
Exactly as predicted, Starfield is now the 10th most downloaded game on Nexus Mods (203.2 mil), passing Fallout 3 (202.6 mil)
I've been tracking the top most downloaded games on Nexus Mods since July 2025. I predicted Starfield would pass Fallout 3 in October, and it's happened.
Who is next? According to my calculations, at present rates Starfield will pass The Witcher 3 no later than January 2027, when Starfield reaches 226.95 mil and TW3 has 223.07 mil. That tells me it will likely happen in late December 2026, really.
I don't see any movement beyond that point, or at least I haven't projected it far enough. Oblivion has 341.2 mil downloads right now, and that will continue to grow at a strong pace.
In case you wonder why I track this, I see it as a proxy for user interest in the game. Mod count is a proxy for modder interest in the game, which is not as important for me at this time.
Enjoy your Starfield mods! Here's hoping this makes it into the "gaming press" and it's not spun into another "Starfield is dead" story. 🤣