The confessions of an AI pessimist
To start right from the get-go, I am not here to convince anyone of my viewpoint and in fact I am extremely open to the fact I am ignorant/wrong/misguided and so on. In-fact I guess that is the real essence of this post.
Essentially, I am what I think would be called an 'AI Pessimist'.
I do not mean I think it's going to kill us all or society is doomed (although....)
What I mean is my own experience of AI just does not correlate with the ever-increasing hype around AI.
For context, I have worked in technology for 25 years (I am Gen-X) but not a coder or developer at all. I do not have the remotest idea how to develop stuff.
So right there it feels like I am disconnected it feels by a large chunk of the wonders of what AI can do.
I would consider myself a regular 'Joe Blogs' who uses AI like most non-developers do.
Chatting with our favoured LLM (I have switched between ChatGPT and Claude).
Those chats are.....inconsistent to say the least. Sometimes its feels awe-inspiring - but mostly its frustrating/eyebrow raising and constantly trying to correct it when you know its wrong.
At best it feels like a suped up next-gen of Search for me. I can ask its stuff and get a reasonable answer most of the time. Although more often than not I lean back to doing my own research on plain old Google and sources - as I do not trust it.
Beyond that.....
I can read this Sub and others - and people speak of the wonders of AI. But I think I can represent a large chunk of the population when we say - we do not see it.
Even at work where our company and leadership have gone AI crazy - it has done very, VERY little to change how we work or improve productivity. It has sucked up budget etc.
I guess to sum up - as a non-developer everybody/regular person - there is just this massive disconnect from what people say about AI and what we actually experience.
Is this just ignorance? Being a non-developer? Or is the hype just that - massive hype?
I lived through the dot com bubble and it feels like this. Sure AI - like the internet - is here to stay. But everyone has just gone crazy on its true capabilities.
I do have one academic friend whose field is tangential to this and his main argument is we have a shiny new toy - that 'looks' like it can do some neat tricks. But that is all it is. Tricks. Smokes and Mirrors. Without true reasoning or logic processing, we are far beyond the expectations and promises we are being given.
This is a feeling I have heard many non-technical/developers share. This giant disconnect in what are told about AI and our own experience.
Are we the fools?