Hi everybody,

Saw VMAR dropped their shareholder update yesterday and it actually looks pretty decent, so figured I’d share. I only have a tiny position, mostly researching for fun, but the direction they’re heading feels promising.

Quick rundown:

They specialize in high-voltage electric boat motors (E-Motion) and sell both electric and traditional boats through Nautical Ventures, the dealership chain they acquired last year in Florida. Nice vertical integration with their own retail and service network.

What stood out in the latest update (H1 FY2026):

• Electric boat contracts up over 400% YoY, actual signed deals.
• Nautical Ventures cleaned house: inventory -37%, floor plan financing -57% ->> operations and cash flow looking a lot healthier.
• Retail side is getting very close to EBITDA breakeven in under a year.
• Planning to sell a Fort Lauderdale property for ~$5M non-dilutive cash.
• New SPECTR 26 electric pontoon launch + fresh partnerships (Twin Vee, etc.).
• Just dual-listed on TSX Venture.

Cash position around $4.1M, working capital ~$10M. Market cap is still super small (~$1.3-1.5M), so typical penny stock volatility.

Risks:

• Still unprofitable with ugly EPS.
• Electric marine market is early-stage and competitive.
• Dilution risk remains (ATM facility).

Overall, it feels like they’re making a solid shift from pure R&D to actual commercial execution. If the electric boating trend keeps building (especially with green incentives), having the retail network could give them a meaningful edge. Not saying it’s a moonshot, but worth keeping an eye on.

Anyone else following this one?

TL;DR

• U.S. stocks sold off sharply as rising Iran conflict fears triggered a broad risk-off move across global markets
• SPY fell 1.20%, while QQQ dropped 1.51% and small caps (IWM) sank 2.41%
• Semiconductor stocks were hit hardest, with NVDA down 4.42%, AMD down 5.69%, and INTC falling 6.18%
• Oil prices surged 3.66% as traders priced in geopolitical supply disruption risk tied to Iran tensions
• Bonds and stocks fell together, signalling institutional cash raising rather than normal sector rotation
• Gold and silver unexpectedly sold off during the geopolitical spike, pointing toward forced liquidation pressure
• Energy stocks outperformed, while growth, semiconductors, utilities, and cyclical sectors weakened sharply
• Traders are watching SPY support near $738 and resistance around $743 heading into next week
• The market now depends heavily on weekend Iran headlines, oil volatility, and whether risk sentiment stabilizes Monday morning

https://tradingdecks.beehiiv.com/p/oil-prices-spike-ai-stocks-sell-off-and-iran-conflict-triggers-broad-risk-off-move

[ Removed by Reddit on account of violating the content policy. ]

$MOB Mobilicom may be one of the most underappreciated microcap technology stories on Nasdaq.

The market seems to view it as a small drone-component supplier, but that misses the bigger picture.

Mobilicom is building the secure communications, control, cybersecurity, and autonomy layer for drones, robotics, unmanned systems, and remote edge platforms.

That is a much bigger market than just defense.
Yes, the defense angle is powerful. Mobilicom has already disclosed production-scale orders from a U.S. Tier-1 drone manufacturer under a $249M U.S. defense Program of Record, with its SkyHopper PRO and ICE Cybersecurity Suite integrated into loitering munitions.
That is real validation.

But Mobilicom’s technology is not limited to one defense program or one drone platform.
Its core products apply anywhere unmanned systems need secure, reliable, long-range, jam-resistant, cyber-protected communications.
That includes defense drones, loitering munitions, border security, public safety, emergency response, energy infrastructure, mining, ports, offshore operations, industrial robotics, inspection drones, autonomous vehicles, agriculture, smart cities, and critical infrastructure monitoring.

The real bull case is that Mobilicom is not just selling drone radios.

It is selling the secure nervous system for autonomous machines.

Drones need eyes.
They need sensors.
They need onboard compute.
They need communications.
They need cybersecurity.
They need control links that survive interference, jamming, spoofing, and hostile environments.
That is where Mobilicom sits.
And that is why the Teledyne FLIR relationship matters.
Teledyne FLIR previously selected Mobilicom’s SkyHopper PRO for unmanned systems after testing. Teledyne Technologies, $TDY, is not some promotional drone startup. It is a serious aerospace, defense, imaging, sensing, instrumentation, and mission-critical electronics company.
Teledyne lives in the world of sensors, imaging, surveillance, robotics, unmanned systems, aerospace, maritime systems, industrial inspection, and critical infrastructure.

$MOB technology passed testing and was selected by Teledyne FLIR, that is meaningful validation.

Mobilicom’s products can operate in serious real-world unmanned-system environments, not just lab demos.

Now connect that to $TSEM Tower Semiconductor.

Tower is becoming one of the most important specialty semiconductor platforms in the world, especially in silicon photonics, RF, SiGe, sensing, high-speed analog, and advanced communications infrastructure.
Tower sits underneath the physical layer of the next technology cycle: optics, RF, sensing, data movement, and specialty analog.
Teledyne sits in advanced imaging, sensing, aerospace, defense, unmanned systems, and mission-critical electronics.

Mobilicom sits in secure communications, cybersecurity, and control for drones, robotics, and autonomous platforms.

Those three companies are not the same business.

But they are exposed to the same larger megatrend:

Machines are becoming more autonomous.
Sensors are becoming more important.
Communications are becoming more critical.
Edge systems are becoming more intelligent.
And cybersecurity is becoming mandatory.
That is the real $MOB story.

A drone without secure communications is a liability.

A robot without cyber protection is a target.

A remote inspection platform without reliable connectivity is useless.

An autonomous fleet without secure control can fail, be jammed, be spoofed, or be hijacked.
Mobilicom’s value is that it provides the cybersecure communications and control layer that allows unmanned systems to operate in difficult, remote, contested, or mission-critical environments.

Defense is the obvious market.
But it is not the only market.

The same technology is quietly being used in oil and gas inspection, power grid monitoring, pipeline inspection, disaster response, police and fire operations, search and rescue, maritime surveillance, port security, mining automation, railroad inspection, agriculture, construction, warehouse robotics, and industrial autonomy.

Anywhere drones or robots are doing real work, the communication link becomes mission-critical.

That is why Mobilicom is much more than a defense microcap.

The company is a broader autonomy-infrastructure platform.

And the software layer makes the story more powerful.

The market may be valuing Mobilicom as if it only sells hardware.

But Mobilicom has a proprietary cybersecurity and software stack, including ICE Cybersecurity, OS3 Cybersecurity Software, and its Secured Autonomy™ framework.
That means hardware can get Mobilicom designed into the platform.

Then software can expand revenue after adoption.

That is the key.
The upside model is not just:
Sell a datalink once.
The stronger model is:
Get designed into drones and robotics platforms.
Attach cybersecurity software.
Attach autonomy protection.
Attach fleet-level monitoring.
Attach updates.
Attach licenses.
Attach recurring software revenue.
Expand from one platform to many.
That is how $MOB can potentially move from being valued like a small hardware supplier to being valued like a scarce cybersecure autonomy platform.

This is why the valuation setup is so interesting.
Mobilicom reported only about $3.4M of 2025 revenue.
That is tiny.

But it also reported strong hardware gross margins, a sharply reduced cash burn, roughly $19M in cash, and no debt.

That creates an asymmetric setup.
The company does not need to become massive overnight for the stock to re-rate.
A few more production orders could matter.
A larger Teledyne-related opportunity could matter.
A new Tier-1 drone or robotics customer could matter.
Software attach revenue could matter.
A commercial infrastructure customer could matter.
A public safety customer could matter.
A larger defense Program of Record ramp could matter.
One meaningful platform win could change the entire revenue trajectory.
And that is why I think the market is missing it.

$TSEM is showing how important specialty semiconductor infrastructure is becoming for RF, sensing, photonics, and communications.
$TDY shows how valuable mission-critical sensing, imaging, aerospace, and unmanned-system platforms can be and it’s demonstrated the advantages of better performance due to leveraging TSEM’s Sipho platform.

$MOB is the tiny unknown public company sitting in the secure communications and cybersecurity layer that these next-generation systems increasingly require and it’s all layered on $TSEM’s PH18 platform that Teledyne is publicly using.
.

Ultimately MOB looks like it is going to own a critical layer inside autonomous systems: secure connectivity, control, and cyber protection.

That layer is becoming more valuable as drones, robots, and edge systems become more common.

More drones means more links.
More robots means more control systems.
More autonomous fleets means more cybersecurity risk.

More contested environments means more demand for resilient communications.
More critical infrastructure automation means more need for secure edge networking.

That is $MOB’s bull case.
Tiny company.
Real validation.
Teledyne FLIR selection history.
U.S. defense Program of Record exposure.
Loitering munitions integration.
High-margin software potential.
Cybersecurity differentiation.
Secure autonomy positioning.
Cash-rich balance sheet.
No debt.
Low burn.

And exposure to markets far beyond defense.
I think $MOB is not being valued as a cybersecure autonomy infrastructure company.
It is being valued like a forgotten drone-radio microcap.

That gap is the larger opportunity.
Mobilicom has proven its technology and plans to scale across defense, public safety, industrial inspection, critical infrastructure, robotics, and autonomous systems**, the market may be forced to completely reprice the company.**
That is why I am bullish.
$MOB may be tiny today.

But it is already sitting in a critical layer of the stack that is becoming essential …

Not financial advice.

Why Cerebras (CBRS) IPO is a big deal — trades tomorrow on Nasdaq:

• Priced at $185/share tonight, ABOVE the raised range — raised $5.55 billion
• Now worth ~$56 billion (biggest IPO of 2026 so far)
• Order book was 20x oversubscribed — insane demand
• Makes a giant AI chip the size of a dinner plate — 58x bigger than Nvidia's top chip
• Claims up to 15x faster than Nvidia for running AI (1,000x in some cases)
• $20 BILLION deal with OpenAI
• Partnership with Amazon Web Services
• Sam Altman, Greg Brockman & Ilya Sutskever personally own shares
• Revenue up 76% last year, actually profitable
• Plays the "inference" wave — where AI is shifting now

Hottest IPO so far this year, AI chip darling, backed by the OpenAI crew. Watch CBRS tomorrow.

Just hold HYLN stock for next earnings , if they done it you 50% maybe become wealthy if you invest now

#hyln stock

Nu Holdings reports Q1 2026 earnings on May 14th, after market close. Here's what the street is expecting:

Revenue: $4.97B (+53% YoY) — up from $4.86B last quarter

EPS: $0.20 (+82% YoY) — up from $0.18 last quarter

Customers: 136.4M (+15% YoY) — up from 131M last quarter

These would be absolutely MONSTER numbers. For context, last year they grew revenue 39% YoY and grew total customers 15%. This company grows like a startup, but with a $60B+ Market Cap.

Still trading at ~17-18x forward P/E while growing EPS at 80%+ YoY...

You guys adding, holding or trimming going into earnings?

I’ve been looking at a small company that’s developing a new way to deliver a drug for a hard-to-treat neurological condition. They recently reached a significant milestone with their lead program and expect more updates later this year. It’s still very early stage and obviously high risk.

Anyone else seen any interesting small biotechs with novel delivery approaches or unique mechanisms?

Update: The company I was referring to is NeOnc Technologies ($NTHI).

They are developing NEO100, it's an intranasal (nasal spray) formulation of perillyl alcohol. The idea is to deliver the drug directly to brain tumors, trying to bypass the blood-brain barrier. This is for recurrent high-grade glioma (including glioblastoma), one of the most aggressive brain cancers with very poor prognosis.

What caught my attention:

- Recently completed patient enrollment in their Phase 2a trial.

- Earlier compassionate use and Phase 1/2a data showed response rates better than typical salvage therapies in this setting.

- CEO has been buying shares on the open market (almost $1M in the past year)

It’s still a classic high-risk biotech story, very early stage, cash burn, dilution risk and brain cancer trials have extremely high failure rates. But the novel delivery approach is interesting.

SNDK closed Friday at $1,562.34—representing a +16.6% surge on Friday alone and for the week, significantly outperforming the +10% projected in the model scenario. The data is fresh:

https://preview.redd.it/upvxi1vlwa0h1.png?width=900&format=png&auto=webp&s=2ea778218453d43e75542f7bd5160724e26cb204

What has changed since the last analysis

Metric	1 Week Ago (May 7)	Now (May 8)	Change
Spot	$1,340	$1,562	+16.6%
Net Dealer GEX	−$1.20M	−$1.12M	−7% (nearly unchanged!)
Gamma Flip	$1,264	$1,095	−13.4%
Buffer above Flip	+6.0%	+42.7%	+36.7 percentage points
Deepest Short-$\gamma$ Point	$1,491 (−$3.23M)$	$1,749 (−$1.23M)$	Magnitude decreased by 62%
Total Call OI	301,385	267,570	−11%
Total Put OI	265,820	284,451	+7%
P/C OI Ratio	0.88 (Call-heavy)	1.06 (Put-heavy)	Regime Shift
ATM IV (May-15)	97%	115%	+18 pp
Max Pain (Front-Expiry)	$1,235	$1,000	Effectively decoupled

Forecast Validation

My May 7 model predicted the following for a +10% move over 7 days:

• Net GEX: Predicted −$1.70M vs. Actual −$1.12M
• Flip: Predicted $894 vs. Actual $1,095
• Deepest Short-$\gamma$: Predicted −$2.09M vs. Actual −$1.23M

All three indicators were directionally correct, and the magnitude was actually conservative—the actual squeeze erosion was even stronger than predicted. The mechanism I described (front-week decay + ITM decay outweighing retail rebuild) is functioning quantitatively.

Fundamental Shifts

1. P/C OI Flip is significant. One week ago, the ratio was 0.88 (Calls dominant). Now it is 1.06 (Puts dominant). We see +18,600 net Puts built and −33,800 Calls removed. This is no longer "rabid retail call buying"—this is hedging activity, likely from institutions protecting long positions. A "squeeze thesis" requires the opposite: explosive growth in Call OI at increasingly higher strikes. We aren't seeing that.
2. IV has exploded to 110–116% across the curve. That is an 18-point jump for the front month. Realized volatility over the last 7 days is ~250% annualized. Since IV is still significantly below realized vol, options remain "underpriced" relative to the price action. This suggests a non-equilibrium market still playing catch-up with its own volatility.
3. Max Pain at $1,000 is no longer operational. At −36% from spot, it is beyond any realistic pin mechanism for the remaining 5 trading days. The OI structure is completely decoupled from spot reality; the Max Pain argument is dead.
4. Strike density has moved up, but not explosively. New calls at $1,700 (1,939), $1,800 (1,515), $1,900 (2,520+2,173), and $2,000 (2,147). Together, this is ~10k contracts—indicative of institutional positioning rather than retail mania. A true retail cluster would look like 20k+ contracts per strike between $1,500 and $1,700, which is absent.

What this means for your trade

The setup has become structurally weaker, not stronger:

• Squeeze "Powder" has discharged by 62%, and new fuel isn't arriving with the same magnitude.
• The Flip has dropped to $1,095. A 43% buffer is massive, but it also means a drop to $1,200 is within the "stabilization zone" and would not be mechanically accelerated to the downside. This is good for holders but explicitly allows for a 15–20% pullback without a "crash" mechanism.
• The deepest Short-$\gamma$ is now at $1,749 (~12% above spot). If SNDK rallies there, there is still a small mechanical tailwind, but it's only half the magnitude of last week.

The real risk has shifted:

• Theta is the enemy: With IV at 115%, every day SNDK moves sideways or down, the long-vol component of options will be eaten alive. If you hold Calls or LETFs, time decay is now your primary threat, while Gamma is no longer your primary friend.
• Sentiment Signal: The P/C ratio flip should be taken seriously. Institutions that were right about the Q3 NDQ100 setup are now actively hedging.
• Volatility Drag: Single-stock LETFs (SNXX/SNDU) will accumulate brutal vol-drag with IV at 115% the moment the "drift phase" pauses. The compounding bonus will flip into a compounding tax.

Critical Levels:

• Above $1,500: Trend intact, squeeze mechanics present but weakened.
• Break below $1,350: New test zone; not a flip break, but a sentiment break.
• Break below $1,095: Regime change to Long-Gamma $\rightarrow$ Mean reversion setup.
• First Short-Squeeze Reload Zone: $1,749 (but with half the "juice").

Bottom Line: The stock can certainly continue to climb, but no longer "because of a gamma squeeze." That argument has measurably shrunk with the expiration of the May-8 weeklies. Whatever drives it higher now must be index-inclusion flows, fundamental re-rating, or a fresh retail wave—all of which are less mechanical and less predictable than last week's GEX story. Adjust position sizing accordingly.

Going by the posts in recent days, people don't see that it is a feedback loop of gamma squeezing on this stock.

The higher the price goes, market makers sell new strikes.

More were added on this past Monday.

Wednesday is always a no-man's land day, as the previous week's run up and options expiry has been fulfilled.

Late Thursday and Friday is delta-hedging to remain delta-neutral from institutions that sold those options.

4.28pm today, two mins before close, 700,000+ green candle.

Tomorrow the buying should continue, and again, squeezing back into Monday/Tuesday, and then independent shorts being liquidated (which is what we saw on Tuesday, and into AH).

It's a feedback loop, and has been for most of the past twelve months. MMs lost control on this stock a long time ago.

Yesterday, Wednesday no-man's land, I really saw sentiment starting to pick up on the WSB movestomorrow/daily, unlike I had never seen before. People posting how they stood on the sidelines since 200, and just capitulating to join the rocket.

So much so, I'm still averaging up. Putting another 20K into it tomorrow morning at open and will gladly post proof.

Anyone that thinks it is wrong, look at that 4.28pm candle. SNDK wasn't even in the top imbalances as a buy today.

Edit:

I know someone on Trader TV live was shorting it yesterday, and made a packet. They are prop floor traders, who have to be zeroed out by close of bell.

Now imagine everyone not on a prop floor, trading with their own capital, that don't need to be zeroed...(shoutout to the Stocktwits that have been panicking since Monday)

Do you think the Stocktwits independents took profits? Not a chance... not from 1400.... They got greedy on their RH accounts playing successful day traders. They went momentum trading, and the momentum isn't with them. Expect more of their saltiness tomorrow. Don't have a stocktwits account, just go to:

https://finviz.com/quote?t=SNDK&p=d

And the stocktwits feed shows live on the right below the chart. The salt is fucking immense since Monday. Seen so many people/comments about how they lost everything, and accrediting it to a user that was posting 2X leverage Short SNDK. (Which is why I'm against people posting 2X long SNDK posts on the flipside. Posted about it two days ago, post got removed... here we are two days later down. SNDK shares would have been better right? Those now feeling it.)

RIP.

Edit 2: Full disclosure, we need to stay above 1300. We lose the 1300 battle, that's the sign that MMs have started to get it under control finally. We lose 1300 support, we'll downtrend hard, and stop loss triggers. So far... legends and stock buyback algo, keeping it 1300+.

N.B: So if you are thinking of averaging up on dips, do it at 1290 - 1300.

(Anyone that wants to argue, or needs more reinforcement, just feed this post into your AI of choice, mention how earnings announced a buyback etc, and paste in the options chain data link here , and ask it to analyse if the stock is in a feedback loop of gamma squeezing)

I'm stupid at explaining things, so maybe that shit might explain it easier.

So, we finish above 1300 tomorrow at closing bell, we'll again see some nice action Monday and Tuesday coming. Just hope a lot of covering isn't done on AH or PM again... but most probably will.

EDIT This week have been reading so many posts and comments from people about "Are we done?". The commenters saying in replies... "what the fuck are you doing investing in this if you don't know shit"... are 100% correct, and proud that there are so many that are commenting on it. Strengthens the resolve that there are a lot here that weather the storms, see the chart in the daily and not the 1m.

Edit 666: If you got this far, good on you. Here is the real info:

Anyone invested in Ai or needs a good explanation about all the different cogs of the machine, Bloomberg uploaded this video two mornings ago Here Please give a comment below if you watched the video.. 20 mins sure.... ASML shot up like 200 bucks just from that video.

P.s: I'm guessing, a lot of people don't know they are in the biggest "Squeeze" that has ever happened. Nevermind, SNDK is still in "price discovery" still. Sure, it's a long played out squeeze, but that also means, less violent pullbacks. We still squeezing, and MMs that buried themselves a year ago, still can't get it under control.

Not saying it's lambo money, maybe a 2026 Miata. But, profit is profit.

Don't DM me unless it's tits.

The market clearly already understands that the AI bottleneck is no longer just compute. It is bandwidth, latency, power, packaging, and optical connectivity.

This is widely publicized, it’s no secret and no longer debated.

AI needs optics, this is an obvious fact.

So which companies can actually manufacture the silicon photonics platforms today, that are needed to make that transition scale.

Tower Semiconductor is there today and it’s expanding capacity even more…based on prepaid commitments.

NVIDIA made it clear this weekend, that it is pulling the optical roadmap forward. Optical interconnects and co-packaged optics that many expected closer to 2030 are now targeting 2028. A two year acceleration.

Tower’s own silicon photonics capacity roadmap previously named to be fully ramped by 2028…..

On Tower’s last earnings call, management said its 1.6T is the fastest-growing silicon photonics node in the industry and that Tower is “by far the majority supplier” of 1.6T silicon PICs.

*Then NVIDIA confirmed a partnership with Tower shortly after.

Tower announced 1.6T data-center optical modules designed for NVIDIA networking protocols. *NVIDIA’s Gilad Shainer said NVIDIA is collaborating with Tower to advance next-generation silicon photonics for more efficient AI infrastructure.

On the earnings call, Tower’s CEO was asked whether the company’s 5x silicon photonics capacity expansion includes incremental demand from NVIDIA and partners.

His answer was yes.

He also explicitly said that: Tower increased its SiPho/SiGe CapEx plan to $920 million. The goal is more than 5x the Q4 2025 SiPho wafer shipment capacity by Q4 2026. Over 70% of total silicon photonics capacity is already reserved or in the process of being reserved through 2028, backed by customer prepayments. A prepayment arrangement customers requested, not one Tower proposed… think about that…

Towers ramp lines up perfectly with NVIDIA’s accelerated optical roadmap.

Meanwhile…..GlobalFoundries is trying to build its way into silicon photonics through acquisition and platform expansion. That validates the market, but it also shows how hard this stack is to assemble and how far away GFS is from being able to produce at scale.. it’s far behind and it’s still using external lasers and no where near heterogeneous on chip for 1.6t…

Intel has historical silicon photonics technology, but that is not the same thing as being publicly tied to NVIDIA’s current 1.6T AI optical ramp. Intels tech is hybrid and at this point legacy tech…

Tower’s PH18/PH18DA platform is not ordinary silicon photonics. It is bleeding-edge SiPho built for the next AI bandwidth node: 1.6T today, 3.2T next, heterogeneous III-V-on-silicon integration, InP-on-silicon, laser-integrated PICs, 400G-per-lane, LPO, and CPO.

Tower has shipped at scale high-yielding, high-quality SiPho wafers.

It is already the majority supplier of 1.6T silicon PICs.

It has deep ecosystem validation from Coherent, OpenLight/NewPhotonics, Anello, Salience, AVA, LightIC, and others across AI optics, optical switching, navigation, LiDAR, modulators, and next-generation PIC platforms. It’s the choice of quantum computing XNDU and multiple DOD awarded partners for the most advance tech...

-NVIDIA is accelerating optics.

-Tower already has scale and a public partnership with NVIDIA on 1.6T

-Tower already has announced its clear 1.6T leadership on its last earning call.

It no longer takes a deep understanding of Sipho to see the picture.

Wednesday I expect TSEM to beat and substantially raise guidance. Tower is one of the current bottleneck solutions that ready now…Wednesday I expect they will let the proverbial genie out of the bottle. -I am long TSEM

What price do you think SNDK can realistically reach at each major milestone or timeline (6 months, 1 year, 2 years)?