Why secure a 2% yield on western miners when $1378.HK pays 5%+ with massive growth?
Serious question for the income investors here: Why is the market giving so much premium to stocks like Alcoa ($AA) or Rio Tinto ($RIO) when their yields are relatively low or volatile, while Hongqiao ($1378.HK) is sitting right here offering a ~5% forward yield?
Their total full-year 2025 net income held strong at RMB 22.64B, and the recent Q1 earnings show their Yunnan hydro-power cost advantage is completely crushing it. Getting paid a juicy dividend while holding a company with a structural cost moat feels like a no-brainer to me. With the May 22 ex-div deadline basically here, it’s hard not to allocate some cash. What’s the bear case on their dividend sustainability that I might be blind to?