u/AbbreviationsIcy3807

Been tracking SHAZ since it IPO'd at 30 in February, thing is now sitting at 84.66 after a 14 percent AH rip.

Turns out Leopold Aschenbrenner's Situational Awareness LP grabbed a 19.9 percent stake through the 1.6B financing round that closed June 22. Same fund that reportedly did 270 percent since 2025. Not exactly a shop that YOLOs into random small caps.

The pitch is 40k Grace Blackwell GB300s deploying across Australia, VAST Data handling storage. NVDA is only a compute supplier though, not an equity holder, which is what most headlines got wrong at first.

Pulled the chart on moomoo and the volume spike is real, not just a headline pump. 180 percent YTD though, kinda feels like I'm chasing at this point.

Anyone in early? Or is this just the same AI infra hype rotating from picks and shovels into the Asia-Pac cloud names?

So apparently SK Hynix is doing a US ADR listing. Bookbuilding July 6, pricing July 9, Nasdaq debut targeted July 10. Raise size up to $29.4B which is not small.

What caught my eye is the setup vs MU. Roughly comparable market value, but Hynix shows higher estimated earnings at a lower multiple. They are the actual HBM and DRAM leader, Micron just rode the strategic customer narrative this past year.

Was poking around the AI memory names on moomoo earlier and the gap between how the street prices the two is kinda funny once you line them up. Feels like the Korea listing was eating a liquidity and FX discount that a US ticker could partially close. Or not, ADR premiums can be a trap.

Obvious risks I keep thinking about, new share dilution from the offering itself, memory is still cyclical, and the whole AI capex story cools if hyperscalers blink. Plus the FX discount might just follow the ADR over instead of disappearing.

Idk, on paper if you wanted HBM exposure without paying full Micron multiple this looks interesting, but I have been burned chasing "cheaper comp" trades before.

Anyone here actually planning to play the ADR debut, or waiting a few weeks for the dust to settle? Curious if the value crowd sees this differently than the AI trade crowd.

been chewing on this all week so bear with me.

Micron just printed mobile and client revenue of $11.5B, up 49% QoQ. gross margin 87%, operating margin 86%. that is not a typo. SK Hynix and Samsung are riding the same wave. memory is basically printing money right now.

then look at the other side. AAPL bumped prices on Macs, iPads, home devices. fiscal Q2 26 gross margin 49.3%, product gross margin sitting at 38.7%. stock got smoked on the print. the math is brutal, even Apple cannot fully eat what MU is charging.

what stood out to me when i pulled the comp on moomoo, MU growth is almost entirely price-led, not unit-led. so this is not a volume story you can shrug off as one quarter. it is a structural cost shift and downstream margins are the bag holder.

so the trade in my head, long memory ($MU $WDC $SNDK or just $DRAM if you want a basket), short or just trim the consumer hardware names that have to swallow it. AAPL is the obvious one but anything that ships DRAM heavy boxes is on the menu.

what i am stuck on, how long does this last before Apple just starts engineering around the cost or pushing suppliers back. they have the leverage eventually right? or am i underrating how cooked the supply side is for the next 4-6 quarters.

anyone here actually long both sides as a pair trade? curious if you are sizing it differently than i am thinking.

I got gapped on TSLA on a Robotaxi headline a while back. No stop. Just vibes. Brutal. A stop limit would've saved me: you pick a trigger price, and the second the tape touches it, moomoo auto-sends a limit order at the floor you choose. You're not begging the market for a fill, you're naming your worst acceptable price.With TSLA being TSLA — FSD headlines, Musk tweets, whatever — having an STL pre-loaded is kinda the only sane way to hold it through the week. moomoo's conditional orders live server-side so it doesn't matter if my laptop's closed or my phone died. Fires anyway. And the UI is honestly clean — trigger, limit, qty, done, right from the chart. No clicking through six menus. I also like that you can layer it with their other conditional types (LIT, MIT, trailing) without paying anything extra. Institutional-style risk control, free, on a phone.If you trade gappy names and you're not using stop limits yet, just try it once. You won't go back.