u/Spikeantestor

I noticed that if I want to bet on the money line for the first 3 innings of various baseball games, that it's frequently in the plus for all three options.At times, so much so that if I bet 5 dollars on all three options I'll still walk away with money. Obviously the major books don't talk to each other but if they keep seeing me bet 5 dollars on a game where each option is in the plus will that flag me? If I use a profit boost will that have an effect? Do any of y'all have experience with this?

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Thanks!

I've been signing up for various sports books so that I can cash out their promos. Yada yada yada, last night I got really into Bet365's in house Baccarat game. I started with something like 10 bucks and after a couple hours I was up to 103. I was only betting on the dealer and the player, going back and forth between the two as I deamed likely to get the desired result. I felt pretty pleased And further, felt like I was seeing patterns. This lasted between 250 and 350 hands.

This morning, I got up and, sure enough, was able to pick right back up where I started. I ended up turning another 10 into 100.

So all was good, but all of a sudden I couldn't hit anything. My strategy before had been that I'd start with putting 1 dollar on the dealer side. I'd keep doing that a few times and, after I saw a side, either the dealer or the player, start to accumulate wins, I'd switch to the other, supposing it was more likely that the streak wouldn't continue. In those cases I'd often move the bet up from 1 dollar to 5. If I lost the next one id to 5 again. Often by then I'd have won. I had been right and made about 200 dollars total doing it. Obviously there was some up and back but I was around 200 dollars in the plus after 250-350 hands.

Anyway, after that, it turned and basically the opposite of that ever I'd predict kept coming true. Any pattern I'd try and mitigate would appear to be the wrong answer. At one point there was a player side streak of 4 so I bet on the dealer side. The player side made it to 8 straight before I switched TO the player, then as soon as I switched, being tired of losing, the winner switched to the dealer. After a bit of this I pulled back to just 1 dollar bets. I lost about 50 dollars in 1 dollar bets. Not straight of course, I would win SOME but it was a pretty clear trajectory down. It felt like, for every one I'd win I'd lose 4.

And after another 300-500 hands, I'd lost 100 bucks.

Thankfully I had transferred out 100 at one point so I DID end up with winnings but once I lost that 2nd hundred I was shell shocked.

I couldn't imagine how I'd made it so long in the beginning and failed so much by the end.

So what did I do wrong? What was I distracted by or misread that gets first timers to fail like this? Is it odd that the game followed my sense of its pattern for so many wins then defied that same pattern recognition for so many games after?

What happened to me?

*Edited to add detail.

I am just signing up now. I wouldn't mind a bonus!

I haven't played or deposited anything since 5/23. I was at zero cash and zero fan cash but I have been logging in still and doing my daily spins.

Anyway, I just logged in and now I've got .18 cents in fan cash. I don't have any bets that hadn't come through.

Has anyone ever just gotten random fan cash like this?

I've been getting a booster option called Deposit Match Friday where they give me 20% of my deposit in fan cash on 10 plus dollars deposited with a limit of 10 dollars in fan cash.

Anyway, does anyone know if you have to bet that? If I deposit the money, then take out the cash, does the fan cash stay there?

Thanks?

My 3ish month experiment with sports betting has made me feel it's pretty much not for me. Too much swing and uncertainty.

But I DO feel like I've learned a bunch and think it might be enough to sign up for other sports books I wasn't using (I was only on fanatics) to try and cash out their special offers there.

Anyone try anything like this? Have any tips or pitfalls to avoid?

I signed up for a Fanatics account maybe 2 months ago. I was drawn in by the big fancash drop they give everyone and that all worked out perfectly.

I didn't stop using it after that though. I started having some fun with the sports betting side of it. I've put in something like 10 bucks a week since.

I've also been doing the daily activities every day. That's the casino spin and the fancash spin.

On the first day I did both of those things I got 30 free spins on the casino and 1 dollar fan cash.

I've not gotten anything since.

I was curious if everyone else has had a similar experience. Further, I assume that the reason I won anything early was to keep me coming back. That it was an algorithm designed to hook me on the system. Has anyone else noticed any mechanistic patterns in when they win (maybe you hadn't logged in in a while, or hadn't placed a bet in a while, or deposited money recently)?