u/Longjumping_Ad_5892

Hi all,

posting below my analysis at current levels:

PLTR bottomed around 105 in july and is at 173 now, almost all of that since the earnings report. Worth knowing where the chart says the next decisions get made.

180 is the level to watch. that's where the stock kept stalling last winter, and it's the first real resistance since the november high near 205. a daily close above it, holding, opens up ATH.

160 is the floor. that's the level it broke out from. as long as price stays above 160 the move looks real. below it and the earnings jump starts to look like something that got sold into.

152 is the 200 day average. PLTR spent most of 2026 underneath it and just took it back. that's the biggest structural change here, and it's what separates this from the failed bounces in april and june.

what I'd watch from here:

1. close above 180 and hold → all time highs is next

2. chopping between 160 and 180 → the gap digests, which is normal after a move this size

3. close below 160 → the breakout failed

Good luck all! :)

gold based around 4,000 through june and july, then pushed up to 4,425 over the last two weeks. the level ahead is 4,500, and it deserves more attention than a round number normally would - the 200 day sits at 4,498.

So the breakout level and the 200 DMA are the same test

Structure is a rounded bottom after a prolonged base. Price has reclaimed the shorter moving averages and is now pressing into declining resistance. what makes this different from the failed attempts in may and june is that the 4,000 area held repeatedly rather than bouncing once.

Levels:

4,498–4,500 - declining resistance and the 200 DMA in the same place.

a daily close above is the first genuine challenge to the downtrend that began after february's high.

4,300 - support. A close below and the base read is in question, with 4,000 back in play.

what I'm watching:

1. daily close above 4,500, then a retest that holds → 4,800 becomes the objective
2. rejection at 4,498–4,500 with a lower high → range continues, fade toward 4,300
3. close below 4,300 → structure resets

not chasing at 4,425. That's 125 points of risk down to 4,300 for about 75 up to resistance — the wrong side of even, and that's before the setup has even triggered.

the thesis only strengthens if 4,500 becomes support after the break.

until then this is a rebound testing a well-defined ceiling.

invalidation: daily close under 4,300.

anyone else observing gold daily? what's your thesis?

gold based around 4,000 through june and july, then pushed up to 4,425 over the last two weeks. the level ahead is 4,500, and it deserves more attention than a round number normally would - the 200 day sits at 4,498.

So the breakout level and the 200 DMA are the same test

Structure is a rounded bottom after a prolonged base. Price has reclaimed the shorter moving averages and is now pressing into declining resistance. what makes this different from the failed attempts in may and june is that the 4,000 area held repeatedly rather than bouncing once.

Levels:

4,498–4,500 - declining resistance and the 200 DMA in the same place.

a daily close above is the first genuine challenge to the downtrend that began after february's high.

4,300 - support. A close below and the base read is in question, with 4,000 back in play.

what I'm watching:

1. daily close above 4,500, then a retest that holds → 4,800 becomes the objective

2. rejection at 4,498–4,500 with a lower high → range continues, fade toward 4,300

3. close below 4,300 → structure resets

not chasing at 4,425. That's 125 points of risk down to 4,300 for about 75 up to resistance — the wrong side of even, and that's before the setup has even triggered.

the thesis only strengthens if 4,500 becomes support after the break.

until then this is a rebound testing a well-defined ceiling.

invalidation: daily close under 4,300.

anyone else observing gold daily? what's your thesis?

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