How I'd Fix College Sports (D1)

We need to turn D1 sports into a tiered and regional system, give caps on athlete spending per sport (with heavy punishments on the institution for circumventing the cap), and provide opportunities for promotion/ relegation if universities choose not to spend as much.

That's the overall summary, but it's clearly a much more simplified version of how this would go.

1. The Tiered System - Each sport has three tiers for conferences (think of it as high-major, mid-major, and low-major) that become delineated because they determine the cap. The formalization of this system is new, not the notion of how we view these conferences -- but it forces all schools to be in one unified tier based on all their sports (with football membership being the exception)

2. The Cap - Based on the tier a school is in, we set their cap for spending in that sport. Basketball and football wil obviously have the highest caps (and I'm not going to pretend to have the answers to know exactly what the numbers should be for every sport). The key to the cap is that there are also spending floors required to put the roster together, and those are set at 75% of the next tier down's minimum.

So think of it like this:

^(High-Major: $12M cap, $3.75M minimum spend)
^(Mid-Major: $5M cap, $1.125M minimum spend)
^(Low-Major: $1.5M cap, no minimum spend)

The system this creates allows for universities to choose their own spending habits, and their conferences are built on the backs of aligning schools based on their spending habits.

  1. Regions - The Division III model of regions (and in basketball utilizing regional rankings) stands out as a potentially interesting idea that forces conference choice to be more about geography within tiers as opposed to pursuit of conference sweeteners or deals.

We end up with six regions: Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, South, Midwest, Southwest, and West

Regions help specify which conferences a team can join if they are looking to move up or down a tier. Each region has some balance (at least at the outset, which is all the NCAA can control) between tiers, and we end up with a system where the NCAA necessitates a minimum of non-conference games within your region. All of this helps cut down on travel costs, restore the fan experience, and could potentially streamline the process for "buy games".

  1. Conference Autonomy - Schools end up signing contracts with a conference, of which they are therefore a member. When contracts expire, they can move up or down into different tiers, or look to negotiate with other conferences within the same tier.

The major piece to this, though, is that conferences get a lot of say for membership rules. They can raise the spending minimums, punish members for infractions beyond NCAA, and determine how rev share of conference contracts is divided among members. Rev share -- division of conference-based tv contracts -- will be what makes these conferences attractive to members.

  1. NCAA-enforced punitive rules for exceeding cap - Very punitive measures. Suggestion would be a 10-year ban on postseason competition + lowering of spending on that sport to 75% of the cap.

Penalty for failing to hit minimum spending threshold is more delicate, but likely just a fine from the conference to pay that money back into rev sharing.

How it looks (for basketball)

Eight "High-Major" or Tier 1 Conferences:

  1. Big East (10 teams): UConn, BC, Syracuse, Providence, St. John's, Rutgers, Seton Hall, Villanova, Temple, Georgetown
  2. ACC (10): Duke, UNC, NC State, Wake, Maryland, West Virginia, Pitt, Virginia, Va Tech, Clemson
  3. SEC (10): Georgia, GA Tech, South Carolina, Louisville, Kentucky, Florida, Florida State, Miami, USF, UCF
  4. Big South (10): Alabama, Auburn, Ole Miss, Miss State, Tennessee, Vandy, Memphis, Arkansas, LSU, Tulane
  5. Big Ten (12): Penn State, Michigan, Michigan St, Ohio St, Cincinnati, Xavier. Notre Dame, Indiana, Butler, Purdue, Illinois, Northwestern
  6. American South (10): Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, TCU, Houston, Baylor, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, SMU, North Texas
  7. Big North (12): Wisconsin, Marquette, Minnesota, Iowa, Iowa State, Missouri. Kansas, Kansas State, Nebraska, Creighton, Colorado, Colorado State.
  8. Pac-12 (12): BYU, Utah, Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State. Stanford, Cal, USC, UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State

Six "Mid-Major" or Tier 2 Conferences:

Note: many of these conferences are built either based on football membership or by clustering non-football schools. Having a FBS football program mandates that a school stay in Tier 2 of other sports. A few programs (UMass, Army, Navy) will compete in Big East football to make that an eight-team football league, and Air Force + Hawaii would compete in Mountain West football

  1. Atlantic-10 (12 teams): UMass, Northeastern, Rhode Island, Fordham, LaSalle, St. Joseph's. St Bonnies, Duquesne, George Washington, VCU, Richmond, George Mason.
  2. Conference-USA (12): Delaware, James Madison, Liberty, Old Dominion, East Carolina, Coastal Carolina. App State, Charlotte, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, FAU, FIU.
  3. MAC (12): Buffalo, Ohio, Akron, Kent State, Bowling Green, Miami. Toledo, EMU, CMU, WMU, Ball State, Northern Illinois.
  4. Missouri Valley (12): Dayton, Belmont, Murray State, Loyola Chicago, DePaul, Bradley. Saint Louis, Illinois State, Northern Iowa, Wichita State, Drake, Oral Roberts.
  5. American (10): Western Kentucky, UAB, LA Tech, Southern Miss, UTEP, Rice, UTSA, Tulsa, Texas State, Sam Houston State
  6. Mountain West (12): Gonzaga, Boise State, Nevada, UNLV, Utah State, Wyoming. San Diego St, San Jose St, Fresno St, Sacramento State, New Mexico, New Mexico State.

A bunch of Tier 3 conferences house the rest of the teams. Not going to do a full breakdown here, and I would expect that many institutions would use this as an opportunity to reshape their athletic department & move to D2 or D3 (as has been common lately)

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 6 days ago

Preseason Prospect Picks #3: Caleb Holt or Brandon McCoy?

Two 3andD combos who don’t score enough to run the point but are awesome defenders with unique offensive traits. Who you have ranked higher and why?

Also, this is more a long term question since McCoy likely won’t be in the draft this year after his ACL

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 15 days ago

Preseason Prospect Picks #2: Quentin Coleman or Austin Goosby?

Seeing both become the trendy names for lottery picks despite not being consensus top-20 picks. Both are shooters and kinda shooting guards with some other interesting stuff, from what I can tell.

Who do you think will do better this year and be a higher pick?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 16 days ago

Preseason Prospect Picks: #1 - Stefan Joksimovic or Colben Landrew?

Curious where people on this sub who have studied both players might land and who they think is likely to be drafted higher in the 2027 NBA Draft.

Landrew seems like a cult favorite online from analytics folks and film fiends alike. Joksimovic checks a ton of boxes and exploded this summer, but faces a minutes blockade in Europe.

Who you taking and why?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 17 days ago

Is the 2027 draft going to have 0 depth to it due to the 5-for-5 rule?

If my logic is correct here, the seniors will all be able to go back to college for another year.

But also many of the 5th year guys who were good enough to be on NBA radars already declared, or went through the draft process. That means they aren't eligible for the 2027 draft (as far as I know, you can't go through the draft 2x)

Does that mean the late 2nd round and UDFA pool is about to be WORSE this year?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 1 month ago

People Say "3-and-D is dying". It's not. It's just getting taller

The guys who are suffering the most are the ones who are 6'4-6'7" (smaller wing or guard sized) because they don't have the defensive impact to justify not playing a bigger guy. Length is valuable!

So why is Ochai Agbaji failing and Josh Minott succeeding? Because Minott is huge & Agbaji is small.

Why is the stretch-4 dead? It's not!

It's just a stretch-5 now. And it has the same issues for playstyle attached (o for d tradeoff), where stretch-4s used to be a defensive tradeoff in a way that determined your entire defensive style

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 1 month ago

Who is Most Likely to be an NBA contributor in 4 years: Cody Williams, Cam Whitmore, or Rob Dillingham?

All young with disappointing starts to their careers. Looks like all three could be done within the next four years. So who is most likely of this group to make it and turn their career around?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago
▲ 19 r/ROH

How long until Lee Moriarty gets moved up to AEW?

Absolutely LOVE Lee Moriarty, and I understand why his style fits so well with the Pure division. But man... this guy needs an opportunity to shine on Dynamite or Collision every week. I'm such a huge fan.

What are the best ways to incorporate him more in AEW? Will a bigger move in ROH be needed as the bridge (ie challenging Bandido)?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago
▲ 22 r/ESPN

Removing the Bottom Ticker is The Opposite of Progress

Mainly on this sub, I've been reading that ESPN's newer leadership is considering a move toward MORE journalistic integrity. Obviously, the layoffs and the new CrapAfee contract point to the contrary. Still, I held hope.

But I can only see the removing of the bottom ticker during football broadcasts as another move away from informing viewers about news in sports. Three reasons why I think this is dangerous/ motivated by nefarious intent:

1. Less access to breaking news is what gambling partners want

2. It will inevitably be replaced by ads, where advertisers will be on the screen at all times

3. There aren't any news shows on the network to provide legitimate score recaps

I'm really bummed by this, man. Everything is behind a paywall, there's no score updates to track what goes on around the sport, and the only voices we ever hear from are uneducated blowhards. This sucks.

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago

Which Incombing Freshmen are you all highest or lowest on?

Looking to figure out who I should be diving into first in this class. Any suggestions?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago

Who are the best female comedians out there that talk about parenting?

I often find that comedy is great at being on the nose & breaching good relationship topics in a real way. Are there any good comedians who talk about parenting from a female perspective that are really funny (but also insightful in their mockery)

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago

Anyone have thoughts on Daniel Gafford?

From what I can tell, the Mavs have signaled they will listen to offers for Gafford (for a 1st round pick). I haven't watched much since his 2024 run to the Finals, where I thought he was genuinely awesome as a defender/ rim protector & could be super efficient at the rim next to a PNR manipulator like Luka.

Has his value gone down since then? I keep seeing that the Mavs would listen to offers for him if they got a 1st rounder in return. That... seems like good value to me? Like I'd do that if I were a lot of other teams. Has he fallen off? Isn't he worth keeping with the uncertainty around Lively's health?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago

With New Draft/ Tanking Rules, handing out bad contracts is more detrimental than ever. How will this impact teams over the next 1-3 years?

The NBA's drastic shift to punish tanking has left a few unintended (or intended, who knows) consequences for teams. There is such a striking incentive to compete for the playoffs now that, in all likelihood, fewer teams will truly be "sellers" at each trade deadline -- and likely will do less to sell away their good players in July. Fewer long-term rebuilds are likely to start in the way the Process and the OKC/ HOU teardowns did 5-6 years ago

Combine that with the punitive cap rules of being an apron team, and I think there's a huge roster crunch coming that nobody talks about as much as they should: what do you do with bad players/ contracts when there are fewer teams willing to absorb them?

It used to be that rebuilding teams would take on a bad contract in exchange for draft capital -- something that gives them more bites at the apple to rebuild & tangible assets for when they want to compete.

Relatively quickly, those teams have disappeared this summer. Charlotte has quasi done this, but it seems more about moving on from LaMelo. BKN used their space quickly on Randle, MEM has tried to reload to be good, and teams like UTA, WSH, and MIL are pivoting away from long-term rebuilds and starting to aim towards immediate impact.

It does feel like so much of keeping a team's competitive window open the longest will now be about avoiding any bad contracts as opposed to just getting good value relative to dollar spent.

Does anyone else see the issues that some teams will get caught in over the next few years? Which teams/ players will fall victim to this? Am I missing any other unintended consequences?

OR do you think I'm off? Will the value of draft picks continue to win out & teams will find ways to create space in the short-term?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 2 months ago

Who Are/ Were the Best Online Scouts?

Really want to learn how to get into scouting and breaking down film in the way that NBA scouts do. Whenever I've tried to learn more publicly about how to improve my process, I've just kind of seen a bunch of people who talk about spreadsheets/ Bart queries/ data analysis. I would assume that people in the NBA have legit analytics folks to do that and would want their scouts to do more film watching

Are there any sources online that are good for teaching someone what to watch for (or what a good process looks like) for scouting? Is there a good scouting school? Who are the best people in the public space to learn from currently for this? Are there any who made it to the NBA who might have information still online that I can learn from?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 3 months ago

Analytics for Fantasy Football

Does anyone use any form of complex statistical breakdown beyond what is typically available on sleeper/ other sites to do analysis of players? I'm a big NBA fan and they have some websites that provide a ton of advanced analytics for NBA players, which I've really enjoyed learning a lot about and using to help evaluate players.

I'm wondering if there is anything that exists like that in football that is specifically catered to fantasy football. Does anyone create their own or have any websites they really trust for this stuff?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 3 months ago

Remote Work City Dev: A Major Opportunity?

I'm currently visiting Las Vegas for work. It feels so artificial and manmade/ brand new, a city built in the middle of nowhere around tourism, "luxury", and consumerism. In some sense, it's an urban development marvel for how quickly it's boomed.

The new era of remote work seems to me like an opportunity ripe for building a new place with this in mind. Build up an entire city designed around community, walkability, outdoors things to do (lakes/ rivers/ hiking, communal spaces, coffee shops and dog parks) that accomplishes many things -- mainly being a new build and hub for young people with fully remote jobs to move. We've seen a ton of cities try to incentivize people who work fully remote to move to them... perhaps this can be done on a major scale.

To me, this is a major investor's dream. Get in early and build everything/ own the land. Prioritize affordable housing and walking everywhere. Save on car costs, start public transit from the inside out, and then build as it grows.

This also goes hand-in-hand with an eventual tourism industry, IMO. A new area like that attracts people to move/ invest there if there are lots of things to do that go hand-in-hand. Similar to how Denver has seen a major growth point around their outdoorsy vibe, another city could market and build all of these things within driving distance/ in the area.

This screams Michigan to me. Grand Rapids/ Holland/ Grand Haven. Build up Grand Rapids as the hub, make Holland and Grand Haven more the vacation destinations, and see the area boom. Maybe I'm too much of an urban dev novice for something like this, but I really think a city that is designed around remote work (or the service industry jobs that boom from mass migration), quality of life/ walkability, and eventual tourism could work

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 3 months ago

Help Me Build A Dyansty Fantasy Football Host From Scratch

Hi everyone. I'm using AI and Claude Code to build my own dynasty fantasy football platform. As I do this, I want to hear from the community: if you were customizing your own website and platform, what features would you add?

What are some things that you wish a fantasy football website had that aren't available on most of the major sites? It can be stats, something functional, whatever. I always worry that these sites are built around functionality for one season, and then add some dynasty features on top of that. My goal is to create a league system that is more dynamic and is built around the long-term, and I'm using things like My2k Association mode, Madden Franchise mode, etc. as inspiration

The goal is to use this season as a test run, and then launch this as a service for people to use next season -- so hopefully there is some return on investment for the sub if you help!

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 4 months ago

A Few Tough Calls I'm Struggling With

I like to compare players head-to-head before making a final "board" (nobody cares since it's just mine, but whatever). Most of what I do is put players side by side, think through who I think will have a better career, and then rank the one I like most higher. Sounds simple, but it helps get confidence in my order.

A few players I'm struggling with & would love to hear from other people in talking through who or why they have higher:

Hannes Steinbach vs. Caleb Wilson

FWIW, this is in my 6 and 7 spots on my board... I'm not as high on Caleb as everyone else, think he has legit issues with his handle & shot that he has to fix. I think the ceiling is MUCH higher than Steinbach, but I view him as a rock solid starting 5 in the league (think he could be the best rebounder in the NBA, and he's not a 4, he's got the size to be a true 5) and being probably more solid than Caleb. Caleb's highs are much higher, the lows feel much much lower.

Does anyone else have them this close? How do you decide?

Morez Johnson vs. Allen Graves

I'm not a major stats guy, but Graves might be the smartest guy I've ever seen on defense. Everything is anticipatory with him, and he shoots. I'm one who trusts in the sheets though, so when I like both eye test and numbers, I got him up to 10. I have Morez at 9 right now (unlike Steinbach, a legit chance to play the 4 and be like OG Anunoby). Think most of Morez career paths are to being a helpful 3rd big, but has a small chance of being a really good 4. But yeah... Graves feels so rock solid with that analytical profile, just kinda makes NBA players very solidly.

Bennett Stirtz vs. Ebuka Okorie

Right now, Okorie and Stirtz will be some form of 14/15 on my board (Flemings Wagler Burries only guards ahead). The youth vs. production debate is killing me here. Stirtz feels so proven, is a much better shooter, and is a worse athlete. Okorie is young and kinda not efficient or elite at any level, is a worse passer, and plays smaller. I get the BPM stuff and how impressive some of the highlights are, but feels like Stirtz can blend in better bc of his shot and BBIQ.

Anyone wrestling with where to put these two in relation to each other? How do you square this one?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 4 months ago

Where are some good fits for Koa?

Very unique player with a unique play style as a non-shooting 4. Where are the best offenses or situations for him to be drafted to? Where would he likely succeed most?

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 5 months ago

Lots of smaller guards in this draft who could be a severe defensive issue in the playoffs (Philon, Mikel, Acuff, Anderson, Okorie, maybe even Wagler). Watching the postseason, these guys get played off the floor almost every game. Reed Sheppard been a major issue with this, and it's definitely changing how highly I rank some of these guys.

Trying to figure out if drafting one of these guys in the lotto (and if you believe this sub, every one of these guys is going to go in the lottery) is just a flawed premise.

I see these guys like Ty Jerome, Sam Merrill, Collin Gillespie, etc. sign some MLEs or be projected in that range. And I'm curious: is it better for a team to use one of these Mid-Level contracts on a guy who is at least proven on offense & a likely defensive liability (but don't really have the ceiling outcomes anymore that the prospects have).

I get that teams typically draft for upside, but is the downside just too great? Feels like you can get one of these guys on the open market with proof of concept and the same defensive issues, and that drafting a wing or big in general is just a better use of draft equity

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u/Few-Lack6346 — 6 months ago