u/joelala1

Sharing our daily hot hitter tracker — Statcast-backed data on who's locked in right now based on AVG, SLG, Barrel %, Hard Hit %, and Avg EV.

Today's top bats:

- Kyle Schwarber (PHI) — 7 HR in his last 7 games, slugging .865 over 10 days. One of the hottest individual stretches in baseball this season

- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — .409 AVG and .909 SLG over 10 days. Quietly one of the best bats in the game right now

- Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) — 7-game hit streak with 4 HR in 10 days, leads MLB in WAR

- JJ Bleday (CIN) — 2 HR yesterday, 6 XBH over 10 days

- A.J. Ewing (CIN) — 87.5% hard hit rate in his last 3 games, emerging catcher worth watching

Schwarber and Goldschmidt are the standout prop plays today. Witt Jr. is a near-lock anytime he's in a good matchup.

Running a Statcast-based HR model scoring hitters on Barrel %, Avg EV, park factors, and pitcher matchups. Here are tonight's top 10 targets on a 15-game slate.

Best value on the board tonight:

- Matt Olson (#1) leads the model despite T-Mobile Park (92) — his Statcast profile is just that dominant right now. Leading MLB in extra-base hits on the season

- Aaron Judge (#2) vs Nathan Eovaldi (flagged vulnerable) at Yankee Stadium (121) — one of the best HR props on the board tonight

- Bryce Harper (#4) at Citizens Bank Park (116) — great park factor boost

- Wrigley Field (108) shows up 3 times — Benson, Bleday and Busch all playing there tonight, solid stacking opportunity

- Moniak & Vientos both at Coors Field (138) — hard to fade either on HR props

Who are you targeting tonight?

Posting daily picks and graphics on X u/Bat2BallHQ if you want to follow along.