r/hurricane

▲ 444 r/hurricane+1 crossposts

The latest satellite imaging (12:10 PM CDT Oct-7) shows Tropical Storm Isaias has become much more organized and symmetrical with deep convection around its core.

u/BostonSucksatHockey — 8 days ago

[Extended GFS/AI-GFS/ECMWF/AI-ECMWF/GEM/ICON - 2-7 days] Last night's 00z Oct-5 run of synoptic models is trending toward agreement that SOMETHING will develop in the Gulf, but significant disagreement about everything else. How strong will it get? Where will it go?

u/BostonSucksatHockey — 10 days ago

Choi-Wan (26W) becoming a very powerful super typhoon in the Western Pacific. At 12:00 UTC, it hit sustained winds of 155 mph and a pressure of 914 hPa. Now, as of the latest advisory at 18:00 UTC, it is at 155 mph and 912 hPa. It is ABSOLUTELY enormous.

EDIT: In the 18z advisory, jtwc announced it has winds of 120 mph and a pressure of 937 mb
Source: tropicaltidbits

u/Apprehensive_Cut2880 — 10 days ago

Nolo Advisory 59 (09z October 5, 2026): Typhoon Nolo has intensified a bit with max winds up to 105 kts (120 mph), but it is forecast to weaken before potentially threatening Japan as a Tropical Storm this weekend.

JTWC has taken over from NHC for issuing advisories.

u/BostonSucksatHockey — 10 days ago

The National Hurricane Center has 60/90% confidence that Invest 92E will develop into a tropical cyclone within the next 2/7 days.... A tropical depression or tropical storm could impact southern Mexico later this week. (The next name on the EPAC list is "Simon").

 A broad area of low pressure located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing
 disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear
 favorable for gradual development, and a tropical depression is expected to
 form during the next few days while the system moves slowly west-northwestward
 to northwestward. Interests along the coast of southwestern Mexico should
 monitor the progress of this system.
  * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
  * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
u/BostonSucksatHockey — 10 days ago