Investors are looking at the wrong number: META's FCF fell 91% but operating cash flow grew 25%.

The headline from Meta’s Q2 report was technically brutal: free cash flow collapsed 91% year over year, from $8.55B to just $784M.

That makes it sound like Meta’s money printer broke. But operating cash flow (the cash generated by the business before capital spending) actually increased 24.6%, from $25.56B to $31.86B.

The difference was capex.

Q2 2025 2026
Revenue $47.52B $60.80B
Operating cash flow $25.56B $31.86B
Capex, including finance leases $17.01B $31.07B
Free cash flow $8.55B $784M
Operating income $20.44B $18.78B

Revenue grew 28%. Operating cash flow grew nearly 25%. Free cash flow collapsed because capital spending nearly doubled. The operating margin decline from 43% to 31% looks equally alarming at first. But approximately half of that compression came from $2.4B of legal charges and $1.18B of severance expenses. Had they not incurred those charges, operating income would've grown 9.4%.

The advertising engine still looks strong:

  • Ad impressions increased 14%.
  • Average price per ad increased 12%.
  • Together, that produces approximately 27.7% growth, almost exactly matching reported revenue growth.
  • Meta says its newer ranking models increased Facebook ad clicks by 8.3% and conversions by 15.7%.

The interesting part is that price growth is holding up even as impression growth decelerates. That suggests advertisers are paying more because Meta’s inventory is producing better results, rather than Meta simply stuffing more ads into feeds.

Free cash flow will probably remain near zero for several more quarters. But if operating cash flow and ad pricing continue growing while capex eventually moderates, free cash flow should reappear mechanically. The current valuation is giving less credit to that possibility than I think it should.

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 2 days ago

Investors are looking at the wrong number: META's FCF fell 91% but operating cash flow grew 25%.

The headline from Meta’s Q2 report was technically brutal: free cash flow collapsed 91% year over year, from $8.55B to just $784M.

That makes it sound like Meta’s money printer broke. But operating cash flow (the cash generated by the business before capital spending) actually increased 24.6%, from $25.56B to $31.86B.

The difference was capex.

Q2 2025 2026
Revenue $47.52B $60.80B
Operating cash flow $25.56B $31.86B
Capex, including finance leases $17.01B $31.07B
Free cash flow $8.55B $784M
Operating income $20.44B $18.78B

Revenue grew 28%. Operating cash flow grew nearly 25%. Free cash flow collapsed because capital spending nearly doubled. The operating margin decline from 43% to 31% looks equally alarming at first. But approximately half of that compression came from $2.4B of legal charges and $1.18B of severance expenses. Had they not incurred those charges, operating income would've grown 9.4%.

The advertising engine still looks strong:

  • Ad impressions increased 14%.
  • Average price per ad increased 12%.
  • Together, that produces approximately 27.7% growth, almost exactly matching reported revenue growth.
  • Meta says its newer ranking models increased Facebook ad clicks by 8.3% and conversions by 15.7%.

The interesting part is that price growth is holding up even as impression growth decelerates. That suggests advertisers are paying more because Meta’s inventory is producing better results, rather than Meta simply stuffing more ads into feeds.

Free cash flow will probably remain near zero for several more quarters. But if operating cash flow and ad pricing continue growing while capex eventually moderates, free cash flow should reappear mechanically. The current valuation is giving less credit to that possibility than I think it should.

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 2 days ago
▲ 142 r/stocks

Investors are looking at the wrong number: META's FCF fell 91% but operating cash flow grew 25%.

The headline from Meta’s Q2 report was technically brutal: free cash flow collapsed 91% year over year, from $8.55B to just $784M.

That makes it sound like Meta’s money printer broke. But operating cash flow (the cash generated by the business before capital spending) actually increased 24.6%, from $25.56B to $31.86B.

The difference was capex.

Q2 2025 2026
Revenue $47.52B $60.80B
Operating cash flow $25.56B $31.86B
Capex, including finance leases $17.01B $31.07B
Free cash flow $8.55B $784M
Operating income $20.44B $18.78B

Revenue grew 28%. Operating cash flow grew nearly 25%. Free cash flow collapsed because capital spending nearly doubled. The operating margin decline from 43% to 31% looks equally alarming at first. But approximately half of that compression came from $2.4B of legal charges and $1.18B of severance expenses. Had they not incurred those charges, operating income would've grown 9.4%.

The advertising engine still looks strong:

  • Ad impressions increased 14%.
  • Average price per ad increased 12%.
  • Together, that produces approximately 27.7% growth, almost exactly matching reported revenue growth.
  • Meta says its newer ranking models increased Facebook ad clicks by 8.3% and conversions by 15.7%.

The interesting part is that price growth is holding up even as impression growth decelerates. That suggests advertisers are paying more because Meta’s inventory is producing better results, rather than Meta simply stuffing more ads into feeds.

Free cash flow will probably remain near zero for several more quarters. But if operating cash flow and ad pricing continue growing while capex eventually moderates, free cash flow should reappear mechanically. The current valuation is giving less credit to that possibility than I think it should.

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 2 days ago

How do I navigate leaving my job for a 30% higher paying job but secretly wanting my boss to match the offer?

EDIT: thank you everyone for taking the time to comment. Your words have reaffirmed my choice to ditch any fantasy of saving and having the guts to happily move on to a new office. To clarify, my work ebbs and flows, sometimes it’s insanely busy and sometimes it’s chill and that’s just by design. I’m still a very high performer and I’ve created a lot of things for my office that have significant cost savings that had never been crossed my boss’ minds. I did try to quit 4 times but they kept giving me raises but looks like this is the one. On to better things :)

Roughly 3 months ago, I was passed up for a raise. I was extremely upset as I had spent months communicating and implementing new things that would save the office hundreds of thousands of dollars. I currently make 70k and asked for a raise to 80k given the significant savings (these were not hypothetical, they're already benefitting from things I implemented).

I was obviously very upset and eventually found a much better paying job. It offers ~95k along with benefits (health insurance at 50% coverage on their end), 401k w/ 3% match of salary.

My current comp is just 70k with no benefits other than 401k w/ no match. On the surface, this is obviously a no brainer. The only consideration is my current workload is next to nothing. Half the time is spent with me just tinkering with AI (which is how i developed the significant cost savings) and teaching myself new skills. In addition, it's an office of just 10 employees and I have a close relationship with my boss as I've been there for 5 yrs and the commute is 20 minutes and very easy.

My other job will be an hr commute and I'll be part of an office with 200 employees. There'll be layers of bureaucracy. I've video interviewed the CEO twice and have only directly met managers in the office. In all honesty, my ideal scenario would be my boss just matching the 95k salary on the back of me leaving for another offer. I've already messaged my boss and told them we'll be sitting down for an urgent conversation on Monday so I'm sure they already know what's going on. How do I navigate the situation to imply there's room for them to offer to match?

My intention is just to be courteous and say I'm giving two weeks notice as I've received a "significantly higher compensating offer" and thank them for our years spent together and not sure where to go from there.

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 2 months ago
▲ 1.0k r/stocks

U.S. and Iran agree on peace deal to end the war, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif says

Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/14/us-iran-war-peace-deal.html?\_\_source=iosappshare%7Ccom.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard

U.S. and Iran agree on peace deal to end the war, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif says

The U.S. and Iran have agreed on a deal to bring their nearly four-month war to an end, with both sides declaring the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said on Sunday.

“Following intensive talks, we are pleased to announce that the Peace Deal between the United States of America and Islamic Republic of Iran has been REACHED,” Sharif said in a post on X. Pakistan has served as a mediator between the two countries.

“The official signing ceremony will be on Friday, 19 June in Switzerland,” Sharif said.

On Friday, Iranian state media reported that a 14-page draft memorandum had been drawn up, outlining terms of a proposed peace deal that would include the U.S. lifting oil sanctions and Iran committing to reopening the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days.

The deal follows weeks of mixed messaging from both Washington and Tehran over the conflict’s trajectory, with a fragile ceasefire in place as diplomatic efforts were made to end the war.

The Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route in the Middle East, has effectively been closed since the conflict began in late February. The blockade of the waterway has created severe supply constraints for various goods, including oil, gas and fertilizers, sparking price rises and fueling concerns about a return to stagflation.

Inflation has already begun to creep higher in many major economies, with America’s annual inflation rate hitting 4.2% in May – its highest level in three years.

On Thursday, the European Central Bank announced a quarter-point rate hike, raising interest rates for the first time since 2023 as the Iran war continues to blow euro zone inflation off target.

The move made the ECB the first major global central bank to raise its key interest rate in response to the energy shock.

Market expectations have shifted throughout the war, with broad rate-cut expectations fading and being replaced by higher-for-longer interest-rate environments across economies.

The Federal Reserve is now expected to raise interest rates before the end of this year, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool.

u/thelastsubject123 — 2 months ago

[NY] Two weeks ago, I uncovered my employer underpaying all of his employees for years. Coincidentally, I am most likely being fired tomorrow.

Location: NYC

Two weeks ago, I uncovered my employer underpaying all of his employees by slightly adjusting the time clock. It was so minute that I didn't realize it until I took a really close look one day. Something like 38 hours 46 minutes being changed to 38 hours 24 minutes.

I presented my case to my employers, sent them an email from my work email to make it clear that we've discussed this, and assumed in good faith nothing would happen. Fast forward to today, I was called in and was being told I had to go home for the day due to "insubordination" and "misconduct". I have no documented write ups and have been a star performer for the past five years. As I was attempting to extract the data for that email I sent to my office manager and the owner of the business, my email privileges have been revoked and I can no longer access my work email (stupid of me to send it from my work email, I'm aware).

I am paid hourly, am a W2 worker. Gemini says I have a good shot at filing for unemployment + retaliation/wrongful termination irrespective of what they claim I have done.

That being said, I do have a screenshot of the email but do not have the time stamp in the email. I am still going ahead and filing my complaint but can they just claim they didn't receive this email? What should I do moving forward?

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 3 months ago
▲ 2 r/AskHR

[NY] Two weeks ago, I uncovered my employer underpaying all of his employees for years. Coincidentally, I am most likely being fired tomorrow.

Location: NYC

Two weeks ago, I uncovered my employer underpaying all of his employees by slightly adjusting the time clock. It was so minute that I didn't realize it until I took a really close look one day. Something like 38 hours 46 minutes being changed to 38 hours 24 minutes.

I presented my case to my employers, sent them an email from my work email to make it clear that we've discussed this, and assumed in good faith nothing would happen. Fast forward to today, I was called in and was being told I had to go home for the day due to "insubordination" and "misconduct". I have no documented write ups and have been a star performer for the past five years. As I was attempting to extract the data for that email I sent to my office manager and the owner of the business, my email privileges have been revoked and I can no longer access my work email (stupid of me to send it from my work email, I'm aware).

I am paid hourly, am a W2 worker. Gemini says I have a good shot at filing for unemployment + retaliation/wrongful termination irrespective of what they claim I have done.

That being said, I do have a screenshot of the email but do not have the time stamp in the email. I am still going ahead and filing my complaint but can they just claim they didn't receive this email? What should I do moving forward?

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 3 months ago

Two weeks ago, I uncovered my employer underpaying all of his employees for years. Coincidentally, I am most likely being fired tomorrow.

Location: NYC

Two weeks ago, I uncovered my employer underpaying all of his employees by slightly adjusting the time clock. It was so minute that I didn't realize it until I took a really close look one day. Something like 38 hours 46 minutes being changed to 38 hours 24 minutes.

I presented my case to my employers, sent them an email from my work email to make it clear that we've discussed this, and assumed in good faith nothing would happen. Fast forward to today, I was called in and was being told I had to go home for the day due to "insubordination" and "misconduct". I have no documented write ups and have been a star performer for the past five years. As I was attempting to extract the data for that email I sent to my office manager and the owner of the business, my email privileges have been revoked and I can no longer access my work email (stupid of me to send it from my work email, I'm aware).

I am paid hourly, am a W2 worker. Gemini says I have a good shot at filing for unemployment + retaliation/wrongful termination irrespective of what they claim I have done.

That being said, I do have a screenshot of the email but do not have the time stamp in the email. I am still going ahead and filing my complaint but can they just claim they didn't receive this email? What should I do moving forward?

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 3 months ago
▲ 170 r/stocks

NVIDIA and IREN Announce Strategic Partnership to Accelerate Deployment of up to 5 Gigawatts of AI Infrastructure, IREN +25% AH

Source: NVIDIA and IREN Announce Strategic Partnership to Accelerate Deployment of up to 5 Gigawatts of AI Infrastructure | NVIDIA Newsroom

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) and IREN Limited (NASDAQ: IREN) (“IREN”) today announced a strategic partnership to accelerate deployment of next-generation AI infrastructure.

As part of the partnership:

  • NVIDIA and IREN intend to support deployment of up to 5 gigawatts of NVIDIA DSX-aligned AI infrastructure across IREN’s global data center pipeline over time.
  • NVIDIA and IREN will collaborate on deployment of NVIDIA accelerated compute in DSX AI factories to expand access to AI-native, startup and enterprise customers.
  • As part of the partnership, IREN issued to NVIDIA a five-year right to purchase up to 30 million shares of ordinary stock at an exercise price of $70 per share, resulting in a right to invest up to $2.1 billion, subject to certain conditions including regulatory.
u/thelastsubject123 — 3 months ago
▲ 2 r/Shoes

Hey everyone could use some advice for what shoe to buy my mom. She’s a 70 year old woman who typically just does Zumba/ light treadmill and yoga at the gym. She also gardens and does light walks all the time. Research is telling me on clouds would be great for her and I’ve already bought her hokas. Would appreciate an enthusiast’s perspective. Thank you!

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 4 months ago

Hey everyone could use some advice for what shoe to buy my mom. She’s a 70 year old woman who typically just does Zumba/ light treadmill and yoga at the gym. She also gardens and does light walks all the time. Research is telling me on clouds would be great for her and I’ve already bought her hokas. Would appreciate an enthusiast’s perspective. Thank you!

reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 4 months ago
▲ 3 r/stocks

3Q26 Results:

Metric Q3 2026 Actual YoY Growth
Revenue $5.95 Billion +251.0% (vs. $1.695B)
Non-GAAP EPS $23.41 Turnaround (vs. -$0.30)
GAAP Net Income $3.62 Billion Turnaround (vs. -$1.93B)

4Q26 Guidance:

Metric Q4 2026 Guidance (Midpoint) Implied YoY Growth
Revenue $8.00 Billion ($7.75B – $8.25B) +320.8% (vs. $1.901B)
Non-GAAP EPS $31.50 ($30.00 – $33.00) +10,762% (vs. $0.29)
reddit.com
u/thelastsubject123 — 4 months ago