
u/Cool-Contribution-68

Climate - Prof Kevin Anderson | National Emergency Briefing
youtu.beNever Gonna Move
You got mold across the ceiling
And the cabinets are peeling
Broken switches
Tiny sink to dump your dishes
And the kitchen’s by the bathroom
And the bathroom has no vent
Aren’t you glad you had to spend
All of your paycheck on your rent?
And now your neighbour needs a favour
‘Cause to save her from eviction
You must keep alive the fiction
That she doesn’t have a dog
And now the tub is clogged
The knob is off the door
The floor is cracked
The mouse is back
It sees the trap and laughs at you
But you’re never gonna move
Take off your shoes
You’re never gonna move
Too much to lose
You’re never gonna move
You got holes in all the curtains
And the faucet isn’t working
Faulty plumbing
City workers never coming
There’s a humming
There’s a rattle
There's an all-night rave upstairs
There’s a wide array of chairs
Next to a couch that needs repairs
But the budget for the furniture’s
Reserved for eggs and bacon
‘Cause to keep up with inflation
You need blocks of solid gold
And now your feet are cold
Your ears are hot
The heat is here then not
The room is dark
Except for sparks
The fuse just blew
But you’re never gonna move
Take off your shoes
You’re never gonna move
Too much to lose
You’re never gonna move
They’re building a train line
You live on the main line
You learn to expect a note in the mail
Tiptoe round the landlord
Live free while you can for
The future you build
Is always on sale
It’s always on sale
The future you build
It’s always on sale
You’re never gonna move (move)
Till they force you to
You’re never gonna move
'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman sees an Achilles' heel in the AI boom
This reminded me of someone:
>Steve Eisman is warning that the artificial intelligence boom has become increasingly dependent on the fortunes of just two companies: OpenAI and Anthropic.
>The investor, best known for his bet against the housing market ahead of the global financial crisis, said the two AI startups account for roughly 70% of AI-related revenue at Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet’s Google and Oracle — and as much as 25% to 35% of their cloud revenue.
>“The futures of these massive companies, in a sense, are a bet that OpenAI, Anthropic are going to succeed,” Eisman said late Tuesday on CNBC’s “Fast Money.”
chat are we cooked
People define collapse in different ways. One clear measure is electricity. Without electricity, *modern* civilization stops. Gas station pumps, EV charging stations, ATM banking services, hospitals, modern retail, remote work, Wi-Fi, air conditioning, traffic lights, street lamps, etc. It's not human extinction by a long shot, but it's civilizational breakdown.
I've been watching the headlines across Europe and the Western US this summer.
Scorching heat is straining Europe’s nuclear power supplies — and prompting drastic measures
Romania, Hungary, Germany, France.
European power prices jump as heatwave curbs French nuclear output, German wind
Drought leads to low river levels cutting down on nuclear power. Heatwaves cause wind power to drop as well. I have read that solar panels also degrade in their efficiency above certain temperatures. (What happens to a solar farm when it gets hit by record-breaking wind or record-breaking floods?) Hydropower loss is the obvious one:
Hoover Dam is set to lose 40% of its maximum power this year
Obviously, when you're losing water, you're impacting water use directly and food production. But it's also going to hit electricity production. Nuclear, wind, hydro.
Add: energy demand increases in extreme heat.
Higher energy demand from Hong Kong heatwave could trigger outages, expert warns
China's northern power grids hit record loads as heatwave sweeps through
North Carolina heat sends cooling demand 43% above normal as Duke Energy points to bill aid
Heatwave Drives Egypt’s Power Demand to Record high of 40,000MW
It takes years and immense resources to improve grids. And grids are already maxxing out globally. Next year will be hotter than this year globally. At current rates, it's not clear that the whole world is going to be able to upgrade and reinforce their energy systems to keep up with the risks. (It's not like pushing out a bug fix via the cloud.)
I don't think it will require year-round power outages to sink communities. If for a portion of the year, your city cannot depend on reliable electricity, that's going to feel like collapse. Those who can will move first and fastest. Those who stay are going to make due until they can't make due anymore.
Use gas stations when they work, be prepared when they don't. Use banks when they work, be prepared when they don't. Use hospitals when they work, be prepared when the don't. Use AC when it works, be prepared when it doesn't.
Decadal doubling of Siberian methane emissions due to warming-induced fires and methanogenesis
"Northern hemispheric permafrost stores twice as much carbon as is found in the atmosphere. As permafrost thaws due to climate warming, it becomes a potential source of methane emissions caused by microbial decomposition of soil organic carbon in wetlands, which could cause further warming. Zhu et al. report that methane emissions in Siberia have increased at a rate of around 5% per year since 2010 due to a combination of fires and permafrost melting. This source of methane is projected to become more important as climate continues to warm."
China's Summer: Record heatwaves, record power demand, catastrophic storms and flooding, crop damage
This sub only tracks a fraction of what's really going on the world. I haven't seen China mentioned much, but it's about the same size as the US with a billion more people in it. Just some headlines from the summer:
China’s Power Demand Hits Records as Heatwave Grips Key Regions
China warns of crop risks as heatwave sweeps agricultural regions
China Heat Wave Threatens Corn, Rice and Cotton: Why It Matters for Global Agriculture
Heat triggers health alerts across China
Record-breaking heatwave to hit several areas of China
China Hit by “Deadly Weather Events”
Torrential rain and floods batter China, killing at least 12 and forcing mass evacuations
Storm Causes Mass Evacuations, Floods and Flight Disruptions in China
Torrential rains bring devastating floods to a Chinese city – and a snake invasion
I recommend signing up for Carbon Brief's China email newsletter. All their emails are good round-up summaries of global climate-related news and events: https://www.carbonbrief.org/
France makes over 300 arrests linked to wildfire outbreaks
aa.com.trHow arsonists used cats to spread Italy’s wildfires
cnn.comRecord low water levels force nuclear output cuts in Hungary and Romania
reuters.comSeydikemer, Mugla Province, Turkey - July 29, 2026 - A fast moving forest fire affected the area, with fire activity reported across parts of the region.
What’s driving the American Red Cross’s second-ever national blood crisis? Extreme heat, poor air quality and the spread of foodborne illnesses
washingtonpost.comStates Under Emergency Order to Stop Blackouts
https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-states-emergency-order-stop-blackouts-12253400
The emergency order applies to all or parts of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Missouri, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Kansas, Colorado, Wyoming, Montana, New Mexico, Arizona, Minnesota and Utah, according to the Department of Energy.
Extreme heat casts doubt on viability of MidEast tree planting project
Chat are we cooked?
Looting breaks out in Bordeaux's empty suburbs as wildfire inferno so big it makes its own lightning storms moves to just seven miles from city
dailymail.comA desert town may run out of water. Others could face the same fate.
Stacy thought he had seen Kearny’s worst crisis in 2024, when a wildfire blazed toward the edge of town. He ran from house to house getting people out while embers blew above their heads. But the water shortage has been, in many ways, worse.
“It’s like a slow death,” Stacy said, “instead of an actual emergency happening right in front of your eyes where you can actually help.”
The town tried to prepare residents late last year for what was coming. In a Dec. 29 letter, officials warned that the reservoir fed by their primary water source, the Gila River, was running low.
The first question in the FAQ section was, “What happens if our allotment is zero?”
Answer: “Severe restrictions will be imposed.”
Some women who can't afford water are often pressured to provide sex for it
"Water becomes scarcer and more expensive during shortages, which have become more frequent amid prolonged drought. Women who have experienced sexual violence in their efforts to obtain water and the advocates who work with them say that is when the risk of harassment and sexual violence increases."
Wildfires near Madrid impossible to control, official says, as 65,000 evacuated in France and Spain
SS: Headline keeps changing on this live feed, so this *was* the headline when I posted. Local officials near Madrid say the wildfires are beyond their capacity to control. The fires are now "a few dozen kilometres" from the outskirts of the capital. While 65,000 residents have been evacuated cross France and Spain, thousands more are in lockdown in their houses. Regional president calls it "the worst fire in the history of the region." Residents say "Never experienced anything like this." Back to back heatwaves are a contributing factor. This is not collapse related; this is collapse.