
The Fight Model (69%) UFC 329 Predictions
Right now, the 69% accurate raw model is picking every favorite apart from Krylov (low probability). I will post the full odds-blended model with method predictions and Glicko-2 picks sometime next week. I’m happy to answer any questions about the model or its performance metrics.
It is fairly well calibrated with an ECE about 6.4%, meaning probabilities are fairly trustworthy.