Where Europe's top 5 football leagues get their players

Where Europe's top 5 football leagues get their players

Mapped the birth nation of every player who played in Europe's top 5 leagues (England, Spain, Germany, Italy, France) last season, sized by real minutes played rather than squad size.

55% of all minutes were from players born outside those 5 countries. Brazil is the single biggest source from outside Europe, 100,646 minutes across 79 players.

France comes out top overall, which surprised me until I checked why: most of it is domestic, 199 of its 309 players are playing in France's own league rather than exported abroad.

Full ranked list of the 14 biggest sources is in the image.

(Source: The Prism, a football scouting & analytics app I've been building. Happy to share more of the underlying numbers if anyone wants a specific country!)

u/moabusin — 11 hours ago

Pau Cubarsí is 19 and played 3,459+ minutes last season. He's had only 27 days off before La Liga starts...

Given the start of the new season is nearly here, I added up how much everyone in the top 5 leagues played in the past year: 2025/26 league minutes plus World Cup minutes.

Kept Goalkeepers in their own box for obvious reasons. Among outfielders it's Elliot Anderson on 3,968, then Guéhi and Enzo Fernández just behind.

The gap is the bit that gets me. The final was 19 July. La Liga starts 15 August, so Cucurella and Cubarsí get 27 days. Cubarsí is 19 and played 3,459 minutes in the last year!

Worth saying these are league minutes only, no cups and no Europe, so every number is a floor rather than a ceiling.

Chart's out of The Prism, a scouting and analytics tool I've been building.

Anyone you'd be worried about? Rice and Xhaka also stand out to me...

u/moabusin — 6 days ago

Which top 5 league squads are actually old, and who has nobody coming through

Pre-season lull, so thought i'd take a look at which squads are aging... Minutes played rather than squad lists, every club in the top 5 leagues, 2025/26.

The bit that matters more than raw age is the cross: old core and nothing coming through. That's the shaded corner, 14 clubs, with Rayo, Mainz and Lazio the most extreme and Villa and Everton the ones that surprised me.

League-wide, La Liga is much the oldest at 31% median minutes to over-30s. The Premier League is the youngest at 17%.

Old on its own clearly isn't a problem though. Inter won Serie A with 39% of minutes going to over-30s, and Lens finished 2nd in Ligue 1 with a (seemingly) barbell squad, 43% over-30 and 27% under-23 and barely anything in between.

Chart's out of The Prism, a scouting & analytics tool I've been building.

Which of those 14 surprised you? Villa and Everton stand out to me but I don't watch enough Rayo to know whether it's just how they're built.

u/moabusin — 15 days ago

Donyell Malen cost €25m and scored 18 goals last season. Anthony Gordon cost €80m and scored 6.

Been doing some analysis using a scouting tool im building by pulling transfer fees and season stats through the same pipeline, and I checked something quick: does what a club pays track what the player actually did last season?

Below is a chart of every completed permanent transfer of €20m or more between two top-5 league clubs since 1st June. 33 players, €1.68bn. Method and exclusions are in the chart footnote.

Rank correlation between fee and goal contributions per 90: −0.11. Attackers alone: −0.20. Seems like little to no relationship in there.

  • Donyell Malen went to Roma for €25m off 18 goals and 3 assists. Anthony Gordon went to Barcelona for €80m off 6 and 2.
  • Sandro Tonali is the third-biggest fee of the window at €108m. Last season: 0 goals, 2 assists, 35 appearances.
  • Morgan Rogers is the biggest fee at €138m and was also the most productive midfielder in the set. The fee looks to carry no information either way.

The obvious caveat is the interesting part: goals and assists don't measure a holding midfielder or a centre-back properly. But it cuts both ways, because clubs are also paying attacker money for attackers who aren't producing.

Numbers and chart are out of The Prism, the scouting & analytics tool I've been building.

Keen to see people's thoughts on the fee's we've seen during this window, yes it does seem like most are inflated, but what are really the trends (if any)?

u/moabusin — 18 days ago

Looking at how the two World Cup finalists got here...

https://preview.redd.it/uw1i7u1uz7eh1.png?width=1961&format=png&auto=webp&s=3c60822f3fd1306d9a2e26673705154ce1490851

The final tonight: Spain vs Argentina, and on the numbers they're near-perfect opposites - two different blueprints for reaching a final:

  • Spain: Conceded just 1 goal in 4 knockout games (only Belgium have breached them since the group stage), but they don't punish you: 10% shot conversion, and Lamine Yamal (17) has taken 23 shots for 1 goal.
  • Argentina: Concede in every game (6 in the same 4 knockout rounds), but they're ruthless the other way: 16% conversion, and Messi has been directly involved in 12 of their 18 goals (8 goals + 4 assists = 67%)

So it's the defensive collective that can't quite find a killer, against the one-genius attack that can't keep it out, I guess..

What do you guy think ? Does Spain's back line finally silence Messi, or does he only need the one chance their profligacy can't guarantee at the other end?

All numbers from each team's completed WC 2026 matches, pulled from a football tool I've been building, The Prism. Conceded = the 4 knockout rounds (R32 to SF).

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u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] Where the two World Cup finalists sit on attack efficiency vs defensive resistance

In spirit of today's World Cup final, I plotted every team that reached the knockouts on two things: how clinical its attack has been (goals as a share of shots taken) and how resistant its defence has been (shots on target faced that it kept out).

Spain: 10.8% of shots scored, 90% of shots on target faced kept out. Argentina: 17.0% scored, 56% kept out.

Who do you think takes the throne today?

>Source: Built off The Prism, an AI-powered football analytics app i've built. Chart: Python/matplotlib. "Attack" = goals ÷ total shots; "defence" = 1 − (goals conceded ÷ shots on target faced), i.e. the share of on-target shots a team kept out. Population is the 32 teams that reached the Round of 32. No xG in this feed - this is shots and shots-on-target only, so read it as a shot-quantity picture, not a chance-quality one!

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

The numbers behind some of the PL's summer signings so far...

Everyone's reacting to the transfer news, so I pulled what these incoming players did in 2025/26 (previous club, per-90) to see who's likely to return FPL points:

Player Joins Pos 2025/26 (league) Mins (starts) G A G+A/90 KP/90 Sh/90
Álvaro Rodríguez Bournemouth FWD Elche (La Liga) 2,201 (24) 7 5 0.49 1.35 3.11
Johan Manzambi Aston Villa MID Freiburg (Bundesliga) 2,095 (26) 5 4 0.39 0.86 2.19
Xaver Schlager Nott'm Forest MID RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) 1,837 (21) 3 1 0.20 1.03 1.03
Youri Tielemans Man Utd MID Aston Villa (PL) 1,864 (21) 0 4 0.19 1.55 1.16
Tarik Muharemović Leeds DEF Sassuolo (Serie A) 2,836 (32) 2 2 0.13 0.19 0.63
Andrey Santos Man Utd MID Chelsea (PL) 1,255 (13) 1 0 0.07 0.57 0.79

Takeaways:

  • Álvaro Rodríguez has the standout attacking profile - a strong forward at 0.49 G+A/90 and 3+ shots per 90. If Bournemouth start him he's the obvious cheap-forward value pick (caveat: only 24 of 34 starts last year).
  • Manzambi (€60m) backs up the hype - well-rounded, 5+4, 2.19 shots/90, loads of dribbles. Villa's attack should suit him.
  • The two big midfield names underwhelm on last season's data. Tielemans scored 0 league goals and lost his Villa starting spot; Andrey Santos managed 1 in limited Chelsea minutes. One nuance on Santos: he did score 10 in Ligue 1 at Strasbourg in 2024/25
  • Schlager and Muharemović don't project as FPL assets here.

Caveats: last season's numbers, not projections; La Liga/Bundesliga → PL is a step up so will be interesting to see how they adapt.

Which of these are you buying ?

(Numbers from each player's 2025/26 league season, via a football tool I've been building (The Prism). Happy to run any other incoming player.)

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u/moabusin — 1 month ago

How good has the finishing been this World Cup?

Been pulling player-level finishing data across the whole World Cup and one comparison jumped out that a plain Golden Boot table completely hides: shot volume and end product have come apart badly for some of the biggest names.

Took every player with 12+ shots in the tournament (102 matches, through the semis) and plotted shots taken against goals scored.

The cleanest example: Lamine Yamal and Harry Kane have taken the exact same number of shots (23 each) which is the joint-most of anyone outside Messi (34) and Mbappé (33). Kane's scored 6. Yamal's scored 1, with 0 assists across 7 games.

He's not the only one down there. Kevin De Bruyne (20 shots, 1 goal) and Luis Díaz (19 shots, 1 goal) have been just as wasteful, and Michael Olise has taken 17 shots without scoring once (though he's at least got 5 assists to show for it). At the other end, Erling Haaland's been the most clinical high-volume shot-taker with 20 shots, 7 goals, and 65% of them on target.

Built this off match-level shot data I pull automatically in a football data tool I've been putting together (The Prism).

Whats everyone's thoughts on the finishing at this World Cup so far?

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] Nearly 1 in 5 goals from this World Cup have come from substitutes - that share climbs to over half late in matches

So theres two things layered into one chart here. First, the overall, whole-tournament number: 55 of the 283 goals scored at this World Cup (19.4%, nearly 1 in 5) came from a substitute.

Second, when you look at just the goals scored within each specific window of a match, subs' share climbs steadily: 10.9% at the hour mark, 20.5% by 75', up to 53.3% in the final 15 minutes (+ stoppage time).

Pre-half-time is excluded entirely since subs are barely used that early (9 of 974 tournament-wide substitutions happened before minute 30).

What's everyones thoughts here. Does this show the importance of squad depth in this World Cup, especially with the weather conditions?

Tools: The Prism, an AI football analytics app I'm working on, pulling all 102 completed matches, all 283 non-own goals. Two distinct denominators used deliberately, both stated on the chart: the 19.4% figure is subs' share of every goal scored this tournament; the by-window figures (10.9% → 53.3%) are subs' share of the goals scored within that specific window only. Chart: Python/matplotlib.

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] More than a quarter of all World Cup 2026 goals have come in the final 15 minutes

Pulled every goal from the 101 completed matches (including today's semi final) of this World Cup and grouped them by the 15-minute block they were scored in.

The last 15 minutes of regular time (76–90, including added-on time) have produced 77 goals - more than a quarter of all 296, and nearly double any other block on the chart. The second half overall has produced 35% more goals than the first.

I kept extra-time goals from the knockout AET games as a separate bar, since they come from a much smaller set of matches and it'd be misleading to fold them into the 76–90 block.

Pretty cool to see this visualised properly!

Built this off The Prism, an AI football analytics app I've built to allow us to visualise things like this and a bunch more. Data + method in the comments.

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] Spain has traveled 2.7x farther than France to reach the same World Cup semifinal (6,446 mi vs 2,398 mi). I mapped all 4 semifinalists' full routes.

Pulled the venue history for all 4 World Cup 2026 semifinalists - group stage through to the semifinal - and mapped the distance each has actually traveled.

France has barely left the Northeast: MetLife, Lincoln Financial Field, and Gillette Stadium, each visited twice, just 2,398 miles total including the flight to the semifinal. Spain has covered 6,446 miles (2.7x as far) including a trip to Guadalajara, Mexico, before swinging back through LA and Texas twice.

England (5,699 mi) and Argentina (3,507 mi) sit in between, both bouncing repeatedly through the middle of the country. Cool to see that the AT&T Stadium in Arlington has now hosted a match for 3 of these 4 teams, and it also hosts Tuesday's France–Spain semifinal.

Interesting data to see and also considering this World Cup has less rest time than usual between games.

Built this off The Prism, an AI football scouting app I'm building that tracks everything football related. Data + method in the comments!

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

Measured pressing, possession control, directness and defensive solidity for 9 of Europe's biggest clubs (2025/26)

So I tried a quick data experiment today.

Pulled four tactical measures for 9 of Europe's highest-profile clubs across the full 2025/26 season: how often they press and win the ball back, how much they dominate possession, how direct their play is (fewer long buildup sequences vs. more), and defensive solidity (clean sheets + goals conceded rate). Wanted to see which clubs' data actually matches their tactical reputation.

The one that stood out: Arsenal press harder (0.93), play more directly (0.43), and are more defensively solid (0.63) than Man City (0.90 press, 0.04 directness, 0.56 solidity) this season. City are still the more dominant possession side (0.87 vs 0.80), but the picture of Arteta as running a slower, more patient, City-style control team doesn't really hold up in the numbers. Arsenal actually look like the more direct, more front-foot side of the two.

The other one worth arguing about: Liverpool have the lowest defensive solidity of any club I measured (0.40) — lower than Napoli (0.54), lower than Dortmund (0.55). For a club whose whole identity is supposed to be built on winning the ball back high and suffocating teams, that's pretty rough.

For context, the two most extreme possession sides were Barcelona and PSG - both essentially maxed out the possession/directness metric identically (0.98 possession, 0 directness), which tracks with the eye test: neither side is giving the ball away or playing long by choice.

Full 9: Man City, Liverpool, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Barcelona, PSG, Dortmund, Inter, Napoli - happy to share the rest of the numbers if people want to see a specific club.

Keen to see - does the Arsenal number surprise anyone, or has the perception just not caught up to how direct they've actually become under Arteta?

Source: Season-long team stats (2025/26), pressing/possession/directness/solidity derived in a football tool I've been building called The Prism.

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u/moabusin — 1 month ago
▲ 4 r/footballscouting+1 crossposts

The under-the-radar U-23 'attacker' breakouts of this World Cup...

Been tracking the younger players this World Cup to look out for any 'breakouts'. I pulled every U-23 with at least 2 goal contributions across all 99 completed matches. This is attacking output only; so no defensive or progression data here.

The top of the list is the names you'd expect (Bellingham (6G), Wirtz, Barcola). So I've set those aside to focus on more 'under-the-radar' players. These are the breakouts I'd say we've seen so far:

Johan Manzambi. 20, SC Freiburg, Switzerland
3 goals + 2 assists off just 6 shots (50% conversion) in 4 games. Standout of the whole list - end product miles ahead of his shot volume, and the youngest here. Big reason why Switzerland have got to the last 8 imo.

Andreas Schjelderup. 22, Benfica, Norway
1 goal, 3 assists in 6 games. Creator more than finisher - the link man in the Norway attack that's essentially been feeding Haaland.

Habib Diarra. 22, Sunderland, Senegal
2 goals off 4 shots in 3 apps. Small sample, but a just-promoted-club midfielder with a decent club season too, worth a look.

Nathan Saliba. 22, Anderlecht, Canada
1 goal, 2 assists in 3 apps. High involvement for a young no.8 in a Canada side that overachieved.

Other hits that we've seen do well:

  • Yasin Ayari. 22, Brighton, Sweden - 2 goals in 4; already at a strong development club notorious to produce young outputs.
  • Julio Enciso. 22, Strasbourg, Paraguay - 1G 2A; top talent.
  • Alex Freeman. 21, Villarreal, USA - 1G 1A from fullback; decent attacking output from the back.
  • Petar Sučić.22, Inter, Croatia - 1G 1A; quietly banking minutes for a big club and a big nation.

The main caveat again is that this is looking at purely attacking output - would love to do a defensive/progressive one next to see the names this WC has given us on that end.

Who am I missing here?

(Numbers pulled and aggregated in a scouting tool I've been building that allows you to do this type of analysis at scale - The Prism).

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u/moabusin — 1 month ago

Sørloth's shots on target this World Cup: 0 Haaland, completely free: 7 goals "He backed himself"

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] Egypt and Argentina fouled at the exact same rate at the World Cup. Egypt's drawn 4x the cards...

So i looked at the 16 teams with the most matches played this tournament (i.e. everyone that got past the Round of 32), across all 97 of the 104 completed matches so far. Plotted fouls committed per match against cards drawn per match for each.

Raw foul counts turn out to be a weak predictor of cards. The clearest case is Egypt and Argentina, who've fouled at literally the same rate (59 fouls in 5 matches each, 11.8/match) but sit on opposite ends of the card count: Egypt 12, Argentina 3.

Switzerland and Morocco foul more than the group average and still land near the bottom for cards; Egypt, Canada and Paraguay get carded well above what their foul count alone would predict.

Genuinely curious what people who've actually watched these teams think: is Egypt's disciplinary record down to how they defend (last-man fouls, tactical fouling high up the pitch), or has officiating just been stricter on them specifically? Especially in that Argentina match??

Data + tool in the comments.

u/moabusin — 1 month ago
▲ 1.2k r/SpicyFootballTakes+1 crossposts

Egypt and Argentina fouled at the exact same rate this World Cup (11.8/match). Egypt got carded 4x as often...

Been pulling match-level discipline data across the World Cup and noticed something that doesn't show up in a plain "most cards" leaderboard: foul volume barely predicts card volume (apparently).

Looked at the 16 teams with the most matches played this tournament (i.e. everyone still standing past the Round of 32), across all 97 of the 104 completed matches so far. Plotted fouls committed per match against cards drawn per match for each.

The cleanest example: Egypt and Argentina have fouled at the exact same rate - 59 fouls in 5 matches each, 11.8 per match. Egypt have been carded 12 times. Argentina 3 times. Same fouling, 4x the cards.

It's not just those two. Switzerland and Morocco foul more than the group median but sit near the bottom for cards. Egypt, Canada and Paraguay are the opposite: carded well above what their foul count alone would suggest.

Built this off match-level fouls/cards data I pull automatically in a scouting & analytics tool I've been putting together, (The Prism).

Genuinely curious what people who've actually watched these teams think: is Egypt's disciplinary record down to how they defend (last-man fouls, tactical fouling high up the pitch), or has officiating just been stricter on them specifically? Especially in that Argentina game??

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] Follow-up to my Final 8 post. Expanded to all 48 World Cup teams. Turns out attack separated the quarterfinalists from the pack more than defence did.

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

[OC] The Quarters of the World Cup start today. I mapped the whole final 8 by attack vs defence... Spain hasn't conceded a single goal in 5 games.

With the Round of 16 wrapped and the quarterfinals up next (France–Morocco, Spain–Belgium, Norway–England, Argentina–Switzerland), I plotted the 8 remaining teams by goals scored vs goals conceded across the tournament so far.

Spain's the standout: zero goals conceded in five matches, including their knockout win over Portugal. France is the most complete side left - the most goals of anyone in the group (14) and the second-tightest defense (2 conceded). Norway's the outlier: 12 goals but the leakiest defense here by some distance (9 conceded) - they're through on scoring power alone (Haaaaaland).

Built this off The Prism, an AI-powered football intelligence app I'm working on that tracks stats like this live across the tournament. More in the comments.

u/moabusin — 1 month ago
▲ 295 r/footballscouting+1 crossposts

[OC] Clinical vs volume: every World Cup 2026 top scorer by shots taken vs goals scored

u/moabusin — 1 month ago

I ranked every U-21 in Europe's top 5 leagues by per-90 output last season, nad here are the 10 no one is talking about

I got a bit obsessed with finding value in the U-21 pool of players this season, so I pulled every on born 2005 or later with 900+ minutes across the top 5 leagues (PL, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1) and ranked them purely by goal contributions (G+A) per 90. The 900-minute floor is used because the per-90 view flatters anyone with a tiny sample, so cameo merchants are filtered out.

Here were my findings:

# Player Club League G A Mins G+A/90
1 Can Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt BUN 8 6 1163 1.08
2 Lamine Yamal Barcelona LAL 16 11 2296 1.06
3 Endrick Real Madrid LAL 5 7 1234 0.88
4 Said El Mala FC Köln BUN 13 5 1957 0.83
5 Carlos Espí Levante LAL 11 0 1339 0.74
6 Yan Diomande RB Leipzig BUN 12 8 2484 0.72
7 Eli Kroupi Bournemouth PL 13 0 1683 0.70
8 Lennart Karl Bayern BUN 5 5 1283 0.70
9 Assan Ouédraogo RB Leipzig BUN 4 3 955 0.66
10 Christian Kofane Leverkusen BUN 5 4 1233 0.66
11 Pio Esposito Inter SEA 7 4 1561 0.63
12 Jesús Rodríguez Como SEA 2 9 1733 0.57

The under-the-radar reads i (the data) was particularly impressed by:

  • Carlos Espí (Levante, 11G/0A) and Eli Kroupi (Bournemouth, 13G/0A) seem to be the purest poachers on the list - double-digit goals, zero assists. Fox-in-the-box profiles that don't drop out to build.
  • Said El Mala (Köln) is the breakout nobody outside Germany is discussing. 13+5 in a mid-table side at 1,957 minutes is a real workload, not a hot streak.
  • Jesús Rodríguez (Como, 2G/9A) is the opposite profile. A pure creator carrying nearly all his output through assists. Different tool entirely.
  • Pio Esposito (Inter) doing 0.63/90 inside a title-chasing Inter side - pretty impressive!

Caveats, because I know this sub will (rightly) push back: this is attacking output only - no xG, no defensive actions, so it structurally ignores CBs and deep mids. Per-90 also rewards efficiency over volume, so a high-minutes grinder can rank below a sharp rotation player. It's a starting filter, not a verdict.

(Full disclosure - I pulled this from a scouting tool I've been building called The Prism; happy to explain the method or share it!)

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u/moabusin — 1 month ago