C: Poeltl 20, CMB 20, TJD 8
PF: Barnes 32, CMB 8, Anderson/Graves 8
SF: Leonard 28, DeRozan 20
SG: Barrett 30, Walter 18
PF: Quickley 30, Shead 18
Thoughts? How would you guys divide the minutes?
Antonelli made his mediums last very long, to around lap 35. This leaves 17 laps of softs. I'm not sure how the deg would have been but according to https://racemate.io/tyre-strategy-simulator/, it would have been a very good strategy (although I'm not sure how accurate this is).
How would you rank the following midfield drivers solely by skill, as best as can be extrapolated from different machinery:
Gasly, Bearman, Alonso, Lawson, Bortoleto, Ocon, Lindblad
I have 5 prospects. Your goal is to guess a range that they get drafted in. You have to get them all right, otherwise you score no points. The total number of points you score is the sum of the ranges.
The five prospects I have are Ebuka Okorie, Cameron Carr, Mikel Brown Jr., Jayden Quaintance, and Aday Mara.
For instance, let's say I guess the following ranges (for the sake of the example, let's say they are all correct):
Okorie - 7-26
Carr - 9-22
Brown - 5-7
Quaintance - 20-29
Mara - 8-12
I would score 19 + 13 + 2 + 9 + 4 = 45.
That's a pretty safe attempt, so your goal would be to beat that score.
I have a game for you guys.
The aim is to predict who the Raptors draft. You can pick as many potential prospects as you want, but you only score points if one of them is correct. The goal is to score the least points as possible (excluding 0).
For instance, my guess is one of Anderson, Stirtz, Okorie, and Cenac. If it's Anderson, for example, I get 4 points, but if someone's guess was Anderson and Graves, then they would get 2 points and win.
We will come back to this once our player has been picked. Good luck!
Sorry if this is badly worded. What I mean by this question is which players are firmly above the tier that we are drafting at? Such that if they fell to 19, there is a 99% chance we take them?
Obviously the top 4 (AJ, Peterson, Boozer, Wilson) are in this group. Beyond that, I have seen Wagler, Burries, Mikel Brown, Flemings, Acuff, and Mara consistently mocked to go above us.
Who else do you guys think should be added to that tier? Yaxel? Labaron Philon? Ament?
I saw this trade browsing Fanspo:
I thought it was interesting enough to consider, especially since people say Poeltl's value is around negative 2 firsts. We get back a very good player in Nesmith, plus depth players in Looney and McGowens (idk how good Looney will be though).
Our roster could look something like:
C: CMB, TJD, Looney
PF: Barnes, Battle (Mamu? or an FA)
SF: Ingram, Nesmith, McGowens
SG: Barrett, Walter, Lawson
PG: Quickley, Shead
Depending on FA signings and whatnot this could be a better roster than last year. It might also be better if we swapped the 2026 and 2028 1sts for 2027 and 2029 ones, so we can draft a player to fit an immediate need (probably C, but whoever's available).
What do you guys think?
I'm not just talking about something like pineapple on pizza.
What I mean is combinations like pudding and siracha, oreos and Buldak ramen, etc.
The combination of different kinds of tastes is amazing. You get the sweetness and the savouryness of good foods at once, and it overwhelms you in a good way.
I've been having Jello with mustard since I tried it at a summer camp once, for an activity that made people try weird combinations like that. Some kids threw up that day, but I absolutely loved them. My university friends are insistent that Jello and mustard is reprehensible, though.
So yeah, I guess my question is is this truly an unpopular opinion
Toronto trades: Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley, Jakob Poeltl, Gradey Dick, 3 1sts, 1 2nd
Toronto receives: Myles Turner, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson
New lineup: Murray/Barrett/Johnson/Barnes/Turner with Shead, Walter, CMB, pick 19 off the bench
Milwaukee trades: Myles Turner, Bobby Portis
Milwaukee receives: Naz Reid, Jakob Poeltl, Gradey Dick, 1 TOR 1st
Aim for a Giannis trade, can flip Naz for even more assets
Denver trades: Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson
Denver receives: Julius Randle, Immanuel Quickley, 2 TOR 1sts
Gets off Johnson's contract, can flip Randle for more picks or keep him alongside Jokic and Gordon
Minnesota trades: Julius Randle, Naz Reid
Minnesota receives: Brandon Ingram, Bobby Portis, 1 TOR 2nd
Swaps the problematic Randle for better shooting and scoring in Ingram, costing a small bench downgrade. Can flip Portis and a pick for a better player.
Donte/Edwards/Ingram/McDaniels/Gobert is a very good starting lineup.
100T map pool:
NRG map pool:
1: NRG bans Split, 100T bans Lotus
These have been these teams' ban the last couple games. With NRG being decent on Lotus and 100T being decent on Split, seems like a no-brainer.
2: NRG picks Haven, 100T picks Breeze
Now, with NRG almost 13-0'ing 100T on Breeze a couple days ago, you might think that this is a weird pick. But since then, 100T have changed up their comp and have gone 3-0 since then on the map. Breeze is also one of NRG's worse maps imo; I think 100T would not want to play into Fracture or Pearl. The only other option is for them to try Ascent and surprise NRG, but I'm leaning to them picking into Breeze.
For NRG, Haven is possibly their best map so far, they're 2-0 in playoffs on it (against good teams in FUR and KRU) after somehow avoiding it the entire regular season. 100T's Haven is decent, but you're not going to get much better.
3: NRG bans Ascent, 100T bans Pearl
NRG would love to have one of Pearl and Fracture as the last maps. 100T would probably prefer Fracture, as even though NRG have lost twice, they're historically good on Pearl (7-3 this year). Fracture is a smaller sample size for both teams and 100T have just come off of a good victory over MIBR.
4: Decider: Fracture
Thoughts?
I saw him start the play guarding Allen a lot of times. What's more, Allen rarely chose to directly attack him. My question is, is this something like RJ is actually strong enough to match up against Cs on defense? Or is this a specific anti-strat to counter Cleveland's pick-and-rolls? I'm sorry if this is a stupid question, I was just curious about this point.
On a pretty high sample size (44 attempts, just over 6 a game), Barrett was our best shooter from deep (38.6%), a step above his regular season average (around 34%). Is this more of his regular, or just a high that might not necessarily be sustained?
anyone know when those come out? my CS one is in but i want to double major with stats and that hasn’t come yet
Firstly, this is a matrix showing the approximate probabilities of each team getting each seed:
Note that these depend on the probability of each match being won derived from VLR betting odds. They are not the most accurate but I thought it a bit more fair than 50/50s.
The odds are:
NRG 61.9% - 38.1% SEN
FUR 61.7% - 38.3% 100T (so, the probability of FUR winning one map is 57.9% after some maths. This will prove useful since this match is the only one that the margin of victory matters)
KRU 72.0% - 28.0% EG
So now, I will detail the ways each team can acquire each seed.
KRU
Very simple. They get 1st with a win and 2nd with a loss.
FUR
This one is actually pretty complicated.
Firstly, they can get 1st if KRU loses to EG and they win.
They can also drop to 4th ONLY IF KRU win, SEN win, and they lose 0-2 to 100T.
in ALL OTHER SCENARIOS they are 2/3 seed. Specifically, they are 2nd seed if KRU wins and they win, or if KRU wins, NRG wins, and they only lose 1-2. Otherwise, they are 3rd.
Thus, they might be inclined to cheer for NRG as they do slightly better then, and obviously cheer for EG.
100T
This might be the hardest one.
Firstly, they are locked 5th if they lose (since SEN and NRG own tiebreakers against them).
They can secure 1st seed with a win and a KRU loss.
The last scenario is a win and a KRU win. Here, the result depends on the NRG-SEN game and the margin of victory against FUR:
- If NRG wins and 100T 2-0, then they get 2nd seed.
- If SEN wins and 100T only 2-1, then they get 4th seed.
- Otherwise, they get 3rd seed.
SEN
Relatively simple.
They are 5th only if they lose AND 100T wins.
They get 2nd seed only if KRU, 100T, and SEN all win.
They get 3rd seed if FUR and SEN wins.
They get 4th otherwise.
NRG
Relatively simple.
They are 5th only if they lose AND 100T wins.
They are 3rd with a win and a 100T loss.
They are 4th otherwise.
EG
They can only be 6th.
I should have the tiebreakers and stuff correct, let me know if there is any mistakes. This is the reference table im going off of:
Made this manually on a notebook and copied it over. should be correct
