r/AMD_Stock

Technical Analysis for AMD 5/21-----------Pre-Market

Technical Analysis for AMD 5/21-----------Pre-Market

Oooooooof

Welp I didn't think I expected to hear Jensen say that they have "largely conceded the China market to Huawei." I mean obviously I can see the tea leaves and understand the politics around it but oooof man it just really really sucks for them for sure. It was like 20% of their total sales and probably like another 10% of the black market sales. So yea just there seemed to be enough "there" there for Jensen to never stop but I guess at the same time, why try to get into a pricing game when you have people here in the US who are willing to pay your crazy margins???

Anyone see Jensens $20Bil in CPU sales he's pitching??? I need to actually do some research on it and perhaps someone here can turn me onto a source? It is my understanding that their "CPU" is pretty much a switch that handles light workloads and just pushes any other tasks to be run on the GPU. Which is NOT the power efficient solution that big DC are looking for. Did NVDA make a new breakthrough that I wasn't aware of???

Got a relief rally yesterday on AMD and I think that is pretty interesting after we got that dip and indecision. Looks like some bullish movement could be in store for the stock in the short term even though we are down today. We need more data as we've only been outside of earnings for 2 weeks now and it materially has changed the valuation for sure. Still looking to buy dips into the gap.

reddit.com
u/JWcommander217 — 11 hours ago

AMD Announces More Than $10 Billion in Taiwan Ecosystem Investments to Accelerate AI Infrastructure

amd.com
u/Blak9 — 18 hours ago

AMD Announces Production Ramp of Next-Generation AMD EPYC Processor “Venice” on TSMC 2nm Process Technology

amd.com
u/Blak9 — 18 hours ago

ZFG + Nvidia ER & China thoughts

Still on vacation since the last ZFG post after AMD's ER.

NVIDIA's ER today is so important to listen to
Basically, Jensen confirmed a 2:1 GPU to CPU ratio. Meaning that the 8:1 and 4:1 ratios are now retired, it's either 2:1 or 1:1, or more CPUs than GPUs, as Lisa mentioned on AMD's ER.

I can see the Compute market will propably be subdivided into 4 or more aisles,
1- GPUs (Nvidia dominance, AMD challenges)

2- CPUs, (Jury is out, but it's looking like Nvidia Vs AMD again, as AMD leverages its CPU leadership to sell GPUs, so does Nvidia the other way around)

3- ASICs, Broadcom dominates while Google competes with AWS, probably will never exceed in-house adoptions as future computing gets cheaper)

4-Others like (DPUs, LPUs, switches, and controllers): fragmented, healthy competition everywhere
Thank god for the Pansando acquisition.

Meanwhile, you have your picks and shovels like HBM & NAND that benefit from every segment

--------------------------------------------

Final thoughts: China

I think the Chinese market has left the US tech Stack for good, just remove every China projection from your investment thesis.

AMD can get a marginal footing in China at best, thanks to OPEN source, but that is limited to some fine use cases where the Chinese domestic tech can't just brute force.

The US just can't launch a sudden economic war on China and also cut China off from the already inferior H20s and Mi308 chips that they were putting up with during peak demand and AI infrastructure build & Transformation, while yet the US still expects them to still place their AI future on the US tech stack and "Open Up China", No mister all you get is a few commercial planes and some soybeans "For now".

The Chinese GOV will definitely allow "some" chips as long as their domestic investments guarantee China's eventual tech independence.

And that is not just China :
2025 was an awakening moment for every country on the globe that was too dependent on the US for anything; every nation leader suddenly found themselves on the receiving end of brow-beating and a humiliating lesson for everyone, every non-US person globally now has negative views towards the US, and it's very popular to adopt independence policies now more than ever.

This doesn't magically end when the media is busy with something else; this begins a slow but sure and confident process towards decreasing dependence that, once it begins, never stops (a put-down-the-sign kind of policy).

it happened so recently with Europe, how the EU energy was mostly dependent on cheap Russian energy for decades, but had its awakening during 2022 when that very same dependence was weaponized against them. But now it's a completely different situation.

more on China: Here & here & Here ..

Have a nice ZFG day
See you on $500 SP

u/Sensitive_Course_127 — 20 hours ago

Technical Analysis for AMD 5/20-------Pre-Market

wild ride

Okay so yesterday was a WILD ass ride and AMD crashed hard with the broader market into that gap below that $400 level. But it recovered as well and we got this indecision candle with very little movement. I mean ooooof just look at that spread. The market is trying to value where AMD should be and to me there are just as many buyers and sellers at this area. A lot of people were on the lookout for that $400 gap bounce and we got it.

Little concerned that AMD didn't form up support sooner and had a low of $393. That still screams to me that this thing wants a gap fill at some point but I guess we will see what NVDA does. I am one of the few, NVDA is going to deliver a great earnings by all metrics but is it enough to support the insane valuation??? But then again everytime I say that, Jensen finds some amazing way to sell people on some new future opportunity. I do think it is interesting that he left China without a deal and I wonder if he was waiting to keep that announcement for earnings bc he needs the boost.

I sold 2 weekly puts when AMD broke the $400 level for $377.5 so I might end up closing that out today and just pocketing the premium but at the end of the day I do think that AMD does want to head lower into this gap which is going to be a MONSTER buying opportunity if yesterdays price action is any indication. Might not get the whole gap fill which is just bc people want to own this thing so be prepared.

reddit.com
u/JWcommander217 — 1 day ago
▲ 138 r/AMD_Stock

AMD CEO Lisa Su delivered a speech in Shanghai: Predicting that within five years, 5 billion people will use AI daily, and Chinese developers are indispensable.

news.futunn.com
u/Blak9 — 1 day ago

AMD CEO Lisa Su gets the "superstar" treatment in Shanghai.

On May 19, AMD Chair and CEO Lisa Su attended the AMD AI DevDay 2026 in Shanghai

instagram.com
u/Blak9 — 1 day ago
▲ 132 r/AMD_Stock

AMD CEO Lisa Su Meets China Vice Premier as Trade Relations Show Signs of Stabilizing

AMD CEO Lisa Su met with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Beijing, with China reportedly inviting AMD to deepen cooperation as U.S.-China trade relations show signs of stabilizing. Interesting timing given ongoing AI chip/export restrictions and AMD’s push in data center GPUs.

investing.com
u/Kindly-Potential6590 — 2 days ago