u/TinyYak8793

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Hello to all, if you're looking to play with the SpaceX IPO i've written out a plan of execution.

To those who think they'll get in at a decent price on launch day, you'll end up regretting trying that. & If you won't read anything after this, don't put in a market order under any circumstances.

DXYZ (Destiny Tech100) trades +77% over reported NAV ($43.51 vs $24.56), and +26% even after re-marking its privates to current secondaries, the same look-through under which XOVR sits at NAV.

The SpaceX IPO on June 12 lists DXYZ's SpaceX sleeve at a public price and removes the scarcity bid, because the market can now buy SPCX directly. Short the premium; long XOVR at NAV neutralises the SpaceX direction, so an IPO-hype wave cannot blow up the short.

The XOVR leg is meant to be cashed out during the peak of the SpaceX launch day.

When you're entering the XOVR long, make sure you're entering at or below NAV, you can calculate this live (today it's trading right at NAV which makes it a good time).

If you don't want the short on DXYZ, you can still play the XOVR long as the SpaceX shuttle.

SPCX prices $135 on Thu Jun 11, first trade Fri Jun 12 (Nasdaq IPO Cross). About $1.77T, ~4% float, zero insider selling (180-day lock). Both funds re-mark SpaceX to the live tape that day.

That means DXYZ remarks lower, and XOVR higher as DXYZ.

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What you can expect to gain:

SpaceX Pops ($180 to $200) +5% to +7% from NAV (+8% to +11% on a dip-fill below reported NAV)

What you can expect to lose:

SpaceX stays at ($135) roughly flat (re-mark to the IPO already near $20.30)

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If anyone has any questions don't hesitate to drop them below ❤️

This report was made pre-market this morning.

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