
Some Encouraging Signs For Kyle Teel Amidst Tough Start In 2026
As it currently stands through just 41 ABs for Kyle Teel in 2026, it hasn’t exactly been pretty. Teel’s striking out at an alarming 39 percent clip, which is even higher than Colson Montgomery’s 31 percent clip and his chase rate at 29.1 percent is also very uncharacteristic of him if his rookie season in the bigs is anything to go by.
Teams are attacking him with fastballs primarily, he’s seeing fastballs at a 56.2 percent clip and very few sliders (only 7.7 percent), but the numbers point to him not being able to make reliable contact on breaking balls, as he’s whiffing at an astronomical 60.9 percent on those pitches.
Now that the bad stuff is out the way, here’s why there should be some optimism that this is more of a blip for a player being judged off a small sample size and not what we should be expecting moving forward.
Teel’s .219 batting average against righties is an outlier. His struggles adjusting to left hand pitching are well illustrated, as he batted just .186 as a rookie against lefties, but he hit .290 with an OPS of .835 against righties, putting him in that elite category amongst catchers last season when facing RHP.
Given his Barrel Rate (17.4), Hard Hit Rate (52.4) and Sweet Spot Rate (47.8) all rank in the higher percentile for not just catchers but MLB hitters overall, it’s clear that his outcomes are due to change overtime. He’s been hitting the ball notably hard, and he’s been robbed on quite a few hits by good defensive plays.
I would think that by season’s end Teel is producing close to what he did last year, but I do think that he needs to move down in the order when Munetaka Murakami comes back given his high strikeout rate.