2027 Free Agent Market and 2028 - Why the fever need KM back
The Fever need to hold off on big spending until the 2028 free agency class.
The 2027 FA pool is weak, and many teams have a lot of cap room. Expect a ton of overpays for aging vets and marginal starters. Outside of elite targets like Jackie, Phee, Awak, KM, and Plum (most of whom we can’t afford anyway), there isn't much value. 2028, on the other hand, is stacked. Plus, other teams will be locked up extending their young stars in 28, leaving fewer teams with cap space to throw around.
What does this mean for Indiana right now?
- If KM stays: We’re capped out. Our best move is running it back and maybe grabbing a bench pieces for depth.
- If KM leaves: We’ll have cap room, but burning it in a weak 2027 market just to overpay mid-tier players sets us right back into cap hell right before the 2028 goldmine. We need to look for one year deals and players to "test run" if they are a fit before 28 when we build the real contender around AB/CC after the Billings and Hull contracts come off the books.
As frustrating as it sounds to run it back with a similar core, staying patient and preserving cap flexibility for 2028 is the smartest long-term play.