The Fight Model (69%) UFC 329 Predictions

The Fight Model (69%) UFC 329 Predictions

Right now, the 69% accurate raw model is picking every favorite apart from Krylov (low probability). I will post the full odds-blended model with method predictions and Glicko-2 picks sometime next week. I’m happy to answer any questions about the model or its performance metrics.

It is fairly well calibrated with an ECE about 6.4%, meaning probabilities are fairly trustworthy.

u/OGDanaGreen — 1 day ago

I made an MMA card game.

MMA Warriors

Playable Link: mma-warriors.com

The Concept:

  • 3 Fighters per side — draft your roster, deploy them one at a time
  • Positional gameplay — Standup, Clinch, Top Control, Bottom — just like real fights
  • Real MMA rules — Submissions can only be thrown from certain positions (RNC is top-only, like it should be), knockdowns drop you to bottom position, Ground & Pound requires top control
  • Smart combat — Every move is unique. Leg Kicks reduce all your next strikes. Body Shots drain your cardio. Teep Kicks keep you at range. Each card matters.
  • Deck strategy — 85-card deck with rarity-based distribution; reactions (Block, Parry, Slip) cost energy to bank and use — energy management is the core tension

Adjust difficulty — Easy (random AI), Medium, Hard, Nightmare (+1 to all opponent stats)

Status: Brand new and actively being balanced. I'm releasing this publicly to get feedback and catch bugs I haven't found yet. I apologize in advance for any game-breaking or inconvenient bugs that disrupt gameplay — this is a living project, and your reports will help me refine it.

Looking for:

  • Bug reports (especially edge cases or softlocks)
  • Balance feedback (does any card feel too strong/weak?)
  • Clarity issues (do the rules make sense?)
  • Suggestions for future mechanics

Check it out: mma-warriors.com

Let me know what you think!

reddit.com
u/OGDanaGreen — 19 days ago

I made an MMA card game + ML Predictions for the next event

https://preview.redd.it/ar59vea5pq7h1.png?width=491&format=png&auto=webp&s=722592866c1a87ca41a1da72312bc00317e649ff

I just launched MMA Warriors (mma-warriors.com).

The Concept:

  • 3 Fighters per side — draft your roster, deploy them one at a time
  • Positional gameplay — Standup, Clinch, Top Control, Bottom — just like real fights
  • Real MMA rules — Submissions can only be thrown from certain positions (RNC is top-only, like it should be), knockdowns drop you to bottom position, Ground & Pound requires top control
  • Smart combat — Every move is unique. Leg Kicks reduce all your next strikes. Body Shots drain your cardio. Teep Kicks keep you at range. Each card matters.
  • Deck strategy — 85-card deck with rarity-based distribution; reactions (Block, Parry, Slip) cost energy to bank and use — energy management is the core tension

Adjust difficulty — Easy (random AI), Medium, Hard, Nightmare (+1 to all opponent stats)

Status: Brand new and actively being balanced. I'm releasing this publicly to get feedback and catch bugs I haven't found yet. I apologize in advance for any game-breaking or inconvenient bugs that disrupt gameplay — this is a living project, and your reports will help me refine it.

Looking for:

  • Bug reports (especially edge cases or softlocks)
  • Balance feedback (does any card feel too strong/weak?)
  • Clarity issues (do the rules make sense?)
  • Suggestions for future mechanics

Check it out: mma-warriors.com

Let me know what you think!

reddit.com
u/OGDanaGreen — 19 days ago

Not sure where to go from here

Growing up I “did everything right.” I excelled all throughout school, always on the A-honor roll. I went to a good university and graduated magna cum laude in 2023 with a BS in Computer Science. I choose that major because it was all the rage back then and I loved being able to create things based on my ideas. I had one software related internship in college, but haven’t been able to land anything real since. I have quite a few very impressive projects on my resume and am certain I have a resume that’s significantly above average in that regard compared to other CS graduates. I have basically given up on the field and have accepted the reality that the degree isn’t what it once was.

I recently have applied to a couple of trades and plan on applying to more that interest me. I’ve never considered myself much of a handyman though, so I worry I won’t make the greatest candidate.

I know a lot of people are in the same exact position as me, and I’d like to hear what you guys are doing or would recommend that I do.

reddit.com
u/OGDanaGreen — 20 days ago

If you had to make a tier list for union trades in Las Vegas, what would it look like?

I’m looking to move to Las Vegas, Nevada and have already applied for one apprenticeship there so far. I have been using AI a lot to ask questions about the trades but wanted to hear from you all.

reddit.com
u/OGDanaGreen — 1 month ago