u/Xistint

Behind closed doors, Iran may be in discussions on the long game strategy that would benefit China, Russia and several unnamed Gulf countries.

One of China’s objectives is to manipulate Iran by convincing the IRGC not to capitulate to US demands. This would put unwanted pressure on the US administration and if successful, risks drawing the US into a longer conflict.

While this may have dire consequences for Iran’s leadership, it is potentially more detrimental to the US in the long term. If Iran publicly refuses to surrender the enriched uranium and makes statements that a nuclear weapon is not only possible but imminent, the US will have no choice but to engage in a broader conflict. If and when this happens, public support for the war will further wane.

If this happens, the midterms will likely be lost to the Democratic Party beginning the end of the 47th’s administration’s control of the house. This would also exacerbate the angst likely jeopardizing any Republican hopes for a successful 2028 election year.

**With a potential victory by the Democratic Party in 2028, Iran, China, Russia and other adversaries of the US, would enter a recalibration period. During this time, a new administration with an Obama-like appeasement strategy would provide sufficient opportunity to further promote and weaken the social divide. This is why I believe that regardless of if any MOU is signed, it will not last.**

Behind closed doors, Iran may be in discussions on the long game strategy that would benefit China, Russia and several unnamed Gulf countries.

One of China’s objectives is to manipulate Iran by convincing the IRGC not to capitulate to US demands. This would put unwanted pressure on the US administration and if successful, risks drawing the US into a longer conflict.

While this may have dire consequences for Iran’s leadership, it is potentially more detrimental to the US in the long term. If Iran publicly refuses to surrender the enriched uranium and makes statements that a nuclear weapon is not only possible but imminent, the US will have no choice but to engage in a broader conflict. If and when this happens, public support for the war will further wane.

If this happens, the midterms will likely be lost to the Democratic Party beginning the end of the 47th’s administration’s control of the house. This would also exacerbate the angst likely jeopardizing any Republican hopes for a successful 2028 election year.

**With a potential victory by the Democratic Party in 2028, Iran, China, Russia and other adversaries of the US, would enter a recalibration period. During this time, a new administration with an Obama-like appeasement strategy would provide sufficient opportunity to further promote and weaken the social divide. This is why I believe that regardless of if any MOU is signed, it will not last.**