS or we should discard it and use the previous low as the last protected low.

Most of us learn the partial close at 1.5R from ICT content but nobody actually runs the numbers on when it beats a simple 2R hold vs when it doesn't.

Three outcomes exist (not two):

1. Price hits SL before 1.5R → full loss, -1R
2. Price hits 1.5R (you book half, move SL to BE) → price reverses → +0.75R. You still made money.
3. Price hits 1.5R then continues to 2R → +1.75R

The crossover point: partial close only outperforms simple 2R when your P2 (% of 1.5R-hitting trades that continue to 2R) is below ~87.5%. Above that, you're better off not closing early.

For a 40% win rate prop firm challenge, at P2=70% the partial close adds roughly 0.3R per trade to expectancy. At P2=90% you're leaving money on the table.

Worth running your own numbers before you start the challenge, not after.

Here is NQ today.

So on any other day if i took this inversion with my SL at the REH i would've been stopped out before they went lower. I noticed if they leave REH/REL in area like where the entry was they would sweep and then go lower.

Why did the algo ignore it?

BE TRADE FOR THE NY MACRO.

WE WERE OVERALL BULLISH ON THE DAY FOR THE NY SESSION.

5 MIN FVG
1 MIN IFVG
TARGETING BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY

​

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Price beautifully tap at a random level.

Let's see if EU will complete the MMSM

Bias are 15m CRT and entry at 1m ifvg to target NY AM low