u/IKnowMeNotYou

Wir haben es alle gelesen... Softwareentwicklung im Arm... Siehe hier die Beweise:

https://preview.redd.it/hilpnrq1eakh1.png?width=890&format=png&auto=webp&s=380e02e96cf845fe9138a0fe3d05530a68676242

Was erstmal auffällt, es gibt ein Hoch und das Diagramm schneidet unten bei 40 ab.

Hat mich dann nur zwei Minuten gekostet, mir das Lügen mit Statistik gleich nochmal an der Quelle anzuschauen.

Quelle: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXDETPSOFTDEVE

Stellt sich erstmal die Frage, warum FRED in St.Louis diesen Auschnitt popularisiert... Gut könnte jemand von außen gemacht haben, aber dieser Ausschnitt ist, was Google produziert bei der Anfrage: "fred software development job postings germany".

Wenn man jetzt die Zeitdauer auf Max setzt, merkt man, dass wenige Daten vorhanden sind aber schon sieht das ganze nicht mehr so schlimm aus:

Maximal verfügbarer Datenbestand bei der FRED zeigt 7 oder 8 Monate mehr als das original Bild, was aber schon einen grossen Unterschied macht.

Hier sieht man das Low von 2020 bei 80 und wir sind aktuell bei ca 50.

Okay, sieht schon mal nicht so schlimm aus.

(Anmerkung: Es gibt leider bei FRED nicht mehr Daten. Was ich im Bild zeige ist das Maximum an verfügbarem.)

Da wir aber wissen, dass Deutschland Industriekäse ist, schauen wir mal was die FRED da für Daten von der Schweiz zu bieten hat:

Google Antwort bei Suche nach Fred Daten für die Schweiz

Wie man sieht, FRED hat nur Deutschland. Ich hab auch zur Sicherheit nochmal 'Switzerland' statt 'Schweiz' verwendet, aber kommt auch nur Germany bei Fred.

Jedenfalls sieht man, dass Indeed 442 offene Jobs für Software Developer in der Schweiz hat. Andere kommen für Software Engineering auch auf ca. 200 offene Jobs.

Also schauen wir doch mal was die suche bei Germany und Indeed bringt:

Offene Softwareentwickler Stellen bei Indeed in Deutschland

Also laut dieser Antwort, scheint Indeed ca. 2400 offene Softwareentwicklerstellen (3te Antwort) zu haben.

Selbst in Berlin werden 1596 offene Stellen für Softwareentwickler vermutet (4te Antwort).

Ich gehe jetzt mal davon aus, dass die Zahlen der Fred die täglich neuen Stellen auf der Indeed Platform bedeuten und wer Indeed (und ähnliches) kennt, da werden gerne offene Stellen immer wieder im Wochen- und Monatsrythmus eingereicht.

Aber auch die 442 offenen Stellen (laut Indeed) bei der Schweiz sind im Vergleich zu 2408 in Deutschland für ein Land mit weniger als 1/10 der Bevölkerung doch schon eine interessante Grösse.

(Update: KubeGuyDe hat per Kommentar noch die offenen IT-Stellen per Jahr bei Statista beigesteuert und wie man im unteren Bild sieht, waren 2019 und 2022+2023 echte Ausreisser und letztes Jahr sah es dann wieder normal aus.

Es zeigt wohl auch, dass die Berufsbezeichnung als Softwareentwickler vielleicht nicht mehr so alles umfassend ist, aber in der IT sieht es als ganzes dann doch nicht so schlimm aus. Wie gesagt, wir haben damals als Softwareentwickler noch Daten und Datenbanken massiert, DevOps gemacht und nebenbei waren Unternehmensarchitekten und Cloudspezialisten oft auch noch hochgelobte Softwareentwickler. Heute werden hierfür andere (treffendere) Berufsbezeichnungen verwendet.)

Offene Stellen für IT-Fachkräfte laut Statista (Danke an KubeGuyDe)

Zusammenfassung

• Für mich sieht die ganze FRED-Geschichte unehrlich aus und die Zahlen die dort präsentiert werden hätte man besser aufbereiten können.
• Die Präsentation schneidet die Y-Achse nach unten ab und der gewählte Ausschnitt ist unglücklich.
• Die FRED-Zahlen hätten ruhig bis 2010 oder gar bis 2000 gehen können. Indeed hätte sicherlich gerne die vollen Zahlen geliefert.
• Mich interessiert auch, ob Software Development und Software Engineering bei Indeed bzw. den Daten unterschiedlich behandelt werden...
• Jeder weiss, dass heute der Software Engineer auch gerne mal als Data-Analyst oder KI-Interessierter rumlaufen. => Selbe Ausbildung, aber unterschiedliche Aufgabenstellung bzw. -bezeichnung.

Mein Fazit

Unterm Strich kann man sagen, die Softwareentwicklerapokalypse kann man abblasen. Und wenn man in D doch nichts findet, einfach mal in der Schweiz nachfragen. Ich habe dort 10 Jahre lang als Softwareentwickler in Vertragsausleihe gearbeitet und abseits der USA ist es das beste, was ich tun konnte. Und das stimmt heute immer noch.

Übrigens werden auch Softwareentwickler in Österreich gesucht. Die haben auch weniger Irrsinn als Deutschland, wenn es um Industrieregelung und Missmanagement geht...

Und so schlimm ist jetzt Deutschland nicht... abgesehen von Volkswagen vielleicht... .

===

Falls es jemanden interessiert:

Aktuelle Engagement bei 41k Views

Daher Momentan haben sich ca. 22% der besonders Meinungsstarken befleißigt gefühlt, den Nach-Unten-Pfeil anzuklicken.

Die Meinung bekommt nicht ganz so viel Hass, wie ich es erwartet habe. Heute ist die Welt extra bunt und weniger kontraststark für mich... .

From time to time I am quite active on Reddit trying to pay it forward by helping people out when it comes to trading.

Usually I give people asking me for help a book list and start initial training by giving them homework.

I also give them a brief rundown of what I do by showing them some live trades including live commentary to make it apparent that I know my way around the block when it comes to trading.

Seeing someone anouncing an entry, demonstrating the reasoning in detail and showing every update not knowing if the trade will turn out fine or not while the trade lasts 15min to 1h usually increases the motivation of the potential future Scholar of the Wiki (TM). This level of transparency mimics the kind of transparency I enjoyed here and over at oneoption when I started out myself.

Once I notice people being really serious and have crossed a certain threshold of basic knowledge and daily commitment, I advice them to read the wiki over here and join the live trading either over at oneoption.com or within this sub.

--

Beside the people who lost big and still want to argue about what the right way of trading looks like, most people struggle to read 5 basic books to begin with.

In recent months, I also started to give the potential students optional (!) homework almost right from the start.

My go to homework is based on the SP100 (100 most valuable companies in the SP500). I want them to add the standard MAs (50D, 100D, 200D) and have them add proper price levels and trend lines per hand. Then they have to chose 10 stocks they would put on their watchlist and add a brief statement why they would choose those.

Every day they simply have to check and update those charts and make a new top 10 watchlist.

I even tell them that they should do 10 new charts every day so after 2 weeks they have annotated all 100 charts and updating and revisiting those charts is done rather quickly and before that they have to give me some charts so that I can check, critque and advice them on proper price level and trend line placement.

It is interesting how many people bail on this simple and useful homework as it is something I did myself early on did on my own without out of the desire to train myself on applying proper TA and learn how prices can move in reality.

--

How is your opinion about this homework and would you do it as a beginner or whould you rather bail as well?

I would say that with that I lose 3 out of 5 people rather quickly and only 1 out of maybe 7 or 8 survive more than 2 weeks and that are usually the people who make it to the end of the process and get funneled to this sub and beyond.

Do you have any other idea of great homeworks one can give espiring traders?

Would you rather look at intraday charts first?

---

Edit: Since people asked me to elaborate on the D1 homework, let me walk you through it:

1. Identify the SP500 components/companies. Sort them by current market cap..

2. Take the top 100 stocks. (you can also take the top 10 for each Sector EFT and 20 for the tech sector). Add these stocks to a watchlist (remember you can usually add sections to your watch list so you can easily have 100+ stocks in your watch list while also knowing what sector the stock is in).

3. For each of these stocks you now pull up the D1 and make sure the SMA's for 50, 100 and 200 days (close price) are plotted on it.

4. Now draw the price levels and trend lines for each of those charts.

5. Once all charts are annotated (which might take several days or a good weekend), every day before the open of the new trading day, you check each of the 100 charts, if you have to update any of those (usually it is about 20 you have to update if at all) and while doing so you make list of ++ or + setups.

6. Now you check your ++ and + setups and if you have more then 10 you narrow them down.

7. Write down what you expect will happen to those 10 stocks and at the end of the day check if you were right and have a look at the intraday chart (M5 (5min) for example) if there were situations that you could have traded and also make a snapshot of the D1 and M5 along with the market and the sector charts of that day and collect them.

8. From the collected M5+D1 charts try to derive some typical receipts how you can play these trade opportunites.

-> If you do this for a month or so, you will be rather quick on this task and will have come up with a lot of situational awareness of what most likely is going to happen and when to better sit on your hands and opt out.

Here is an example:

D1 - SPY this Week (10th - 14th of August 26)

SPY D1 last 10 trading days (2 weeks)

Meta D1 last 3 weeks - Note teh compression they are in and how important the SMA 50 (bottom) and SMA 200 are. I got some trades out this one especially on this hard drop 3 days ago and the bounce of the low of the compression.

I usually have them do the last 3 months (about 60 candles) so they see the impact of the SMAs more clearly like here:

MSFT D1 - Check out the SMAs (50, 100, 200)

Ich wundere mich gerade, wieviel Prozent den religiösen Familien in der nächsten Generation abhanden kommen. Da dies sicherlich länder- und religionsabhängig ist, würde mich eine Aufschlüsselung hierfür freuen, aber jede hilfreiche Information ist willkommen.

Besten Dank!

Ich kann mich dunkel an ein Buch erinnern, wo es um die Selbstverwaltungsaspekte in Vernichtungslagern ging. Ich bin mir sicher, da wurde thematisiert, wie sich gefangene Juden von der Lagerleitung instrumentalisieren liessen, bei der Verwaltung und der Kontrolle der sonstigen Gefangenen (Juden) zu helfen und meist sind diese dann ebenso ums Leben gekommen.

Ich dachte immer es wäre 'Unter Wölfen' gewesen, aber weder 'Nackt unter Wölfen' noch der fiktionale Roman 'Überleben unter Wölfen' ist der richtige Titel.

Es kann auch sein, dass es sich dort um ein Zitat oder ähnliches Handelt.

Auch kann ich nicht ausschließen, dass es sich in Wahrheit über andere Lager wie die russischen Gulags handelt, da ich z.B. auch über diese zu dieser Zeit vergleichsweise viel aus Eigeninteresse viel gelesen habe.

Hat jemand eine Ahnung, was ich dort genau für ein Werk meinen könnte?

I would like to build a list of day trading streamers on Kick/Twitch/Youtube etc. and also would like to know if you watch them regularly, if they stream live, and do you think they are worthwhile. Also if you know, please say what instruments they are trading (predominantly).

The list is primarily not for me but for my friends, family and students who want often learn by watching rather than reading books first.

If you like I can modify this post over and over again to compile a top list. I will add the user who mentioned a streamer first.

Thanks for the help!

---

The list:

• Ross Cameron (Substantial_Milk8274),
• SMB Cap (raps_BAC),
• Lance Breitstein (raps_BAC),
• FX Evolution (raps_BAC),
• Trader TV Live (raps_BAC)

Im my opinion, people who advise beginners to risk money early on is a red flag in itself. I looked at some prominent influencers and teachers and when researching whether they are fraudsters or not it appears that whenever those people let it appear to be easy to make money quick and advise to use money right away, it was a tell-tale sign for them turning out to be fraudsters (at least in the eyes of some who publicly speak out).

Anyone having the same opinion/realisation?

I sometimes meet people online who talk in a non professional mannor about trading. I mean not casually but over the top, emotional, missing sense and purpose, simply appalling.

Most know 'to the moon' and 'diamond hands' but I mean things like 'this will turn into a rocket soon' or 'I bet my dog on this one...'.

But I am sure there is more of this over the top talk, that instantly makes one question the validity of a person's trading 'license'.

What are the words, phrases or manorisms, you think one should avoid and why?

Also, if this is specific to a certain community, I would be happy if you also point out where you have heared this.

===

I kind of want to make a list, so if you come up with a good example, I will edit the post and make a list here and mention the username of the first person to point it out:

So here is the list:

• to the moon
• diamond hands
• will turn into a rocket
• I bet my dog on it. (also house, home, family, kid, wife, mother etc).

We often hear, what is good to use and to learn, but what are the things one should ignore (completely)?

For me, I never understood why people think that Fibs are important or these simple ideas of statistical indicators crossing. I even stoped using LRSI as it provided nothing of value. Everytime it indicated something, I instantly found examples where these indications were wrong.

But what would you say, one should skip or out right ignore and forget about when it comes to daytrading?

Please note: This is ment to be a collection of opinions. There is no need to argue hard about the validitiy of individual opinions.

I also will edit this post and collect the opinions in the post's content including the list of users who mention the same (or similar) opinitons. So even, if someone already has mentioned the same thing that you would also advise to ignore, please state your support in a comment so we can get an idea what is a popular opinion and what is most likely not.

Thanks!

Just had a funny small discussion about why so many people fail at becoming profitable and professional traders.

Beside pointing to poker players and their struggles a better metaphor appears to be me pointing to people who learn martial arts from (chinese) action films. They emulate what they see in cheesy (but entertaining) films and think they are ready to fight their friends and foes after training the displayed moves in front of a bigger bathroom mirror. I would guess their success rate in becoming professional and successful mixed martial artists is similar abysmal as those 95% of wannabe traders people like to yap about.

Like these (chinese) action films are choreographed for entertainment reasons and not for displaying the gritty reality of real fights, many videos people watch about trading are also carefully choreographed and doctored to maximize the entertainment and enjoyment value to capture the attention of aspiring traders.

What do you think about this metaphor?

Would this metaphor allow you to convince your parents that you will end up differently than the famous 95%? I mean you are hitting the books first and want to continue to learn from certified professionals rather than consuming the films and snippets of the entertainment industry available for free on YouTube... Just like true aspiring martial artists avoiding the movies and hit the mat under careful supervision of actual masters who have fought in the UFC and won...

Wenn euch etwas missfällt, geht einfach. Seit nicht da. Ihr braucht euch das nicht zu geben. Nachbarn zu laut oder zu assi... geht einfach. Straßen zu dreckig... gehen. Zuviel Müll... gehen. Zuviel Drama... gehen. Zuviel Zeitfresserrei weil einer nicht weiss wohin mit sich selbst... gehen.

Und wenn Deutschland nicht gut genug ist, die Schweiz liegt nahe und die USA ist auch nur einen Flug entfernt.

Ihr müsst nur für euch selbst dasein, weil vor euch selbst könnt ihr nur im Tod weglaufen und dazu ist das Leben zu interessant, wenn man es richtig macht.

Also übt mal das Nichtdasein für die anderen, die euch nicht verdient haben!

-

Und nun liebes Reddit, habt euch mal besonders lieb! 😃 Nicht wieder die Kommentare abbrennen, weil euch die Meinung nicht gefällt.

Psychology is not your problem. Journal and review your trades and fix the mistakes you see. Train your skills. Getting your emotions in check is happening automatically when you do this process. Collect and classify your mistakes and the solutions you want to implement along with a cookbook of all the situations you deem tradeable and you will be fine.

In every profession you learn to get your emotionality to be dialed down or even to exercise a great deal of control over them (think of acting).

So stop obsessing over it.

If you start to blame your emotions, think about what you are actually doing... Your mind tries to help you trading better. If it interferes the knowledge and skills related to trading are not as reliable as they need to be for it to let you do your thing.

Expose yourself to your daily trading and detect and fix mistakes early on but never scolde yourself for the emotions you run through or the 'psychological' issues you experience. You will become more professional over time and usually that does not need fixing when it comes to trading.

And if you find to play the blame game constantly, maybe instead of blaming your emotional reaction it is time to blame your strategy... 'Learn the profession not a strategy' is the name of the game.

Now go and read some books about price action and technical analysis, if you need to. That is where the rubber truely hits the road.

I just adding the key information about Space X and here is what I found out:

Company Name: SPACE EXPLORATION TECHNOLOGIES CORP (Nasdaq)

Global Industry Classification Standard:

• Sector: 50 Communication Services
• Industry Group: 5020 Media & Entertainment
• Industry: 502030 Interactive Media & Services
• Sub-Industry Code & Name: 50203020 Interactive Home Entertainment

I would have never guessed that Space X is an 'Interactive Home Entertainment' company.

I understand that most of the revenue today comes from StarLink but honestly... building rockets, going to the moon and beyond and when your granny asks you, what the rocket company you work for is all about, and you have to answer truthfully: 'We are all about interactive home entertainment'... it simply does not compute.

I mean, they are providing wireless services to their customers, they are not competing with Netflix or whatever... or did I totally missed the home entertainment part especially when it comes to interactivity?

Has anyone a real inside, why the StarLink part of Space X was declared 'Interactive Home Entertainment' or is this information wrong?

Crazy times...

Wir alle kennen die Leute, die sich zur selben Zeit aus dem Leben genommen haben, damit das UFO, was zur selben Zeit an der Erde vorbei fliegen sollte, ihre Seelen mitnehmen konnte. Auch kennen wir die Leute, die heute gerne noch an die Scheibenwelt namens Erde glauben und fröhlich im Internet darüber diskutieren. Aber seien wir ehrlich, sicherlich kann die kollektive Menschheit mit noch viel irreren und abgefahreneren Glaubensgemeinschaften aufwarten.

Was für abgefahrenen Irrsinn kennt ihr, an den heute noch aktiv geglaubt wird und nachdem Mensch ihr Leben ausrichten?

Bigfoot? Reptilienmenschen? Astrologie? Wer bietet mehr?!

Ich habe als Kind, wenn ich über die Realität nachgedacht habe, nie gedacht, dass hier alles Friede, Freude, Eierkuchen ist.

Wenn dann einer mit dem lieben Gott anfing, habe ich gerne Beispiele angebracht, wo der 'liebe' Gott völlig versagt hat bzw. mal grundsätzlich eingreifen sollte.

Später hab ich dann immer gesagt: Ach du redest von dem Gott, der Krebs in kleine Kinder macht?

Meinen die Leute tatsächlich, dass da ein Gott ist der lieb ist? Wenn ja, woher kommt das?

Just got that Ad served by Reddit.

Has anyone checked it out? I mean all source code provided... Can someone extract the strategy real quick?

Why would one post something like this for free?

What is the actual meaning of this?

And what does profitability means here?

Does anyone use a Nasdaq ORB trading strategy?

https://preview.redd.it/fe5uf6gmcw2h1.png?width=718&format=png&auto=webp&s=5a05daeb765f66acb2902b473a36ae18a1616936

I am a day trader and I just noticed that in the last two weeks, I basically shorted almost exclusively except one trade. 56 trades were short...

Now the question goes, does anyone of you guys is specialized on short only intraday trading?

I trade stocks and there are always some stinkers or sectors trending against the grain.

I think of forcing myself to take way more longs for a while but I would love to know, if there are people out there who are (almost) always short and what and why and when etc...

We all know some bad examples and stories, when it comes to prop firms.

I was in the prop-firms-are-no-good camp as well and believed, that one should trade his/her own money and if one uses prop-firm accounts, one should transition to using one's own money as soon as possible.

What I was especially not aware of, serious prop firms (including those with challenge accounts) will increase the account size and improve the profit split over time, once the trader has a proven track record of making good money responsibly.

---

I have investigated a prop firm recently which provides a 70:30 profit split up front and found a ton of fuckery when it comes to display price, fill prices, applying spread, time delay, volume etc. - at least that was my impression... but I was still able to hold a profit factor of 4 for 6 weeks (I only checked it out for 8 weeks tops), so it is/was doable to make good money using the clunky UI. I continued to used the additional time for some more reckless testing (scalping stuff, checking fills, looking into other issues) and also my goal was to wreck the account rather than getting approved.

-

Later (recently) I learned from some people, who use this prop firm, that they run on a 90:10 profit split with an account size that is not available for purchase (and is rediculous high compared to the standard offerings by having a available buying power above 1M) and do so for quite some years now.

I asked them why they stick with the prop firm and they basically answered similarly. They pointed out that trading someone else's money is not as emotional taxing as their maximum risk is just blowing the account and burning their relationship with the prop-firm and that this is virtually impossible, if one remains within the boundaries of proper and responsibile trading practices.

They further told me that basically fear that using one's own money would alter their decision making process and that they for sure would need a longer time to adjust to the new conditions in which they most likely would lose out on earning opportunities.

-

Thinking about these resons makes a lot of sense to me, especially when I recall my own training days, when I was running an PDT conform Alpaca account along with the emotional stress I experienced when winning 2k in less than 15min and weeks later losing 2.5k on a dead easy trade due to having the clorious idea to practice scaling in along with SL tightening when I was already 700 ahead and if I would have not done the SL adjustment and scaling in, I would have had my biggest trade so far for 10k+.

Both these experiences made me go for a hike in the woods for multiple hours just so that I calmed down and the later experience put me back into paper trading mode for several weeks.

I would expect that me trading a funded account instead would not have derailed me that much for sure.

---

Questions:

Does anyone have a long time relationship with one or more prop firms while trading manually?

What are the conditions (account size / buying power, profit split, etc)?

What are you trading?

What are you getting paid out as a monthly or yearly average?

Did you use the funded account during your training period as well?

--

I personally will not change but I was looking at funded accounts for my son's own training and now I wonder, if this is truely a long term prospect as the people I learned this from claim. I sadly do not know these people personally and just want to be sure that this was not a fishing operation. Basically I want to verify their claims with all of you and learn about more personal experiences.

Ich bin erst seit kurzem hier, habe aber schon an einigen Konversationen teilgenommen in Posts, die dann gelöscht wurden.

Sind das hauptsächlich Posts, wo der Fragesteller bekannt ist, Fragen zu stellen um Karma zu farmen oder wo liegen die Probleme?