With New Draft/ Tanking Rules, handing out bad contracts is more detrimental than ever. How will this impact teams over the next 1-3 years?
The NBA's drastic shift to punish tanking has left a few unintended (or intended, who knows) consequences for teams. There is such a striking incentive to compete for the playoffs now that, in all likelihood, fewer teams will truly be "sellers" at each trade deadline -- and likely will do less to sell away their good players in July. Fewer long-term rebuilds are likely to start in the way the Process and the OKC/ HOU teardowns did 5-6 years ago
Combine that with the punitive cap rules of being an apron team, and I think there's a huge roster crunch coming that nobody talks about as much as they should: what do you do with bad players/ contracts when there are fewer teams willing to absorb them?
It used to be that rebuilding teams would take on a bad contract in exchange for draft capital -- something that gives them more bites at the apple to rebuild & tangible assets for when they want to compete.
Relatively quickly, those teams have disappeared this summer. Charlotte has quasi done this, but it seems more about moving on from LaMelo. BKN used their space quickly on Randle, MEM has tried to reload to be good, and teams like UTA, WSH, and MIL are pivoting away from long-term rebuilds and starting to aim towards immediate impact.
It does feel like so much of keeping a team's competitive window open the longest will now be about avoiding any bad contracts as opposed to just getting good value relative to dollar spent.
Does anyone else see the issues that some teams will get caught in over the next few years? Which teams/ players will fall victim to this? Am I missing any other unintended consequences?
OR do you think I'm off? Will the value of draft picks continue to win out & teams will find ways to create space in the short-term?