Golden Knights have basically told us what the opening day roster will be
I’ll start by saying the opening-day roster is not necessarily the Game 1 roster. Those are two different things.
That said, I think the Golden Knights have essentially telegraphed who will be on the roster when the league transitions from the offseason to the regular season.
To understand why, you have to understand how offseason LTIR works.
Pietrangelo has been placed on offseason LTIR. That means the Golden Knights need to get as close as possible to the $104 million salary cap ceiling before transitioning into the regular season. If they don’t, they permanently lose that cap space.
For example, if the roster (excluding Pietrangelo) only totaled $100 million, then $100 million effectively becomes their cap ceiling for the rest of the season. Obviously that’s something this front office has always avoided.
That’s where Olofsson’s contract becomes interesting.
His cap hit is $1,638,330. At first glance it’s just a weird number, but it starts to make sense when you pair it with another unusual cap hit:
Connelly: $974,167
There’s still some space left after that. Being a few hundred dollars short wouldn’t matter much, but this front office has shown before that they care about maximizing every dollar. They even signed Hague to a deliberately odd cap hit a few years ago to finish just $17 below the ceiling.
There’s another contract that fits almost perfectly:
Bowman: $912,500
Once you plug those contracts into the roster, everything lines up almost exactly with the cap.
Forwards
Barbashev ($5,000,000) — Eichel ($13,500,000) — Stone ($9,500,000)
Howden ($2,500,000) — Karlsson ($5,900,000) — Marner ($12,000,000)
Hertl ($6,750,000) — Laczynski ($900,000) — Olofsson ($1,638,330)
Bowman ($912,500) — Dowd ($3,000,000) — Gatcomb ($875,000)
13F: Connelly ($974,167)
Defense
McNabb ($3,650,000) — Theodore ($7,425,000)
Hanifin ($7,350,000) — Andersson ($8,500,000)
Lauzon ($4,000,000) — Wotherspoon ($500,000)
7D: Coghlan ($875,000)
Goaltenders
Hart ($2,000,000)
Hill ($6,250,000)
That roster comes out to just $3 below the $104 million cap ceiling, which is exactly what Vegas would want in order to maximize LTIR relief.
So while this may not end up being the lineup we see on opening night, I do think this is very likely the roster Vegas submits when the regular season begins.
Once the season officially starts, someone like Connelly can immediately be reassigned and replaced by anyone making less than his cap hit. The purpose of this roster isn’t necessarily to ice the best lineup—it’s to preserve the full $104 million cap ceiling for the rest of the season.