r/soxl

This is today's chart. Down from $300.77 (close on 6/22/26) to $135.47 on 7/17/26 - (-54.9%). The price is trying to rally and I still think it might rally to around $190 to $200. But what will happen next?

2026

This chart is from the last peak in 2024 at $68.59 on 7/10/24. The price then fell to $27.89 on 8/5/24 - (-59.4%). The price then rallied to $41.73 +49.6% on 8/21/24. But what happened next?

2024

This chart is from another peak in 2021 at $72.99on 12/27/2021. The price then fell to $36.39 on 1/27/2022 - (-50.18%). The price then rallied to $51.02 +40.3% on 2/9/2022. But what happened next?

2021/2022

So what happened next? Well its not good new bulls.

After the rebounds of 40% (2022) and 49% (2024) the price fell to $6.93 (10/14/2022) and $8.25 (4/8/2025). That's an overall drop of 90.5% (2021/2022) and 87.9% (2024/2025).

History doesn't repeat but it rhymes.

Semi's are historically a boom and bust sector

lets face it. We just experienced the boom

We're in the midst of the bust.

It will bottom again and there will an opportunity to scoop up shares for much cheaper than they are today.

You should be thanking Flaky for the warning. Put your pride aside, cut your losses and thank yourself later.

or not.

None of this is financial advice. I'm just in agreement with Flaky that this is headed back down to double digits before its getting back to $300.

2024 part 2

2022 part 2

Need to prove Flaky Information wrong. Keep buying and holding, pump this up to 300+ again. AI isn't going anywhere, companies will keep finding ways to streamline and maximize profit, especially semiconductors! Do you really think they won't keep hitting record profits with how many tokens people use and how much everyone is creating and benefiting from it? More earning reports releasing daily until the end of the month and companies are hitting record profits, despite capex.

Was it a good price to buy at?

It's around 164 now. Anyone knows what caused the spike?

Main story: Semiconductors finished modestly lower as Alphabet’s increased 2026 capital-spending forecast supported memory and chip-equipment stocks but also renewed broader concerns about the escalating cost of the AI buildout. Micron led the gainers as Alphabet raised expected capital expenditures to $195–$205 billion, while STMicroelectronics collapsed after disappointing profit and guidance. AMD also unveiled its next-generation Helios AI server, and Intel delivered a major earnings beat after the closing bell.

MU (P/E: 22.2) Micron led SOXL impact after Alphabet raised its capital-spending forecast, reinforcing expectations for continued strong demand for high-bandwidth memory and conventional server memory. Tesla also highlighted the global memory shortage and thanked Micron for providing a significant supply allocation under favorable terms.

KLAC (P/E: 65.0) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Wednesday noon. KLA gained 1.88% as Alphabet’s higher AI capital-spending forecast supported suppliers of the inspection and process-control equipment required for advanced-chip capacity expansion.

AMAT (P/E: 56.0) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Wednesday noon. Applied Materials gained 1.60% as increased hyperscaler AI spending supported expectations for continued investment in semiconductor-manufacturing capacity.

TXN (P/E: 43.1) Texas Instruments reported second-quarter revenue of $5.46 billion, up 23% year over year, with earnings of $2.14 per share. Analog revenue increased 26%, while Embedded Processing revenue rose 16%, but the shares declined as investors weighed the results and outlook against elevated expectations for a broader industrial recovery.

INTC (P/E: N/A, negative trailing EPS) Intel declined during regular trading ahead of earnings but surged after hours after reporting adjusted earnings of $0.42 per share on $16.1 billion in revenue, nearly doubling the consensus earnings estimate. Data-center revenue rose sharply as demand for CPUs used alongside AI accelerators strengthened, and Intel issued third-quarter guidance above expectations.

STM (P/E: 433.2) STMicroelectronics plunged 18.66% after second-quarter core profit missed expectations and its third-quarter revenue forecast came in slightly below consensus. Management cited improving demand and AI data-center opportunities, but investors remained concerned about weak automotive and industrial recovery and insufficient gross-margin improvement.

AMD (P/E: 176.5) AMD unveiled its second-generation Helios rack-scale AI server, featuring MI455X accelerators and Venice CPUs. The system is now in production and is expected to begin shipping by the end of the third quarter, with OpenAI planning large-scale deployments. AMD nevertheless fell 2.29% as investors questioned how quickly the platform can challenge Nvidia and generate material revenue.

No News to Mention: CRDO, TER, LRCX, NVMI, ASML, MTSI, ARM, MPWR, RMBS, UMC, ENTG, NXPI, SWKS, ALAB, ASX, MRVL, ON, TSM, ADI, QCOM, AVGO, MCHP, NVDA.

Ticker	Company	SOXX weight	Today	Est. SOXX impact	Est. SOXL impact
MU	Micron	8.33%	3.20%	0.27%	0.80%
KLAC	KLA Corporation	4.71%	1.88%	0.09%	0.27%
AMAT	Applied Materials	5.22%	1.60%	0.08%	0.25%
CRDO	Credo	1.92%	3.61%	0.07%	0.21%
TER	Teradyne	3.01%	1.16%	0.03%	0.10%
LRCX	Lam Research	4.21%	0.15%	0.01%	0.02%
NVMI	Nova	0.75%	0.21%	0.00%	0.00%
ASML	ASML Holding	2.42%	0.06%	0.00%	0.00%
MTSI	MACOM	1.01%	0.07%	0.00%	0.00%
ARM	Arm Holdings	0.75%	-0.13%	0.00%	0.00%
MPWR	Monolithic Power Systems	3.39%	-0.09%	0.00%	-0.01%
RMBS	Rambus	0.59%	-0.62%	0.00%	-0.01%
UMC	United Microelectronics	0.92%	-1.90%	-0.02%	-0.05%
ENTG	Entegris	1.10%	-1.59%	-0.02%	-0.05%
NXPI	NXP Semiconductors	3.54%	-0.54%	-0.02%	-0.06%
SWKS	Skyworks Solutions	0.49%	-4.26%	-0.02%	-0.06%
ALAB	Astera Labs	2.32%	-1.19%	-0.03%	-0.08%
ASX	ASE Technology	1.25%	-2.52%	-0.03%	-0.09%
MRVL	Marvell	4.22%	-0.79%	-0.03%	-0.10%
ON	ON Semiconductor	1.84%	-2.38%	-0.04%	-0.13%
TSM	TSMC	4.39%	-1.35%	-0.06%	-0.18%
ADI	Analog Devices	3.85%	-1.69%	-0.07%	-0.20%
QCOM	Qualcomm	2.88%	-2.57%	-0.07%	-0.22%
AVGO	Broadcom	7.20%	-1.09%	-0.08%	-0.24%
MCHP	Microchip Technology	2.30%	-4.32%	-0.10%	-0.30%
TXN	Texas Instruments	3.97%	-3.13%	-0.12%	-0.37%
NVDA	Nvidia	8.18%	-1.56%	-0.13%	-0.38%
INTC	Intel	5.54%	-2.33%	-0.13%	-0.39%
STM	STMicroelectronics	0.80%	-18.66%	-0.15%	-0.45%
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	8.78%	-2.29%	-0.20%	-0.60%
Total	Sum of Weights and Impact Est.	99.88%	N/A	-0.77%	-2.32%
SOXX	iShares Semiconductor ETF	100.00%	-0.77%	-0.77%	-2.31%
SOXL	Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares	N/A	-2.23%	N/A	-2.23%

Other Stats

Decay Today: +0.07%

CBOE Volatility Index: 19

Similar Tickers: KORU, SMH, NVDL, DRAM, TCAI, CHPY

My Take: Sorry the numbers are still a little off I still need to update my spreadsheet to a close to close comparison instead of a close-live comparison. Volatility being up to 19 isn't good. To be clear it's not bad, it's just not good. Decay is positive though so can't complain.

SOXL to $500 EOY

I burned Flaky in a ritual that should bring the prices of semis back up.

the whole point of SOXL is that it moves like crazy. that’s why you can get stupid lucky with options over a few weeks if you time it right. now this sub is full of people acting shocked that it’s doing exactly what it’s always done if you just look at the chart.

if you buy low and hold for a few years it can still work out really well too. stop crying about decay 24/7, the only thing that matters is the actual price, and this thing can do 10x over a few years if you catch it right.

we used to get a couple posts a month about it and now it’s nonstop whining from people who bought over 40 and want to blame everything but their own entry.

stop complaining that a pig tracked mud into your house when its whole life is rolling in mud. that’s what it is. i just lock mine in the shed and wait until it’s bacon while you all sit here using this place as group therapy.

just stop already.

I hate this market right now. I just need SOXL back above $230 so I can recover my losses and chill for a moment. It gapped down so easily for two weeks but gapping up is a struggle.

or do we still have a chance to buy?

View Poll

Main story: Semiconductors extended their rebound as a major AMD–Anthropic agreement reinforced expectations that AI infrastructure spending will continue expanding beyond Nvidia’s ecosystem. Investors also positioned for Alphabet’s earnings and its expected $180–$190 billion 2026 capital-spending plan, while awaiting Texas Instruments and Intel results for evidence about demand outside AI accelerators. SOXX gained 0.51%, although memory and semiconductor-equipment stocks lagged.

AVGO (P/E: 64.4) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Tuesday noon. Broadcom led SOXL impact as optimism around continued hyperscaler AI spending supported custom accelerators and data-center networking suppliers.

NVDA (P/E: 31.1) Nvidia announced a robotics collaboration with Google and separately open-sourced a GPU-accelerated medical-physics simulation framework. Shares gained 2.30% as investors anticipated another substantial increase in Alphabet’s AI infrastructure spending.

AMD (P/E: 181.8) AMD announced that Anthropic will purchase up to two gigawatts of Instinct MI450-based computing capacity, beginning in 2027. The deal could generate tens of billions of dollars in server sales, while AMD agreed to invest as much as $5 billion in Anthropic as performance milestones are reached.

TXN (P/E: 35.4) Texas Instruments traded higher ahead of its second-quarter earnings call after today’s close. Investors are focused on whether industrial and automotive demand is recovering and whether its smaller data-center business is benefiting from AI infrastructure spending.

MU (P/E: 20.9) Micron declined 1.17%, giving back part of Tuesday’s 12% rally. The company continues to benefit from AI-driven memory demand, but investors weighed its extraordinary year-to-date gains, elevated expectations and uncertainty about how long rapid memory-price increases can continue.

AMAT (P/E: 53.0) No new material company-specific announcement was found since Tuesday noon. Applied Materials fell 1.88% and was the second-largest SOXL-impact drag as semiconductor-equipment stocks missed the broader AI-chip rally.

INTC (P/E: N/A) Intel was the largest SOXL-impact drag ahead of Thursday’s earnings report. Analysts expect strong server-CPU demand to contrast with a sluggish PC market, while Intel’s foundry spending and associated margin pressure remain major areas of concern.

No News to Mention: ALAB, NXPI, MRVL, MCHP, ADI, CRDO, MPWR, QCOM, ON, ASX, STM, UMC, NVMI, SWKS, ASML, MTSI, RMBS, ARM, ENTG, LRCX, TSM, TER, KLAC.

Ticker	Company	SOXX weight	Today	Est. SOXX impact	Est. SOXL impact
AVGO	Broadcom	7.20%	2.67%	0.19%	0.58%
NVDA	Nvidia	8.18%	2.30%	0.19%	0.56%
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	8.78%	1.45%	0.13%	0.38%
ALAB	Astera Labs	2.32%	3.47%	0.08%	0.24%
NXPI	NXP Semiconductors	3.54%	2.07%	0.07%	0.22%
MRVL	Marvell	4.22%	1.46%	0.06%	0.18%
MCHP	Microchip Technology	2.30%	1.97%	0.05%	0.14%
ADI	Analog Devices	3.85%	1.02%	0.04%	0.12%
TXN	Texas Instruments	3.97%	0.99%	0.04%	0.12%
CRDO	Credo	1.92%	1.97%	0.04%	0.11%
MPWR	Monolithic Power Systems	3.39%	1.10%	0.04%	0.11%
QCOM	Qualcomm	2.88%	1.23%	0.04%	0.11%
ON	ON Semiconductor	1.84%	1.39%	0.03%	0.08%
ASX	ASE Technology	1.25%	1.20%	0.01%	0.04%
STM	STMicroelectronics	0.80%	0.49%	0.00%	0.01%
UMC	United Microelectronics	0.92%	0.42%	0.00%	0.01%
NVMI	Nova	0.75%	0.29%	0.00%	0.01%
SWKS	Skyworks Solutions	0.49%	0.33%	0.00%	0.00%
ASML	ASML Holding	2.42%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%
MTSI	MACOM	1.01%	-0.14%	0.00%	0.00%
RMBS	Rambus	0.59%	-1.85%	-0.01%	-0.03%
ARM	Arm Holdings	0.75%	-2.18%	-0.02%	-0.05%
ENTG	Entegris	1.10%	-1.92%	-0.02%	-0.06%
LRCX	Lam Research	4.21%	-0.84%	-0.04%	-0.11%
TSM	TSMC	4.39%	-0.82%	-0.04%	-0.11%
TER	Teradyne	3.01%	-1.22%	-0.04%	-0.11%
KLAC	KLA Corporation	4.71%	-1.32%	-0.06%	-0.19%
MU	Micron	8.33%	-1.17%	-0.10%	-0.29%
AMAT	Applied Materials	5.22%	-1.88%	-0.10%	-0.30%
INTC	Intel	5.54%	-2.68%	-0.15%	-0.45%
Total	Sum of Weights and Impact Est.	99.88%	N/A	0.45%	1.34%
SOXX	iShares Semiconductor ETF	100.00%	0.51%	0.51%	1.54%
SOXL	Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares	N/A	1.45%	N/A	1.45%

Other Stats

Decay Today: -0.09%

CBOE Volatility Index: 17

Similar Tickers: KORU, SMH, NVDL, DRAM, TCAI, CHPY

My Take: If google doesn't substantially cut AI Capex today flaky needs to be banned for market manipulation if he hasn't been already.

SOXL to $500 EOY

Heavenly Father, please help save Flaky from constantly attacking others and cyberbullying. Please help him be nice and not get into trouble all the time. It’s okay to warn people about the danger of leverage, but I don’t think that’s primarily what’s motivating him.

Please get him to watch Brother Alex’s video and use the Judgment Day method so he can become a heavenly being. In Jesus’ name, Amen!

There was no need to worry premarket was a lie!